i do agree with LadyMuck to a certain extent
the chances of VBAC tend to be around 60 - 70 % . whereas a woman pregnant with her first baby tend to have odds of a vaginal delivery are around 70 - 75 %
a lot depends on the trust area . the statistics re caesarean can vary.
i think the reason there mgith be an increased risk of VBAC ending in another CS is due to hospital management of VBAC -
continous monitroring, not allowing woman to labour actively, not allowing women to labour over a certain time frame. etc..
if a c.s was performed due to a breech baby..no reason a VBAC should not be advised and achieved. If a c.s done because the baby was malpresenting..eg brow presentation,..then also, it should be advised to go for VBAC as the odds of that happening again are low.
each case needs to be weighed on its attendant merits, but all too often mothers have to fight fro a VBAC when there is no need due to twitchy consultants who make it sound like a life or death scenario.
as i said, there are risks in every birth,....but vaginal delivery, is IMHO, the one to aim for if it is medically indicated.
my odds of VBAC were given as 50 -50 - i went for it and had a really positive vaginal birth.
i think that it is very diffiuclt to predict the outcome of a birth!
you have to make an informed choice, based on the past and present situations.