What happened was absolutely horrific, and why it was so horrific is completely beyond my understanding.
I know this is a very sensitive subject and this might not come across the right way, so please bear with me.
I have recently been very interested in the work of an Israeli psychologist called Daniel Kahneman, as so much of what he writes speaks to me and this situation. He unfortunately recently passed away, but he is well respected and spent a good portion of his life researching issues in rationality.
One of the biases he discovered, and even himself relates to the risk of terrorist attacks, is called the Availability heuristic. He talks about how bad we are at estimating risk, and how we have a tendency to over estimate the risk of anything that easily comes to mind, and that what can make something more easily come to mind can be due to factors such as emotional intensity and the frequency with which we see it, such as in the media. He also talks about how the media feeds this fear, and how people’s appetite for more information perpetuates the media to provide this, and how this can end up influencing policy.
I am not trying to suggest that the risk
of terrorism in Israel isn’t real, or that there shouldn’t have been some sort of response, or trying to offend anyone here. What I am trying to say is that perhaps people’s perceptions of how likely something of this nature could happen again, and how scared they (understandably) feel, is influenced by the horrific nature and scale of the event, and that the actual risk might be different.
I’m also not trying to suggest that people shouldn’t discuss this, it is a lot to process and come to terms with.
What I am trying to say, is that I am worried that fear and an originally over estimated level of risk has driven a response that I see leading to more risk, and that I am worried about the impact this event has had on the level of fear within Israel, and the psychological impact of that, in addition to the real and unacceptable level of damage that was initially caused.
I have tried my best to word this in a way which doesn’t offend.