How bad is it going to get?

[Confuzzled123]

I was listening to the PM, the Chief Medical Officer and the Chief Scientist yesterday.

They seem to be expecting it to peak in June. Which makes me think how bad is it expected to get? We are rapidly increasing the number of cases each day but I can’t imagine how bad it will be if we have the same amount of increases every day. It seems to double every few days. I’ve just done a rough calculation and we could have 32m cases by May. Surely this can’t be right?

We are never going to be able to cope with this.

likely as bad as Italy - 32m is VERY unlikely though, the exponential growth reaches an inflection point as they call it and slows down rapidly especially with more measures being introduced (which they will be soon I am sure)

posted this graphic, the same one Boris used yesterday in a few places hoping someone can work out the time increments for me

Somewhere between 60-80% of the population will get it. But most people will just be mildly ill. But yes 10’s of millions.
It’s going to be disruptive. But I don’t think you need to panic, most people will be fine.

Most of us will be fine, but the death toll is going to rise considerably. I don't have much faith in our Government to do what is needed.

Yes 40-53.6 million people are predicted to get it in the UK with around half a million deaths.

There is some talk that it will never go away and will keep reappearing like seasonal flu.

So is that this year that 40m people are expected to get it? That’s truly terrifying.

I think so. 80% of cases will be mild to moderate though.

This mention of cash for the NHS in the budget 'they can have as much as they need for the coronavirus'

Any ideas what that will mean in practice? taking on extra agency staff, opening new wards / ICUs?...

If they think it will peak in June that does give a month at least I suppose to prepare more..

...with no guarantee of immunity

Did you see that the chief medical officer said this will be a yearly thing like flu now, we are going to have waves of it every year. But we will have some immunity also. and hopefully a vaccine at some point.

@ElizabethMountbatten

Now this really is scaremongering. Don’t be dense, of course they have knowledge. Academic papers have been and are being produced as we speak, the knowledge is growing every day. Not that it’s comprehensive, but there is some

They think around 1% of those who catch it will die but most of those will be elderly and it have underlying health conditions.

Yes but even if 80% are ‘moderate’ that means 8 million serious cases. That is just inconceivable.

Nobody knows how bad it's going to get yet, we just have to wait and see, and do whatever we can to protect ourselves.

There is no way to contain this - I mean hand sanitizer and shit. I'm on the train home; someone just sneezed everywhere not into their sleeve and there are loads of drunk people shouting 'coronavirus' having a good old laugh about it...

It terrifies me how fucking stupid people are and how all of the marketing last few weeks really has done fuck all to educate people..