Whether she is guilty or not, if the conviction has been done on dodgy stats that has implications for any one of us who could find ourselves as the receiving end of bad statistics to prove something against us.
I haven't seen people on here saying she IS innocent. merely that the evidence seems not to have reached the level of reasonable doubt.
Thing is, without a full picture, then things can appear so much worse:
When we didn't have a car, we sometimes borrowed the PIL car.
At one point out of the 6 times we'd borrowed it over the summer holidays, we'd found a fault 5 times. Or another way of looking at it, 83% of the time we'd borrowed it over the summer holidays, a fault was found. So was it something we did? They used to joke about us finding a fault with their car when we borrowed it.
But that wasn't the full picture. Because we didn't only borrow it over the holidays. We'd borrowed it another 14 times on top of that. So actually it should have been 5 times out of 20, which is 25%.
But if you actually looked into it there were several factors.
- The MOT was due in September, and ILs never checked the car nor took it to a garage between MOTs unless it was clearly in need of repair (as in not starting or something pretty obvious)
- ILs didn't do long journeys in that car, so some things became obvious over the journey. The only long journeys we did were those 6 during the summer holidays.
- At least 3 of the faults* (and I suspect the other two as well) were probably there when we picked it up (eg one was the temperature gauge was wrapped around the too hot level, my fil admitted he never looked at it). Simply by me checking, and reacting to noises that didn't sound right, things became obvious.
- The car was around 15 years old, so a few faults were not unexpected, especially as it wasn't well looked after.
- Faults were: Nail in tyre, almost no oil, brake pad worn out (and disk nearly gone too), temperature gauge not working and coil needing replacing.
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Statistics are great, but not many people understand them fully, and the right questions need to be asked in order for them to give the true picture.
As you can see, the first stat "5 times out of 6 when borrowing the car during the summer holidays" looks pretty damming. Put the rest of the information with it, and it doesn't.
But my question would be, why the defence wasn't asking those questions and bringing in the fuller picture? That seems very odd.