It’s taken hold in India now, average daily temperatures around 34 deg C during the day and 27 at night.
However, people do naturally socially distance a bit more as more time is spent outdoors over the summer months, so if we weren’t already in lockdown, it might have slowed a bit for that reason alone.
I have heard convincing arguments that we’ll have 3 ‘peaks’ the last and most deadly of which will be around November. Then herd immunity (hopefully, assuming some post viral immunity) will slow things until a vaccine can be found.
Of course it’s all pure speculation though, so who knows?