In 2031, U.K graduates will outnumber school leavers for the first time. Will this spell the end of Reform?

[dreamreal]

Less than 1 in 5 Reform voters have a degree. Research reveals how voting patterns are now polarised across education demographics, more so than regional or wealth demographics. So, as numbers of graduates are rising will this naturally and inevitably see the corresponding decline of Reform?

YABU - no.
YANBU - yes, Reform voters will become increasingly marginalised as the graduate demographic outnumbers them.

Personally, I think Reform are more of a protest vote, like voting Greens or Your Party. Also, having a degree in today's times, where you basically borrow money to pay for one, does not automatically equate to having superior intelligence. There are other valid types of intelligence that make a person, not just the academic sort.

Have you seen graduate and youth unemployment?

Clearly not.

Labour are destroying the economy and jobs for young people. And unemployment is rising full stop. That going to drive more voters to Reform. And rightly so. Labour needs punishing in the harshest possible way.

I think Reform will implode long before demographics change! Farage sets up a new party every couple of years, he’s surely due another one soon.

Less than 1 in 5 Reform voters have a degree

Fewer, not less.

Idk OP, a lot of those degrees are "ologies" and not worth the paper they are written on. Does that make those with student debt more or less intelligent than those without debt?

*Maureen Lipman fans will understand

It's not necessarily about intelligence, but social attitudes. People who have been to uni tend to hold more liberal outlooks, by and large. Possibly more to do with the experience of uni (inc getting away from home at 18) than the actual qualification?

There were only enough places at university for about 10% of school leavers in the 1970's, and still only around 20% by the 1990's. These days, there are enough university places for around 50% of school leavers. They are no more intelligent than the top 50% of school leavers in the 1970's.

Bearing all that in mind, it appears that your hypothesis is fundamentally flawed.

The youngsters are mostly not voting reform anyway.

it’s an older people’s party

The numbers might be because birth rates are falling. As historically older voters tend to vote more conservative and right-wing-leaning, they could get more votes as there is a larger demographic who vote that way.