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Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

The NI changes are going to cost my organisation £1000 per employee

542 replies

flashbac · 01/11/2024 06:41

The NI changes are going to cost my organisation on average £1000 per employee, The lowering of the threshold alone is going to cost around £600 extra per employee.

We are heavily regulated with fixed income. We're a not for profit. Our customers expectations are increasing. We are now most likely going to have to somehow reduce our headcount now, and payrises for April are going to be off the table.

Just shaking my head really. Our employees don't deserve this. Hard to see how this isn't a tax on jobs.

The lowering of the threshold also means employers have to pay for more workers, because part time salaries are now dragged into it.

A lot of people reading this won't care. All I can say is this NI increase will also affect you. just think about Local authorities, childcare providers and other services. Do you think it won't affect your Councils services/tax bills, to give one example?

(I'm not a Tory bot btw, before anyone starts accusing me of being one. I voted Remain, don't support the Tories at all, can't stand Boris and his cronies.)

OP posts:
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13
EasternStandard · 01/11/2024 15:14

financiallyiliterate · 01/11/2024 13:53

Might be prudent to check whats happening today?

Markets have calmed dramatically, Gilt yields marginally just higher than in the spring of 2024 after Hunts budget. 4.37 vs 4.41.

As I had just posted I was listening to an economist rounding up the market reaction, so pretty close to real time analysis

This was about then too

https://www.ft.com/content/ae73cfba-b9c4-4c5c-843e-d45ada55db95

Investors warn of lasting ‘risk premium’ in gilts following UK Budget

Traders play down parallels with 2022 market crisis but say rise in borrowing costs will linger

https://www.ft.com/content/ae73cfba-b9c4-4c5c-843e-d45ada55db95

newchapternewday · 01/11/2024 15:22

Fairyliz · 01/11/2024 06:55

I wondered about this. If the NHS employs 1.5 million won’t the extra money Labour put into it go on increased NI contributions?

They have excluded the NHS from these additional payments

Coolasfeck · 01/11/2024 15:27

ginasevern · 01/11/2024 12:49

Was there ever a time that farmers didn't moan their heads off about something?

Just out of interest, where would people suggest we raise tax from to pay for our (ever crumbling) public services. Or would they prefer a "pay as you go for everything" system rather like the States. Genuine question.

After campaigning so hard for Brexit, you’d think the farmers would be keeping their head down for a while when it comes to the country’s finances.

StatisticallyChallenged · 01/11/2024 15:36

Shakeoffyourchains · 01/11/2024 13:55

It impacts low-paying organisations the most anyway.

A business employing all their staff on the national median wage would see a c2.4% increase in overall staff wage costs with these changes. One employing them on the real living wage will see a c2.9% increase and one that's employing staff on the national minimum wage will see a 3.1% increase from the NI changes.

Given that it's pretty standard to budget for a 2-5% increase in staff costs, most decent businesses should be in a position to absorb these changes and say "Hey folks, unfortunately due to these NI changes you won't get / will get less of a pay rise this year (which is shit), but your jobs are safe and we'll be able to resume again next year".

The issue is most acute for business paying NMW as they have no choice but to cover both the NI and NMW increases in one go, which means they're facing a c 7.3% increase in overall staff costs. But that's the risk you run if you opt for NMW over a fair wage. If those same businesses had chosen to pay their staff the real living wage instead (a whole £1.16 p/h more than NMW) they'd only be looking at the 3% increase next year.

The ones it hits the hardest are business where a large number of the staff are part time, because most of the hike comes from the threshold increase rather than the rate increase. We have our own business, it's only open part time hours so most of the staff are also part time. No way round that. Real living wage employer but because the staff are part time the hit is about 6%.

We had budgeted about 5% for pay rises which is about right for the latest real living wage increase. Hadn't planned on having to find the same again down the back of the sofa though.

Noname99 · 01/11/2024 16:07

Labour supporters are hilarious. Farmers are all whingers and Jeremey Clarkeson is the typical example apparently! Charities are made up of fat cat bosses and the staff that work for them are all useless. Business owners are all running ‘unviable’ businesses when they can absorb the largest tax hike in decades and minimum wage hike within 6 months.

Is there anyone other than MW public sector workers that you don’t hate?

Brananan · 01/11/2024 16:49

Coolasfeck · 01/11/2024 15:27

After campaigning so hard for Brexit, you’d think the farmers would be keeping their head down for a while when it comes to the country’s finances.

Farmers literally provide your food.

LiquoriceAllsort2 · 01/11/2024 17:16

Brananan · 01/11/2024 16:49

Farmers literally provide your food.

