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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

National insurance - people have short memories

114 replies

MumofCandR · 01/11/2024 09:54

I don't understand the outrage over the national insurance increase in the budget. Only 2 years ago (April 2022) Rishi Sunak increased employee NI to 13.25%, 5.25% higher than it is today - fact. Only in January this year it was 12%, today it sits at 8% - fact. This was a very clever move by the conservatives to pull the wool over everyone's eyes. On the one hand, best case scenario it would increase their vote share as they floundered in popularity (didn't work), worst case they would leave the next government with an impossible hole to fill and the NHS underfunded laying the foundations for privatisation, and setting the conditions for any subsequent government to fail - very, very devious. And people seem to have fallen for this machivelian move, memories are incredibly short. So much consternation over a 1.2% increase for employers? This doesn't even bring NI near to where it started out less than 12 months ago, if businesses are this sensitive to a minor % increase in NI then there's far more to worry about the sustainability and viability of these in the first place, surely - AIBU?

OP posts:
coffeeandteav · 01/11/2024 11:45

Xenia · 01/11/2024 11:43

I think the employer Ni on wages from about 5k to £10k and the 1.2% extra of NI together (for employers who are above the employer NI exemption and those with a nanny where there is no exemption) costs about £1k per employee on minimum wage. if the minimum wage increase is about £1 an hour roughly (it is a bit less) that is about £1800 a year per minimum wage employee so that is about £2800 a year extra. So someone I heard about yesterday has about 800 staff - kind of care business and they probably are mostly on the minimum wage. 800 x 2800 = £2.24m a year extra so presumably that means redundancies. That is quite a high increase.

I would much rather we had many many fewer public services. I have seen a doctor twice in 15 years - I call them my £100,000 NHS appointments for 7 minutes a time and would rather have no NHS or one where people pay at point of use and in return pay half my tax bill.

Crazy society wouldn't work if lots were left vulnerable.

Says it all if you don't want to invest in public services. What about roads, armed force and police. Don't use them either?

Flabbergasted.

SerendipityJane · 01/11/2024 11:48

Havanananana · 01/11/2024 11:35

@IMustDoMoreExercise "I'm sure you are clever enough to find the cash from somewhere, just as clever as all the entrepreneurs who will be leaving the UK and setting up elsewhere."

All of the clever entrepreneurs who could started leaving the UK in 2016 when the country was conned into voting for Brexit and businesses were cut off from the largest unified market on the planet, cut off from a supply of well-qualified staff, had supply chains disrupted and had higher costs of doing business imposed on them - the complete opposite of what Boris promised.

Someone has to pay for Brexit.

Beekeepingmum · 01/11/2024 11:54

I am surprised they didn't just unwind Rishi's pre-election lets pretend every things going great unfunded tax reduction. It is all tory gaming with our incomes.

WestwardHo1 · 01/11/2024 11:54

SerendipityJane · 01/11/2024 11:48

Someone has to pay for Brexit.

Well those who orchestrated it are definitely not prepared to step up.

So it'll fall to those who didn't actually vote for it.

Great.

Blondiie · 01/11/2024 11:55

It’s a huge burden to put on business, especially business with lots of part time and low paid employees such as supermarkets, retail, hospitality, care, food distribution and production.

It’s on top of the previous burdens of Brexit, covid, Liz Truss, VAT hikes, Putin.

Some businesses will go bust and twats will rub their hands in glee because the business owners might be “Tory” or “have holidays” and nobody deserves to run a business that can’t stand a tripling of raw materials and energy costs, hiked interest rates, extra red tape, increase in wages of 40%, increased interest on borrowing, increased taxes in VAT and NI. The staff will be unemployed.

Some businesses will stay open with pay and recruitment freezes.

Prices in industries dependent on low wages like food and childcare will increase, everything gets more expensive, wages go up across the board. Inflation increases so interest rates are hiked again.

My business could stand this a lot easier if VAT wasn’t 20%. It used to be 8%. If you need an extra £2800 per employee then you need to generate £3500 to cover the cost plus the VAT (at least in hospitality where you claim close to nothing back) and you would have to do that without incurring any addition expenses such as raw materials, increased opening hours, utilities, bank charges eg you would have to do it solely in price rises. It would be doable on its own but it’s not on its own. It’s on top of an absolute avalanche of shit.

Mlanket · 01/11/2024 12:00

Britain can't keep borrowing more and more with no consequence for ever. At some point it will all come crashing down.

It already is but people want someone else to pay.

Wait until nurseries, old people's homes, GPs start shutting in droves.

