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Conflict in the Middle East

UAE plans to bankroll first ‘planned community’ in south Gaza

213 replies

Twiglets1 · 24/01/2026 06:00

Guardian Exclusive: Blueprints describe a ‘case study’ community where residents submit biometric data to gain entry:

The United Arab Emirates plans to fund “Gaza’s first planned community” on the ruined outskirts of Rafah. Palestinian residents there will have access to basic services like education, healthcare and running water, as long as they submit to biometric data collection and security vetting, according to planning documents and people familiar with the latest round of talks at the US-led Civil Military Coordination Center in Israel.

The planned city would mark the UAE’s first investment in a postwar reconstruction project located in the part of Gaza currently held by Israel. The wealthy Gulf state has contributed more than $1.8bn of humanitarian assistance to Gaza since 7 October 2023, according to UAE state media, making it Gaza’s largest humanitarian donor.

Blueprints for the Emirati-backed endeavor are laid out in an unclassified slide deck obtained by the Guardian and first reported by Dropsite, but the UAE’s role as its planned financier has not previously been reported. The presentation was prepared for a cohort of European donors who visited the CMCC on 14 January, according to an aid official who shared details about the briefing on the condition of anonymity. Israeli military planners have given the plans their stamp of approval.

The United Arab Emirates did not comment on its decision to endorse the Board of Peace, or its plans to fund one of the first US- and Israeli-backed reconstruction projects in Gaza.

One US official said that the first Emirati-backed compound could “become a model” for a string of residential camps that US and Israeli officials have described as “alternative safe communities”.

Within the first Rafah community, billed as a “case study”, planners envision several efforts to prevent the influence of Hamas, including the introduction of electronic shekel wallets “to mitigate the diversion of goods and funds to the Hamas financial channels”, and a school curriculum that will “not be Hamas-based”, but supplied by the UAE. Planners also specify that residents will be permitted to “enter and exit the neighborhood freely, subject to security checks to prevent the introduction of weapons and hostile elements”.

A White House spokesperson said that the Emirati-backed compound would be built during the board’s initial reconstruction push.

Land-clearing efforts for the Rafah site are already under way, an Israel Defense Forces spokesperson told the Guardian.

“Israel’s mission on the east side of the yellow line is to clear the infrastructure in that territory, including tunnels, booby-trapped houses – all of the infrastructure left on our side,” the IDF spokesperson said.

They also said that Israel would not participate in building or running the Emirati compound. “When construction begins, that’s when the ISF participates with boots on the ground.”

A project timeline obtained by the Guardian indicates that site planning began with a “land deed” review in late October and will entail at least four to six months of preparations before construction begins.

www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jan/23/uae-funds-gaza-community

OP posts:
RedSongBird · 26/01/2026 16:36

Carla786 · 26/01/2026 16:28

What??? It's highly relevant that Hamas sanctions rape and murder of civilians.

IDF soldiers have been tragically known to commit rape too- like most male armies, unfortunately. The difference is that Israel does not sanction those as a tactic of war and they can and are prosecuted

I’m not going to argue about who sanctions rape and who doesn’t. Rape is rape and it is disgusting whoever does it, sanctioned or not.

Twiglets1 · 26/01/2026 16:37

beAsensible1 · 26/01/2026 16:30

All the “what about sudans” suddenly pro uae funding like that haven’t been funding the massacre in over there.

Don't think posters on this thread are exactly pro UAE funding, in fact we have expressed misgivings.

It's more a case of - what is the alternative? It could be better than doing nothing.

OP posts:
ReturnOfTheToad · 26/01/2026 16:39

Carla786 · 26/01/2026 16:28

What??? It's highly relevant that Hamas sanctions rape and murder of civilians.

IDF soldiers have been tragically known to commit rape too- like most male armies, unfortunately. The difference is that Israel does not sanction those as a tactic of war and they can and are prosecuted

Specific forms of sexual and gender-based violence – such as forced public stripping and nudity, sexual harassment including threats of rape, as well as sexual assault – comprise part of the Israeli Security Forces’ standard operating procedures toward Palestinians.

Other forms of sexual and gender-based violence, including rape and violence to the genitals, were committed either under explicit orders or with implicit encouragement by Israel’s top civilian and military leadership, the report said.

