How likely is spontaneous labour in 2nd pregnancy when 1st time nothing happened spontaneously?

[BroccoliSpears]

1st pregnancy
No Braxtons
2 sweeps
Went to 43+1 (no, not a typo)
Was induced
Prostaglandin gel x 2 took 24 hours to get me to 4 cm
Manually broke my waters
Syntocinon drip
Forceps delivery (tried pushing. Nowt doing.)

Induction to birth took 36 hours.

In other words, my body did absolutely nothing by itself and the baby was 'managed' out by the hospital every step of the way.

2nd pregnancy (this one)
No Braxtons
No aches, twinges, twitches etc
Am now 40+3

Some people just can't do labour. Should I resign myself to waiting the 2 weeks and being induced?

Professional, anecdotal or personal experiences welcome.

I wasn't sure I could do labour either after a series of failed sweeps, failed prostglandin gels, failed water breaking and an entire day on the drip... I was saved from c-section by finally going into labour at the last possible moment. But it turned out I could. 2nd time, I had a weird back ache one day, did the whole bowel clear-out thing and saved induction by the skin of my teeth by giving birth naturally and spontaneously 4 hours before I was booked in.
I wholeheartedly recommend acupuncture to help get things going. I'd had it on the evening and had show and first twinges in the wee hours of Tuesday morning and baby was born just before dawn on Wednesday.

1st pg: waters broke on due date, baby delivered the next day normally.
2nd pg: still waiting at 42+3, 3 prostin gel attempts at induction later.. absolutely nothing doing. ELCS which went horribly wrong (for me, not baby)

So - I know what you mean, I wonder endlessly why I didn't go into labour last time.
Am now 33 weeks with no.3 and hoping will all happen naturally. Apparently positioning might have had a lot to do with it... have you tried all the optimum foetal positioning wotsits? (www.spinningbabies.com. I think?) Need to get the head to put some pressure on the cervix, even though won't engage til labour starts proper...
oh yes, and lots of shagging - although I could never face it myself (and certainly can't now)