We have an ageing population so care homes will still exist, likely to be more expensive though so people will have to get used to paying for their care.

titbumwillypoo · 01/11/2024 12:02

Xenia, which public services should be gotten rid of then?

Mlanket · 01/11/2024 12:02

My business could stand this a lot easier if VAT wasn’t 20%

that was meant to be a temporary increase

SerendipityJane · 01/11/2024 12:05

WestwardHo1 · 01/11/2024 11:54

Well those who orchestrated it are definitely not prepared to step up.

So it'll fall to those who didn't actually vote for it.

Great.

Which is what we are seeing.

When the UK get's it's collective head out of it's arse and accepts that maybe - just maybe - there were some upsides to being in the EU, things can start looking up.

Blondiie · 01/11/2024 12:07

Mlanket · 01/11/2024 12:02

My business could stand this a lot easier if VAT wasn’t 20%

that was meant to be a temporary increase

Really? It’s been temporarily 20% for nearly 14 years now - baring the temp reduction during covid.

Parker231 · 01/11/2024 12:08

Xenia · 01/11/2024 11:43

I think the employer Ni on wages from about 5k to £10k and the 1.2% extra of NI together (for employers who are above the employer NI exemption and those with a nanny where there is no exemption) costs about £1k per employee on minimum wage. if the minimum wage increase is about £1 an hour roughly (it is a bit less) that is about £1800 a year per minimum wage employee so that is about £2800 a year extra. So someone I heard about yesterday has about 800 staff - kind of care business and they probably are mostly on the minimum wage. 800 x 2800 = £2.24m a year extra so presumably that means redundancies. That is quite a high increase.

I would much rather we had many many fewer public services. I have seen a doctor twice in 15 years - I call them my £100,000 NHS appointments for 7 minutes a time and would rather have no NHS or one where people pay at point of use and in return pay half my tax bill.

How would your idea of paying for healthcare services work for those on minimum or low income or those elderly or with health conditions requiring multiple appointments or services?

How would fewer public services work in education, social care, emergency services, unemployment or sickness benefits? All these services need huge investment not less.

Mlanket · 01/11/2024 12:11

@Blondiie yes it was billed as a temporary measure but then got changed to permanent.

samarrange · 01/11/2024 12:15

Colourfulduvets · 01/11/2024 10:51

It's not a dopey answer but it is quite a childish one.

Of course no one is advocating for the private sector not to exist that's just a ridiculous thing to say.

There is no perfect answer or route out of the situation the country finds itself in Years of underinvestment in public services and a belief that profit and share holders are king has led us to where we are.

Something had to be done. Maybe all of the new measures are a disaster. Only time will tell.

Genuine politics comes down to discussing where we want to be in the space between "The government should own the pubs" and "A private company should run the army and police". Bad-faith politics consists of claiming that your opponent holds one of those positions.

Harvestfestivalknickers · 01/11/2024 12:16

I know I would be happy to pay more tax if I could see my investment paying off on improving economic growth. I want to see the UK as a good place to do business, to attract foreign investment because we have a high skilled, productive workforce utilising excellent modern transport links.
But I just can't see that that happening, rather than increasing productivity I think employers will be cutting hours, cutting investment in training and upskilling. I just don't see growth happening anytime soon.

PlanetJanette · 01/11/2024 12:27

Nogaxeh · 01/11/2024 10:29

You are not wrong. It was completely irresponsible of the previous government to cut NI at a time when the country was still borrowing lots of money after Covid and the energy price shock.

My main complaint about the current government is that, while they've done the necessary thing to increase taxes, they're actually going to borrow even more, because they haven't increased taxes enough to pay for all the things they want to spend on.

Britain can't keep borrowing more and more with no consequence for ever. At some point it will all come crashing down.

Borrowing to invest makes total sense. It's the rough equivilent of borrowing to buy a house, or a business.

Borrowing to fund day to day spending, on the other hand, does not make sense (apart, perhaps, in times of economic down turn when the public sector should shore up economic demand to boost growth).

The Budget plans means the Government will be running a current budget surplus from 2027.

The problem is that as a nation, the UK seems to expect scandinavian style public services on US-style tax receipts. And successive Governments have indulged that delusion, which is why we're in the mess we're in.

It's a good thing that there is now a Government that is no longer indulging in that delusion.

IdleAnimations · 01/11/2024 12:31

Tells you all you need to know. A communist PM and a communist Chancellor do not care about growth.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1968985/chancellor-rachel-reeves-budget-jeremy-hunt

sussexman · 01/11/2024 12:32

My business could stand this a lot easier if VAT wasn’t 20%. It used to be 8%.

