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Welfare spending to rise by £73.2bn to £406.2bn

1000 replies

topicalaffair · 23/01/2026 14:25

Over the next five years, the OBR is forecasting that UK welfare spending will rise by £73.2bn to £406.2bn.

How does everyone feel about this? I’m livid because I pay lots of tax. I don’t mind paying tax to maintain a civilised society - but this? This is surely taking the piss and will result in weaker and weaker services as the amount of £ available reduces day by day.

YANBU - it’s totally deranged. The every growing uk population can’t function effectively on such a benefits for all basis.

YABU - this welfare spending bill is truly representative of need.

Welfare spending to rise by £73.2bn to £406.2bn
OP posts:
Thread gallery
9
taxguru · 24/01/2026 15:45

Theonlywayicanloveyou · 24/01/2026 15:43

Well said.

The basic rate of income tax needs to rise. It’s utterly mad that Labour thought they needed to commit to the current level to be elected. They didn’t. And now they’re in a mess.

Yes, we do need to raise basic rate income tax and reduce employee national insurance accordingly so as not to hit basic rate taxpaying workers. Workers are screwed enough as it is. We need to properly tax those living on other income sources, such as pensions, dividends, property rental, interest etc. At the same time scrap ISA for bank accounts and restrict it to stocks and shares only and scrap the extra £5k interest tax allowance. Someone earning £5k interest can afford to pay tax on it as their savings will be far higher than the average person!

Theonlywayicanloveyou · 24/01/2026 15:46

Allseeingallknowing · 24/01/2026 15:43

In some cases , where you know the person , it is entirely possible to know that they are getting benefits they don't deserve ! They make it difficult for the genuine claimants .

“Deserve” is subjective.

It’s very, very hard to claim benefits you’re not entitled to by law.

Whether you think someone should be entitled to them is irreverent to whether they are or not. And it’s worth pointing out that benefits are massively under claimed.

i have a friend who should be claiming UC for the housing element but just hasn’t (it’s a pride thing I think, but she’s paid tax for years and needs it?… she’s missing out on about £250 a month which would make her life a tiny bit less stressful. There are literally millions of people like her out there.

Theonlywayicanloveyou · 24/01/2026 15:47

taxguru · 24/01/2026 15:45

Yes, we do need to raise basic rate income tax and reduce employee national insurance accordingly so as not to hit basic rate taxpaying workers. Workers are screwed enough as it is. We need to properly tax those living on other income sources, such as pensions, dividends, property rental, interest etc. At the same time scrap ISA for bank accounts and restrict it to stocks and shares only and scrap the extra £5k interest tax allowance. Someone earning £5k interest can afford to pay tax on it as their savings will be far higher than the average person!

Yes I totally agree.

Dullmary · 24/01/2026 15:49

Dgll · 24/01/2026 15:21

Who do you think is paying the welfare bill?

Everyone who pays tax.

Allseeingallknowing · 24/01/2026 15:51

Greenwitchart · 24/01/2026 15:32

UK benefits and state pension are already some of the lowest in Europe.

Suggesting that they are over generous and need to be cut is just propaganda by right wing media and politicians.

👏👏👏👏

poetryandwine · 24/01/2026 15:52

taxguru · 24/01/2026 15:43

What if they're not UK tax residents/nationals? The UK have no power to tax Bill Gates or Elon Musk, yet presumably they are 2 of the 35 families??

Agreed, HMG has no business taxing people with who are neither citizens nor residents nor ordinarily domiciled in the UK.

UserFront242 · 24/01/2026 15:53

Allseeingallknowing · 24/01/2026 15:43

In some cases , where you know the person , it is entirely possible to know that they are getting benefits they don't deserve ! They make it difficult for the genuine claimants .

Again, it is not up to anyone apart from the DWP to say whether they "deserve" them or not.

Boomer55 · 24/01/2026 15:58

poetryandwine · 24/01/2026 15:52

Agreed, HMG has no business taxing people with who are neither citizens nor residents nor ordinarily domiciled in the UK.

And yet, my son, who emigrated to America 15 years ago, after marrying an American, will have to pay taxes, to the US, on his British civil service pension that he acquired before he left. 🤷‍♀️

YesSirICanNameChange · 24/01/2026 16:04

UserFront242 · 24/01/2026 15:34

Ah, the dorms again I guess.

Ah, of course.

Funny how everyone goes silent when we quiz them on these practicalities.

poetryandwine · 24/01/2026 16:06

Boomer55 · 24/01/2026 15:58

And yet, my son, who emigrated to America 15 years ago, after marrying an American, will have to pay taxes, to the US, on his British civil service pension that he acquired before he left. 🤷‍♀️

And I will be paying UK taxes on my American state and private pensions. So what?

Maddy70 · 24/01/2026 16:08

We are an aging population. Pensions are a huge expenditure on the country this is why we need immigration of young workers to boost the economy

Maddy70 · 24/01/2026 16:09

Boomer55 · 24/01/2026 15:58

And yet, my son, who emigrated to America 15 years ago, after marrying an American, will have to pay taxes, to the US, on his British civil service pension that he acquired before he left. 🤷‍♀️

Yes and he paid his taxes to the UK when he lived there. And those living in the UK with pensions from elsewhere will pay tax in Britain.

Arraminta · 24/01/2026 16:09

Labour won't be satisfied until 95% of our GDP is spent on benefits. Utterly fucking sick of it. Thankfully this system is totally unsustainable and can, and will, collapse. The sooner the better.

