I should add the points about how Israel approached the show since 2023
The tone was set in the audition process for the 2024 show with the very first contestant wearing army fatigues. For a contest about peace this was viewed as instantly provocative by many. It's not hard to see why this immediately stirred the pot.
The eventual winner then had to change the song name and lyrics from October Rain to something else but the lyrics were still obviously about the attack.
Then you have Israel's 2025 artist who started singing professionally in 2024 and had done a speech to the (UNHRC) in March 2024 about what she'd personally witnessed.
It's almost deliberately provocative for publicity and the way the Israeli government has been involved and to the degree it's openly been involved and has tried to suppress the free speech about the conflict is actually really alarming.
I believe that the Spanish broadcaster's withdrawal is in part about the repression of Spanish journalists by the Israel (and standing in solidarity with them) as much as it is about Gaza and the contest itself. There's also real concerns about the independence of the Israeli broadcaster. To be eligible for the contest under EBU rules the host broadcaster must have certain standards of support for free speech and support for democracy.
See this article published in Israel this week:
www.timesofisrael.com/the-next-threat-to-israel-at-eurovision-is-coming-from-inside-the-house/amp/
In order to maintain EBU membership, Israel must have a functioning, independent public broadcaster that provides both news and entertainment programming. And there’s the rub.
For a number of years, allies of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu have been making efforts to shut down or gut Israel’s public broadcaster beyond recognition. Such a move would make Israel ineligible to be an EBU member and end its 53-year run in the Eurovision.
While the government has not been successful so far in that goal, it took a sharp step forward this week with the establishment of an ad hoc committee designed to push through media reform legislation by circumventing the permanent committee that has stymied it.
Communications Minister Shlomo Karhi – a member of Netanyahu’s ruling Likud party – has, since taking office in late 2022, made no secret of his desire to completely shut down Kan.
There's actually an argument to be made here - which actually is an important one, that in someways, Israel's participation in Eurovision is important to protect Israel's independent public broadcasting which is actually a large part of the Eurovision ideal and promotion of democracy. Kicking Israel would serve to jeopardise this.
Having said this there's a whole beef about the Israeli broadcaster still with comments about certain artists during the live broadcast if they were saying things that weren't on script about Israel. Which IS against EBU rules.
There are actually a shit load of layers to this and lots the EBU COULD and SHOULD have done to minimise some of these - which potentially would have allowed Israel to compete in a way where it hasn't spiralled in this manner and there's be more legitimate argument about 'this is just a song contest and we are about promoting peace and democracy' (which would have backed up their controversial decision to kick Russia and support Ukraine too).
Instead its like they've done pretty much everything possible that would make the situation worse in many ways instead.
I actually think the story to watch here, isn't who withdraws from the contest. It's about those reform of the broadcaster in Israel - and how much more happens before now and May with regards to that.