A climate of impunity also exists with regard to sexual and gender-based crimes committed by Israeli settlers in the West Bank, with the aim of instilling fear into the Palestinian community and expelling them.'

https://www.ohchr.org/en/press-releases/2025/03/more-human-can-bear-israels-systematic-use-sexual-reproductive-and-other

Carla786 · 26/01/2026 16:43

RedSongBird · 26/01/2026 16:29

You seem like a very reasonable Zionist, as you described yourself earlier, and I applaud that. Could you do me a favour and look up the Land for All movement and let me know what you think. It is growing massively amongst Palestinians and Israelis, although I will admit the more liberal ones.

Here is what I believe.

My grandfather (NB I'm not Jewish) was driven from his home by the Germans in WW2. I can't get his home back. But if I fit the requirements I CAN move to Poland and maybe even live in the same area he did.

As Benny Morris and others have documented, there were tragic wrongs committed by Israel during 1948 war including sometimes civilians being driven from their homes and more widely, villages destroyed to prevent return. Even if all Arabs had stayed put (as some Zionists say would have not been an issue), Israel's need to be a Jewish-majority state would have been in inherent tension with that.

Now, as GeneralPeter said, Arabs were able to get citizenship. They can live freely within Israel : imo the major issue is probably lack of much political say but reforming the coalition system could change this.

But they were only able to get citizenship immediately following the war. If a descendant wants to get citizenship now, it's essentially impossible since you can only now become an Israeli citizen if you are Jewish or married to a Jewish person.

I understand WHY Israel does this. I agree that keeping Israel Jewish majority is important for safety (the major reason it was founded). I also think offering limited paths to return would not be appropriate now given the radicalised state of much of the population.

But I DO think there should be a route to it one day in the future. Very stringent, needing particular skills and capped at a low number etc. But I think there is a big difference between 'you do have the chance to live where your ancestors did' and 'you can never do that because you are not Jewish or married to one'.

Moreover, I would make a few other changes to Israel. Politics needs to secularise. The rising mix of religion and politics has helped no one. Theodore Herzl, for one, was clear on the importance of this. The lack of civil marriage etc must change too. I'd also eventually bring Arabic back as a second official language as it was technically until 2018 law change, though that clearly can't be done at the moment.

Carla786 · 26/01/2026 16:44

ReturnOfTheToad · 26/01/2026 16:39

Specific forms of sexual and gender-based violence – such as forced public stripping and nudity, sexual harassment including threats of rape, as well as sexual assault – comprise part of the Israeli Security Forces’ standard operating procedures toward Palestinians.

Other forms of sexual and gender-based violence, including rape and violence to the genitals, were committed either under explicit orders or with implicit encouragement by Israel’s top civilian and military leadership, the report said.

A climate of impunity also exists with regard to sexual and gender-based crimes committed by Israeli settlers in the West Bank, with the aim of instilling fear into the Palestinian community and expelling them.'

https://www.ohchr.org/en/press-releases/2025/03/more-human-can-bear-israels-systematic-use-sexual-reproductive-and-other

Edited

ANY sexual abuse is illegal in Israeli law and should be punished with the full force of the law.

Carla786 · 26/01/2026 16:47

dairydebris · 26/01/2026 15:08

You've ignored all the decisions made over the years by their own leaders, that have bought them to this place.

I don't agree with your dark assessment of the situation. I think there are Palestinians out there who could provide decent leadership and a 2SS is possible. Don't you think?

It requires the shit leaders to get out of the way first, and that's what everyone should be marching for.

It almost sounds as if you want them to be eternal victims. But I can't imagine why that would be hmmmm?

Great post

ReturnOfTheToad · 26/01/2026 16:48

Carla786 · 26/01/2026 16:44

ANY sexual abuse is illegal in Israeli law and should be punished with the full force of the law.

Yes it should be but instead it has been explicitly ordered and encouraged by top military and civilian leadership.

This contradicts the idea that Israel does not sanction rape and sexual assault as a tactic of war when top military and civilian leadership are ordering it.

Carla786 · 26/01/2026 16:49

RedSongBird · 26/01/2026 13:39

Really! It’s all the fault of the Palestinian leadership. So tell me, when the Palestinian leadership officially recognised Israel and its right to exist, set up a police force and started arresting Palestinians, handing them over to the IDF, what did they get in return? Did the land theft in the West Bank stop, no, it accelerated. Did Israel recognise Palestine as they had agreed to during the Oslo peace talks, no, they didn’t. Did Israel start working towards a two state solution, no, they killed the idea and boasted about it. Ehud Olmert is thought of as a moderate. When Israel put up the air, sea and land blockade over Gaza and then controlled the amount of food that was going in he said “The idea is to put the Palestinians on a diet, but not to make them die of hunger”. Please tell me again how it is all the fault of the Palestinian leadership.

