In-laws stuck in Dubai

[itsamimario]

They’re a bit worried. I’m guessing they’ll be ok, just delayed coming home?

I’ve no previous experience of this kind of thing.

It is. The local news are not putting out much in terms of images to keep people calmer.
That's more on local sm groups with many in trying to filter out ai videos.
These are the times when ai is wayyyy to annoying

See my post above. The situation is worse. But if people start panicking as they can't leave the country, it would turn into a scene from a zombie apocalypse film. The Governments know this and media is well trained to only give snippets and "everything is fine" [inshallah].

Yes, War is usually excluded so additional costs of eg accommodation probably don’t be covered, unless the government decides to act as guarantor for insurers which seems unlikely. This will be a huge issue for the thousands stuck in Dubai and other airports, a large proportion of whom will have been in transit from destinations further East

UAE Government will cover costs. This has been announced on state media. They know the cost of not doing so will be far greater.

Some people I despair

They can threaten but they have to launch missiles and drones.

Israel reports that Iran only had capability of launching 2 or 3 missiles per wave last night. Guess what they will be targeting today? Launch sites. Iran have little to no air defense. They can not defend themselves launch sites.

Drones are more easy to launch as they aren't as reliant on launch sites. But they need to stored on the ground somewhere. Guess what is being targeted today.

Of course Iran was going to threaten. However it's also got a problem with limited defence affecting its offensive capability.

This post is massively over egging Iran's ability to respond. It's just not reflective of the situation.

The attack on the Burj al Arab was anticipated. It has been evacuated. It's targeting also speaks volumes for Iranian capabilities. It is focusing on high profile and propaganda targets to attract western attention and put internal pressure on Western and Gulf governments. It's gone for Dubai airport for most disruption. However in reality these are actions of a country that doesn't have a lot of capacity. It's looking for a quick resolution by piling as much diplomatic and influential pressure as possible.

Because it knows it hasn't got the capability of taking on the US bases directly other than by a couple of disruptive missiles. If it had the ability it would focus on the source of attacks on it. It doesn't.

This is good news.

I've just seen they'll be sending limited flights out of Dubai to get people out. I'm not sure how safe I'd feel on one right now.

There already have been limited flights out. No idea how they've gained approvals considering it's an active missile zone!

@itsamimario Any news OP , how are they doing?

Still there but they’re fine

How much is it going to cost in insurance / lost income to the airlines and insurers not to fly versus insurance risk costs to fly limited numbers under heavy military escort.

Thats your calculation.

I don't really understand what you mean by "active missile zone" TBH...

I've got a bit of background in this stuff, both from the mil side (misspent youth) and civil side (grew up..) and on that basis I'd speculate that the authorities are now confident enough that the mil can give them enough warning of inbound drones or missiles to allow them to squeeze a limited number of flights in/out using routes agreed with the military....

Inbound traffic will probably be arriving with a heck of a lot of excess fuel to allow holding if things kick off whilst they are on the approach.

BTW flightradar gets lots of love in situations like this but never forget it doesn't provide a complete picture, it doesn't tell you if aircraft are carrying passengers and ATM at times it's badly compromised by what looks like GPS jamming and other related issues.

Have they managed to get out yet? If not, hopefully not too long.

Hello OP did your in laws manage to leave Dubai yet?