It hasn't been 8% for 45 years!

sussexman · 01/11/2024 12:37

IdleAnimations · 01/11/2024 12:31

Tells you all you need to know. A communist PM and a communist Chancellor do not care about growth.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1968985/chancellor-rachel-reeves-budget-jeremy-hunt

There is no sense in which either Reeves or Starmer could be described as "communist".

This is clearly a painful budget; but at least it is a fiscally responsible one with the Conservative! habit of borrowing to fund day-to-day spending being eliminated and instead directed to investment for sustainable growth. The previous government by contrast was cutting investment and paying for public services on the never-never.

Colourfulduvets · 01/11/2024 12:40

IdleAnimations · 01/11/2024 12:31

Tells you all you need to know. A communist PM and a communist Chancellor do not care about growth.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1968985/chancellor-rachel-reeves-budget-jeremy-hunt

Fgs!
They aren't communists! The woman in the portrait was way back in 1920 before then joining the Labour Party.

Comments like this are so irritating and pointless.

PandoraSox · 01/11/2024 12:41

IdleAnimations · 01/11/2024 12:31

Tells you all you need to know. A communist PM and a communist Chancellor do not care about growth.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1968985/chancellor-rachel-reeves-budget-jeremy-hunt

Communist?😅

Colourfulduvets · 01/11/2024 12:42

The Daily Express. Well known for it's in-depth, unbiased political analysis! 😂

Nogaxeh · 01/11/2024 12:49

PlanetJanette · 01/11/2024 12:27

Borrowing to invest makes total sense. It's the rough equivilent of borrowing to buy a house, or a business.

Borrowing to fund day to day spending, on the other hand, does not make sense (apart, perhaps, in times of economic down turn when the public sector should shore up economic demand to boost growth).

The Budget plans means the Government will be running a current budget surplus from 2027.

The problem is that as a nation, the UK seems to expect scandinavian style public services on US-style tax receipts. And successive Governments have indulged that delusion, which is why we're in the mess we're in.

It's a good thing that there is now a Government that is no longer indulging in that delusion.

When you borrow a massive amount for a crisis - like Covid - then you need to pay it back afterwards, so that you can borrow again for the next crisis. After WWII Britain spent many decades paying back the debt incurred, that meant we could borrow when there was a banking crisis and when there was a global pandemic. Britain now needs to pay it back.

Secondly, the budget increased the level of borrowing, but the level of investment spending is being held stable. If Britain was borrowing more to pay for more investment that would be one thing. That's not what seems to be happening.

sazzy5 · 01/11/2024 12:52

I work for a large employer. There was also a decrease in when the NI hits, down from £9k to £5k. So another hit of 15% on that yearly a cost of £600 on a lot of employees. NMW is a huge hit too.
I know recruitment will be frozen, there will be some redundancies and a decrease in pay rises if any at all next year. They will also be increasing consumer prices again.

Zebedee999 · 01/11/2024 12:53

MumofCandR · 01/11/2024 09:54

I don't understand the outrage over the national insurance increase in the budget. Only 2 years ago (April 2022) Rishi Sunak increased employee NI to 13.25%, 5.25% higher than it is today - fact. Only in January this year it was 12%, today it sits at 8% - fact. This was a very clever move by the conservatives to pull the wool over everyone's eyes. On the one hand, best case scenario it would increase their vote share as they floundered in popularity (didn't work), worst case they would leave the next government with an impossible hole to fill and the NHS underfunded laying the foundations for privatisation, and setting the conditions for any subsequent government to fail - very, very devious. And people seem to have fallen for this machivelian move, memories are incredibly short. So much consternation over a 1.2% increase for employers? This doesn't even bring NI near to where it started out less than 12 months ago, if businesses are this sensitive to a minor % increase in NI then there's far more to worry about the sustainability and viability of these in the first place, surely - AIBU?

The Tories aren't in power any more! Each government should be held to account by the electorate. Just because the Tories were/weren't worse doesn't mean the current government should get a free pass on everything. They work for us and are accountable to us. Quit tribalism and hold your government of the day to account.
Labour have a record for leaving power with increased unemployment than before they took office, the extra costs on employers will make that track record happen... again.

coffeeandteav · 01/11/2024 12:55

IdleAnimations · 01/11/2024 12:31

Tells you all you need to know. A communist PM and a communist Chancellor do not care about growth.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1968985/chancellor-rachel-reeves-budget-jeremy-hunt

Oh yesh a pure commie budget.

Some major stretching used in here to manipulate today.