The settlements were very wrong. It's disingenuous to pretend there weren't serious issues with Abbad though. There's evidence he abbetted Hamas, his approval ratings from Gazans plummeted for a good reason due to his corruption etc . Plus, he's denied or minimised the Holocaust on multiple occasions, which is hardly helpful...

Carla786 · 26/01/2026 16:50

ReturnOfTheToad · 26/01/2026 16:48

Yes it should be but instead it has been explicitly ordered and encouraged by top military and civilian leadership.

This contradicts the idea that Israel does not sanction rape and sexual assault as a tactic of war when top military and civilian leadership are ordering it.

What evidence is there it has been ordered by the top military?

I'm not ruling it out, that should be investigated.

Carla786 · 26/01/2026 16:52

CommonlyKnownAs · 26/01/2026 14:21

It would be good to know what Gazans want, but unfortunately there is no current mechanism for finding that out. The majority live under Hamas control and can't speak freely. Which means even if they were asked, and I agree that's clearly not happening, no accurate conclusion could be drawn from the results.

Agree with this...

RedSongBird · 26/01/2026 16:52

Carla786 · 26/01/2026 16:50

What evidence is there it has been ordered by the top military?

I'm not ruling it out, that should be investigated.

I’m not sure what’s happened to it but the Knesset was recently discussing a bill to make IDF soldiers accused of raping a Palestinian immune from prosecution. I’m not happy I’ve written this but it is what it is.

Carla786 · 26/01/2026 16:55

GeneralPeter · 26/01/2026 14:58

@RedSongBird

The Palestinians have been persecuted, treated worse than dirt with no self determination for decades and not one of the world’s leaders have done anything to help them.

Not done anything to help them? Arab and Israeli leaders have tried again and again and had their hand bitten almost every time. I’d guess the only regime below whose treatment you’d approve of below would be Saddam Husseins.

Jordan. Accepted the most refugees and granted most citizenship. Palestinian groups tried to overthrow govt, sparking civil war (1970-71).

Lebanon. Hosted 200k+ refugees. Armed Palestinian groups a major driver of civil war (1975-90).

Kuwait. Gave 400k employment rights. PLO supported Iraqi invasion of Kuwait, leading to most Palestinians being expelled (1990-91).

Iraq. Saddam hosted many Palestinians right up until he was toppled.

Syria. Hosted 500k refugees. Palestinians took up arms in civil war (2011+).

Israel: granted 150,000 Palestinians citizenship after the 1948 war, now making up about 20% of Israel’s pop, many very well integrated. Pre-2023, 150,000 Palestinians had Israel worker permits including 20,000 Gazans. Evidence that some of those guest workers abetted the Oct 7 massacre.

Edited

In fairness, most of these examples date from 30-50 years ago, when about half of Palestinians weren't born, but I agree the situation would likely be similar now.

Re civil war, it is disgraceful many Palestinians fought for Assad. I've seen many Arab rights campaigners criticise the West for being too soft on Assad but Arabs who suopprted him should be held accountable too.

ReturnOfTheToad · 26/01/2026 16:56

Carla786 · 26/01/2026 16:50

What evidence is there it has been ordered by the top military?

I'm not ruling it out, that should be investigated.

It has been investigated by the UN Independent International Commission of Inquiry on the Occupied Palestinian Territory, including East Jerusalem, and Israel. This was their finding.

Carla786 · 26/01/2026 16:59

RedSongBird · 26/01/2026 16:52

I’m not sure what’s happened to it but the Knesset was recently discussing a bill to make IDF soldiers accused of raping a Palestinian immune from prosecution. I’m not happy I’ve written this but it is what it is.

What???

Looking up, I see this was from Likud. They get more loathsome each day...

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/11/04/world/middleeast/israel-soldiers-detainee-tomer-yerushalmi.html#:~:text=A%20group%20of%20reserve%20soldiers,then%20surged%20inside%20the%20base.

It seems the case was downgraded from rape to severe abuse, but still prosecuted?