Yes and look at the fuss people made about a few tomatoes missing on shelves recently.

Boomer55 · 01/11/2024 17:18

Fairyliz · 01/11/2024 06:55

I wondered about this. If the NHS employs 1.5 million won’t the extra money Labour put into it go on increased NI contributions?

They are exempt, for some reason, as are other public service departments. 🤷‍♀️

Boomer55 · 01/11/2024 17:21

Noname99 · 01/11/2024 16:07

Labour supporters are hilarious. Farmers are all whingers and Jeremey Clarkeson is the typical example apparently! Charities are made up of fat cat bosses and the staff that work for them are all useless. Business owners are all running ‘unviable’ businesses when they can absorb the largest tax hike in decades and minimum wage hike within 6 months.

Is there anyone other than MW public sector workers that you don’t hate?

I have got sympathy for some of this, but I’m not sure Clarkson and Allstrop are the best poster boy and girl for the farming campaign.

There is a large London protest planned.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14030241/Furious-farmers-hold-major-Westminster-protest-Labours-Budget-land-cash-raid-Rachel-Reeves.html

Agri-avengers assemble! Farmers to hold major Westminster tax protest

The National Farmers Union is to hold a major Westminster rally next month after Rachel Reeves revoked farmland's exemption from inheritance tax (IHT).

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14030241/Furious-farmers-hold-major-Westminster-protest-Labours-Budget-land-cash-raid-Rachel-Reeves.html

Annabel28 · 01/11/2024 17:22

Fairyliz · 01/11/2024 06:55

I wondered about this. If the NHS employs 1.5 million won’t the extra money Labour put into it go on increased NI contributions?

My understanding is the NHS is going to be exempt from paying increase NI - GP practices aren't but are lobbying for it.

ginasevern · 01/11/2024 17:45

Coolasfeck · 01/11/2024 15:27

After campaigning so hard for Brexit, you’d think the farmers would be keeping their head down for a while when it comes to the country’s finances.

Oh yes indeed, you would've thought so wouldn't you!

friendlycat · 01/11/2024 18:53

Noname99 · 01/11/2024 16:07

Labour supporters are hilarious. Farmers are all whingers and Jeremey Clarkeson is the typical example apparently! Charities are made up of fat cat bosses and the staff that work for them are all useless. Business owners are all running ‘unviable’ businesses when they can absorb the largest tax hike in decades and minimum wage hike within 6 months.

Is there anyone other than MW public sector workers that you don’t hate?

Indeed

EasternStandard · 01/11/2024 18:56

Noname99 · 01/11/2024 16:07

Labour supporters are hilarious. Farmers are all whingers and Jeremey Clarkeson is the typical example apparently! Charities are made up of fat cat bosses and the staff that work for them are all useless. Business owners are all running ‘unviable’ businesses when they can absorb the largest tax hike in decades and minimum wage hike within 6 months.

Is there anyone other than MW public sector workers that you don’t hate?

Yep

NorthWestWoes · 01/11/2024 19:03

Shakeoffyourchains · 01/11/2024 13:55

It impacts low-paying organisations the most anyway.

A business employing all their staff on the national median wage would see a c2.4% increase in overall staff wage costs with these changes. One employing them on the real living wage will see a c2.9% increase and one that's employing staff on the national minimum wage will see a 3.1% increase from the NI changes.

Given that it's pretty standard to budget for a 2-5% increase in staff costs, most decent businesses should be in a position to absorb these changes and say "Hey folks, unfortunately due to these NI changes you won't get / will get less of a pay rise this year (which is shit), but your jobs are safe and we'll be able to resume again next year".

The issue is most acute for business paying NMW as they have no choice but to cover both the NI and NMW increases in one go, which means they're facing a c 7.3% increase in overall staff costs. But that's the risk you run if you opt for NMW over a fair wage. If those same businesses had chosen to pay their staff the real living wage instead (a whole £1.16 p/h more than NMW) they'd only be looking at the 3% increase next year.

Your calculations are wrong. If you’re paying NMW your staff costs are going up 9% to 10%. If you’re committed to paying UK-wide RLW your costs are going up about 8.5% (RLW increase plus NI changes).

Username056 · 01/11/2024 19:13

Annabel28 · 01/11/2024 17:22

My understanding is the NHS is going to be exempt from paying increase NI - GP practices aren't but are lobbying for it.

I don’t believe they will be “exempt” as such. They will be given extra money by the Chancellor from taxation to cover the cost of the NI payroll increase. NHS also has recent pay rises to cover with consequent increase in pensions too. The bill will be enormous.

