We’re all going to get it anyway?

[PuzzledObserver]

If I had a loo roll for every time I’ve seen that written on here, I’d be rich beyond measure. I don’t believe it’s true. Here’s why:

1. If we did all get it, it would burn out and disappear. But that has never happened without either mass vaccination (smallpox, polio not quite) or swift containment (SARS and MERS). It’s too late for containment with Covid.

2. If we take lockdown seriously, and even if it is turned on and off as has been suggested, there will be some who manage to avoid getting infected long enough for the vaccine to come.

www.spectator.co.uk/article/herd-immunity-might-still-be-key-in-the-fight-against-coronavirus

Best article I have read on this. Let’s see what happens. But I predict a 40,000 death toll in the UK and over by August.

the reason why it requires 95% for the MMR is that measles is exquisitely contagious - each patient may infect as many as 18 other people. Whereas this virus is far less so ... more like 2-3 people infected for each case - so the percentage required to have some immunity in order to limit spread is also lower.

that's a really interesting article Bool, thank you

I found this quite informative too

www.cambridgeindependent.co.uk/news/cambridge-virologist-explains-what-we-know-and-dont-know-about-covid-19-9104220/?fbclid=IwAR08v9VYZVkTYXNtw_QXG4FROLsDeYvkXmOqewIytKgMPqip6QqKAim3aKU

@Laniakea ah thanks. Great article too.