Israelis who disagree need to protest Likud, they can't go on having these kinds of people...

Anyahyacinth · 26/01/2026 17:00

Snuppeline · 24/01/2026 13:49

So all should be on perpetual benefits and handouts then? Is that utopia? Get free housing, education and contribute to the rebuilding of your community. If that’s a horrid deal, fine, don’t take it.

Are you oblivious that they are fighting for self determination ...they don't have choices and are crushed by oppression

Carla786 · 26/01/2026 17:01

ReturnOfTheToad · 26/01/2026 16:56

It has been investigated by the UN Independent International Commission of Inquiry on the Occupied Palestinian Territory, including East Jerusalem, and Israel. This was their finding.

Well, if there's credible evidence there should be consequences somehow...

That's the thing. IDF are not the same as Likud, but given the attitudes of a lot of Likud's MPs, it's not surprising many suspect war crimes being encouraged. Hopefully there will be some kind of consequences...

PurpleThistle7 · 26/01/2026 17:30

Carla786 · 26/01/2026 16:43

Here is what I believe.

My grandfather (NB I'm not Jewish) was driven from his home by the Germans in WW2. I can't get his home back. But if I fit the requirements I CAN move to Poland and maybe even live in the same area he did.

As Benny Morris and others have documented, there were tragic wrongs committed by Israel during 1948 war including sometimes civilians being driven from their homes and more widely, villages destroyed to prevent return. Even if all Arabs had stayed put (as some Zionists say would have not been an issue), Israel's need to be a Jewish-majority state would have been in inherent tension with that.

Now, as GeneralPeter said, Arabs were able to get citizenship. They can live freely within Israel : imo the major issue is probably lack of much political say but reforming the coalition system could change this.

But they were only able to get citizenship immediately following the war. If a descendant wants to get citizenship now, it's essentially impossible since you can only now become an Israeli citizen if you are Jewish or married to a Jewish person.

I understand WHY Israel does this. I agree that keeping Israel Jewish majority is important for safety (the major reason it was founded). I also think offering limited paths to return would not be appropriate now given the radicalised state of much of the population.

But I DO think there should be a route to it one day in the future. Very stringent, needing particular skills and capped at a low number etc. But I think there is a big difference between 'you do have the chance to live where your ancestors did' and 'you can never do that because you are not Jewish or married to one'.

Moreover, I would make a few other changes to Israel. Politics needs to secularise. The rising mix of religion and politics has helped no one. Theodore Herzl, for one, was clear on the importance of this. The lack of civil marriage etc must change too. I'd also eventually bring Arabic back as a second official language as it was technically until 2018 law change, though that clearly can't be done at the moment.

So do you think Syrian Jews, Lebanese Jews, Iranian Jews etc etc etc should have the right to return as well? Because in all the chat about how unfair this all is, none of this happened in a vacuum and any actual peace in Israel would be determined by how the entire region is governed and how many countries recognise Israel’s right to exist (along with worldwide Jewry’s - Manchester and Bondi show that it’s not just Israelis who are hated) alongside any sort of two state solution.

My family is ethnically Russian Jewish. My ancestors had no right to Russian citizenship and were pogrommed out of Russia in the 1880s. Ancient history of course but there are countless examples of ethnicity and history meaning nothing when it comes to citizenship.

The camps are horrific and Hamas keeping their own citizens in a torturous holding pattern to prop up their own power is appalling but I’m still waiting to see some other idea that is even remotely possible. Hamas is a murderous terrorist organisation. They don’t want safety or clean water or education - they want money and power and violence. So until someone has a viable plan for removing them from Palestine or protecting Palestinians from them I’m not sure what else can even be done.

totallylostanddontknowwhattodo · 26/01/2026 17:37

HalfWomanHalfFish · 24/01/2026 09:30

@TomeTome The people commenting this is a good idea make me lose what little faith in humanity I have left.

Not one of the people commenting this is a good idea would live like this themselves. Not one.

Palestine belongs to the Palestinian people. Not the US, not the UAE and not the Israelis.

And nobody say "October 7th" to me either. What about the Nakba and the decades of murder and oppression since then? Also the UAE are complicit in the genocide in Sudan. So they're the perfect bedfellows for US and Israel.

This.100%.