BIossomtoes · 01/11/2024 20:43

Username056 · 01/11/2024 19:13

I don’t believe they will be “exempt” as such. They will be given extra money by the Chancellor from taxation to cover the cost of the NI payroll increase. NHS also has recent pay rises to cover with consequent increase in pensions too. The bill will be enormous.

Why do you think they’d waste time and money for such a convoluted approach when exemption would be so much simpler?

flashbac · 01/11/2024 20:56

Tryingtokeepgoing · 01/11/2024 10:30

Well it’s quite simple. The threshold has dropped from £9,100 to £5000. So every single employee immediately costs 15% of £4,100 more. That’s £615. Not £210. And for someone on the average UK salary of £35k, there’s also another 1.2% on £25,900. So that’s another £310. So the average employee now costs just under £1k more.

Thank you! I couldn't be bothered addressing the posters doing their sums wrong. It's so annoying how ppl don't read the OP or can't do the maths and make out they are in the right!

OP posts:
Username056 · 01/11/2024 21:00

BIossomtoes · 01/11/2024 20:43

Why do you think they’d waste time and money for such a convoluted approach when exemption would be so much simpler?

I guess because if they didn’t give the money for NI to be paid in the normal way then the true cost of labour in the NHS would not be correctly accounted for. The real costs would be hidden in effect.

In one sense it doesn’t really matter. The cost to the public purse is the same whether it is exempted or given the money to pay it..

cheerypip · 01/11/2024 21:01

Greyrocked · 01/11/2024 10:02

If you are a small charity or company ensure you are claiming employment allowance if you're eligible (government subsidy to help cover NI costs).

Not even that small - I think any company/charity with an NI bill of up to £100k is eligible for employment allowance up to £10kish of their NI costs

flashbac · 01/11/2024 21:08

yeaitsmeagain · 01/11/2024 11:54

Yes but the Employers' Allowance is doubling.

Your math isn't mathing, unless your employees really are on 180k each.

I think you'll find it is YOUR maths that isn't 'mathing'.
Furthermore, the Employers allowance is not that much.

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NorthWestWoes · 01/11/2024 21:43

cheerypip · 01/11/2024 21:01

Not even that small - I think any company/charity with an NI bill of up to £100k is eligible for employment allowance up to £10kish of their NI costs

That’s 30-ish employees if they’re mostly low paid but with a manager or two.

flashbac · 01/11/2024 21:51

NorthWestWoes · 01/11/2024 21:43

That’s 30-ish employees if they’re mostly low paid but with a manager or two.

Employment Allowance allows eligible employers to reduce their annual National Insurance liability by up to £5,000.
It's not much.

Employment Allowance

Claim up to £5,000 off your employer's National Insurance (NI), who is eligible, how to claim using your payroll software.

https://www.gov.uk/claim-employment-allowance/eligibility

OP posts:
NorthWestWoes · 01/11/2024 21:58

flashbac · 01/11/2024 21:51

Employment Allowance allows eligible employers to reduce their annual National Insurance liability by up to £5,000.
It's not much.

Oh I agree it’s not much. And to my mind 30 ish employees is a very small business.

flashbac · 01/11/2024 22:11

NorthWestWoes · 01/11/2024 21:58

Oh I agree it’s not much. And to my mind 30 ish employees is a very small business.

I'm not sure the number of 30 employees is correct either.

OP posts:
DogInATent · 02/11/2024 08:45

SassK · 01/11/2024 09:51

I was with the NHS for 20 years. My husband works a specialist NHS role with a team (an amazing team) of staff he's required to manage (he does an actual job though - a very busy, heavily pressured job - managing is just an add on). I can emphatically say that the NHS IS absolutely top heavy with management. There is also an issue with staff for whom skills have staled, and they're just biding their time to pension.

In terms of the budget, I'm a bit fed up of hearing people say the money has to come from somewhere - there WERE other options. Another concern is how reliant Rachel Reeves appears to be on the advice of third party institutions (who are often wrong in their predictions). Disappointing too that Labour has canned the planned change to child benefit (ie the plan to make fairer the high income threshold for single income households).

I want to give Labour a chance, but this budget misses the mark on several levels.

We're talking different things.

Overall, the NHS operates with a below average number of managers when compared to the private sector. It is undermanaged, particularly at lower levels of management in direct support of frontline staff.

You're arguing it's top heavy with management. That's another issue. It may also too many senior managers and a too vertical organisation structure.

The NHS can have both too few managers overall and too many senior managers at the same time. They're not incompatible statements.