My brother works in private wealth management and was hoping to retire this year, but virtually all of his clients are moving their money abroad (or leaving the UK) and he's completely snowed under with work.

WaryCrow · 24/01/2026 16:10

Dgll · 24/01/2026 15:21

Who do you think is paying the welfare bill?

They quite clearly mean that government needs to bite the bullet and tax capital, not just income.

The emphasis in our economy on enabling the growth of pre existing capital has been known for years and is the major reason for the growth in inequality. It just does not pay to work anymore.

Unfortunately New New Labour is showing no signs of wanting to return to traditional Labour values, which are needed to create a functional working economy, and Rachel Reeves has made comments about wanting to turn us into shareholders instead. Quite what we are going to invest in when no one can afford to work doesn’t seem to have occurred to her yet. New Labour created the private landlords that have bankrupted the public funding of the country: now New New Labour have a new fad that will make things even worse.

None of our politicians have any sense or seem to know anything about working economies. Yet there is still plenty of private wealth in this country, masses of it, even as public funds dry up and the country becomes bankrupt. We need to tax that wealth.

Roboxed · 24/01/2026 16:11

In G7 comparison, we have one of the lowest percentage of pensioners, by far the lowest pension as percentage of previous earnings and are second to bottom with total social spend as percentage of GDP.

WaryCrow · 24/01/2026 16:12

ps I’m not trying to play party politics there, as so often happens. I have no faith in the recently-evicted Tories or bloody Reform either. I do feel particularly betrayed by the Labour Party that, clue is in the name, is supposed to represent Labour and hasn’t for nearly 30 years now.

Boomer55 · 24/01/2026 16:13

poetryandwine · 24/01/2026 16:06

And I will be paying UK taxes on my American state and private pensions. So what?

Nothing what. I was just pointing out that taxes from one country, can be transferred to another, 🤷‍♀️

Allseeingallknowing · 24/01/2026 16:14

Maddy70 · 24/01/2026 16:08

We are an aging population. Pensions are a huge expenditure on the country this is why we need immigration of young workers to boost the economy

Plenty of young workers in the UK already, sitting on their bums. If they don’t accept jobs remove benefits. Tough love needed here. No leaving uni and going straight on the dole!

poetryandwine · 24/01/2026 16:15

Boomer55 · 24/01/2026 15:58

And yet, my son, who emigrated to America 15 years ago, after marrying an American, will have to pay taxes, to the US, on his British civil service pension that he acquired before he left. 🤷‍♀️

Sorry, @Boomer55 . Bit rushed before.

Your son lives in the US. He is ‘ordinarily domiciled’ there, whether or not he is a permanent resident. (If he doesn’t have a green card, he has a long term visa) It is a general principle internationally that you pay income tax to the country where you live.

I am not a UK citizen, two countries is enough, but you better believe I file taxes here. As I said, that will include my American pensions soon enough.

The US-UK tax treaty minimises double taxation, however.

Dgll · 24/01/2026 16:17

Dullmary · 24/01/2026 15:49

Everyone who pays tax.

Top 10% pays about 60% of the tax bill. If you look at what your tax money gets spent on (gov publishes it every year) there wouldn't be a welfare state without them or much of an NHS.

Boomer55 · 24/01/2026 16:21

Dullmary · 24/01/2026 15:49

Everyone who pays tax.

This. I’m late 60’s and have paid tax since I was 16.

UserFront242 · 24/01/2026 16:22

Allseeingallknowing · 24/01/2026 16:14

Plenty of young workers in the UK already, sitting on their bums. If they don’t accept jobs remove benefits. Tough love needed here. No leaving uni and going straight on the dole!

Lots of threads from worried parents on here because there is no work for their children leaving uni.
Even newly qualified nurses and AHPs are struggling to find work.

Allseeingallknowing · 24/01/2026 16:23

UserFront242 · 24/01/2026 16:22

Lots of threads from worried parents on here because there is no work for their children leaving uni.
Even newly qualified nurses and AHPs are struggling to find work.

There may not be the jobs they want, or are qualified for with their degrees, but there are jobs !

Kirbert2 · 24/01/2026 16:24

YesSirICanNameChange · 24/01/2026 16:04

Ah, of course.

Funny how everyone goes silent when we quiz them on these practicalities.

It's always the case.

I was sacked due to my son's disability. He was in hospital when I was sacked, lovely eh?

I'd love to work but no one is interested due to the fact that my son has regular appointments and it would need to be very flexible. I can't get a job if no one wants me so what am I supposed to do?

Dgll · 24/01/2026 16:25

WaryCrow · 24/01/2026 16:10

They quite clearly mean that government needs to bite the bullet and tax capital, not just income.

The emphasis in our economy on enabling the growth of pre existing capital has been known for years and is the major reason for the growth in inequality. It just does not pay to work anymore.

Unfortunately New New Labour is showing no signs of wanting to return to traditional Labour values, which are needed to create a functional working economy, and Rachel Reeves has made comments about wanting to turn us into shareholders instead. Quite what we are going to invest in when no one can afford to work doesn’t seem to have occurred to her yet. New Labour created the private landlords that have bankrupted the public funding of the country: now New New Labour have a new fad that will make things even worse.

None of our politicians have any sense or seem to know anything about working economies. Yet there is still plenty of private wealth in this country, masses of it, even as public funds dry up and the country becomes bankrupt. We need to tax that wealth.

It is a finely balanced thing. If you tax too much you make less as all the wealth leaves. We don't exist in isolation, we are in competition with other countries.

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