RedSongBird · 26/01/2026 17:49

PurpleThistle7 · 26/01/2026 17:30

So do you think Syrian Jews, Lebanese Jews, Iranian Jews etc etc etc should have the right to return as well? Because in all the chat about how unfair this all is, none of this happened in a vacuum and any actual peace in Israel would be determined by how the entire region is governed and how many countries recognise Israel’s right to exist (along with worldwide Jewry’s - Manchester and Bondi show that it’s not just Israelis who are hated) alongside any sort of two state solution.

My family is ethnically Russian Jewish. My ancestors had no right to Russian citizenship and were pogrommed out of Russia in the 1880s. Ancient history of course but there are countless examples of ethnicity and history meaning nothing when it comes to citizenship.

The camps are horrific and Hamas keeping their own citizens in a torturous holding pattern to prop up their own power is appalling but I’m still waiting to see some other idea that is even remotely possible. Hamas is a murderous terrorist organisation. They don’t want safety or clean water or education - they want money and power and violence. So until someone has a viable plan for removing them from Palestine or protecting Palestinians from them I’m not sure what else can even be done.

You do know that Iran still has a Jewish community protected by law and the representative of the Jewish community has a permanent seat in the Iranian parliament. Avi Shlaim wrote a great book, “Three worlds, memoirs of an Arab Jew” which goes into Jewish life in Iraq. Another good read is about Effendi Sassoon and how he was revered in Iraq. Jews had it a lot worse in Europe and I wish more than anything the world will return to a state where Jews, Christians and Muslims can live in every country without persecution.

Carla786 · 26/01/2026 17:59

RedSongBird · 26/01/2026 17:49

You do know that Iran still has a Jewish community protected by law and the representative of the Jewish community has a permanent seat in the Iranian parliament. Avi Shlaim wrote a great book, “Three worlds, memoirs of an Arab Jew” which goes into Jewish life in Iraq. Another good read is about Effendi Sassoon and how he was revered in Iraq. Jews had it a lot worse in Europe and I wish more than anything the world will return to a state where Jews, Christians and Muslims can live in every country without persecution.

Bernard Lewis notes in What Went Wrong? that Muslim countries historically did give Jews a better (not ideal) deal than Christian ones. Nasrid Spain, early Ottoman Empire etc. But Pan Arabist leaders like Nasser changed that in Egypt, Iraq etc and pogroms and expulsions followed.

Carla786 · 26/01/2026 18:07

PurpleThistle7 · 26/01/2026 17:30

So do you think Syrian Jews, Lebanese Jews, Iranian Jews etc etc etc should have the right to return as well? Because in all the chat about how unfair this all is, none of this happened in a vacuum and any actual peace in Israel would be determined by how the entire region is governed and how many countries recognise Israel’s right to exist (along with worldwide Jewry’s - Manchester and Bondi show that it’s not just Israelis who are hated) alongside any sort of two state solution.

My family is ethnically Russian Jewish. My ancestors had no right to Russian citizenship and were pogrommed out of Russia in the 1880s. Ancient history of course but there are countless examples of ethnicity and history meaning nothing when it comes to citizenship.

The camps are horrific and Hamas keeping their own citizens in a torturous holding pattern to prop up their own power is appalling but I’m still waiting to see some other idea that is even remotely possible. Hamas is a murderous terrorist organisation. They don’t want safety or clean water or education - they want money and power and violence. So until someone has a viable plan for removing them from Palestine or protecting Palestinians from them I’m not sure what else can even be done.

I'm really sorry about your family having that happen. I agree strongly re Bondi Beach...

I also I agree that the plan right now is what needs to be the focus (planned communities etc).

Re Jews having the right to return to ME countries : of course I support this. Arab countries generally treat Jews and other minorities very poorly right now- that must change.

Second, note that I am speaking about a 'right to immigrate' NOT a 'right to return'. I do think maybe elderly people expelled in 1948 could be allowed to return but not right now. Right to return should not apply to descendants.

I'm not talking about citizenship by descent or refugee-type right to return. To be very clear : the difference is that someone whose family was expelled from Poland etc can immigrate there and become a citizen if they fit requirements. That does not apply to Palestinian Arabs whose family were expelled in 1948 because Israel does not generally let anyone become a citizen unless they are Jewish or married to a Jew. I understand why but to me this is an important distinguishing factor from countries which allow migration at least, so someone could return to ancestral land that way.

I agree this should not be allowed at the moment. I understand your point about Russia & Mizrahi Jews but at the same time I don't think this point holds up as well : in the sense thar Russia and most ME countries historically and today are judged harshly. Isn't Israel aiming for a better, Western democratic etc standard to be judged by? I agree immigration should not be allowed right now but I also think that saying 'Injustice over citizenship was perpetuated by Russia and modern ME so Israel is justified in acting that way too' is an ideal argument

RedSongBird · 26/01/2026 18:09

Carla786 · 26/01/2026 17:59

Bernard Lewis notes in What Went Wrong? that Muslim countries historically did give Jews a better (not ideal) deal than Christian ones. Nasrid Spain, early Ottoman Empire etc. But Pan Arabist leaders like Nasser changed that in Egypt, Iraq etc and pogroms and expulsions followed.

If you haven’t read Avi’s book, you should. He explains how his family, a prominent Iraqi family, had to leave Iraq and why. It basically finished his father who was a respected businessman in Baghdad. It is very sad but he doesn’t lay the blame purely on Pan Arabism. It was far more complicated than that.

Carla786 · 26/01/2026 18:12

RedSongBird · 26/01/2026 18:09

If you haven’t read Avi’s book, you should. He explains how his family, a prominent Iraqi family, had to leave Iraq and why. It basically finished his father who was a respected businessman in Baghdad. It is very sad but he doesn’t lay the blame purely on Pan Arabism. It was far more complicated than that.

I will read it. However, Pan Arabism certainly did play a role. Events like the Iraqi Farhud and attacks on Egyptian Jews were encouraged by this movement. I have a thread running rn on Conflict in the ME about the role of this in anti Semitism historically. Organisations like Al-Futuwwa in Iraq were modelled on the Hitler Youth and took part in the Farhud, Nasser used Nazis like Alois Brunner to wrote anti-Israel propaganda.. the list goes on...

GeneralPeter · 26/01/2026 18:31

Anyahyacinth · 26/01/2026 17:00

Are you oblivious that they are fighting for self determination ...they don't have choices and are crushed by oppression

A fair amount of the oppression they are crushed by is their own ‘leadership’ and the ideological requirements of their movement.

In 1949 the Nationalists lost a war with the Communists and were driven to Taiwan, a small corner of the contested territory. They established a militaristic regime that maintained its claim to all of the land, and both sides attacked each other for three decades.

Thankfully, with passing of the generations, Taiwan reformed and turned to the future, becoming a major economic success and a democracy. They stopped shelling the PRC and vice versa, and built a very large, albeit complicated, economic partnership. They became one of the richest and most advanced nations in Asia, home to probably the worlds most important company, despite being frozen out of international institutions and denied recognition of statehood.

Would Taiwan be happier, richer or more successful had they been encouraged to consider themselves as eternal dispossessed refugees, mounting murderous raids on the Mainland and getting beaten down in an endless cycle of recriminations?

It seem to me that the Palestinians’ own leadership, the international institutions, the Western left and the Arab world have conspired to rob Palestinians of normality, forcing endless misery on them for the sake of other priorities.

Carla786 · 26/01/2026 19:38

GeneralPeter · 26/01/2026 18:31

A fair amount of the oppression they are crushed by is their own ‘leadership’ and the ideological requirements of their movement.

In 1949 the Nationalists lost a war with the Communists and were driven to Taiwan, a small corner of the contested territory. They established a militaristic regime that maintained its claim to all of the land, and both sides attacked each other for three decades.

Thankfully, with passing of the generations, Taiwan reformed and turned to the future, becoming a major economic success and a democracy. They stopped shelling the PRC and vice versa, and built a very large, albeit complicated, economic partnership. They became one of the richest and most advanced nations in Asia, home to probably the worlds most important company, despite being frozen out of international institutions and denied recognition of statehood.

Would Taiwan be happier, richer or more successful had they been encouraged to consider themselves as eternal dispossessed refugees, mounting murderous raids on the Mainland and getting beaten down in an endless cycle of recriminations?

It seem to me that the Palestinians’ own leadership, the international institutions, the Western left and the Arab world have conspired to rob Palestinians of normality, forcing endless misery on them for the sake of other priorities.

Tbf, a lot of Taiwanese hoped historically and still do that one day they might combine with China in a democratic regime. That would be a positive outcome- but as you say, the CCP still has control unfortunately at the moment, and they've sensibly abandoned military tactics