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What Rachel Reeves does next? Surprised no thread on this yet. It's all over Twitter

552 replies

Sharingsomewisdom · 21/08/2024 13:50

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13764547/Rachel-Reeves-mulls-tax-hikes-spending-squeeze-raising-rents-social-housing-Chancellor-sees-Government-borrow-3bn-forecast-month.html

Or am I the only one interested what she is eying next? Any comment on the reasonableness or otherwise of Rachel's next focus?

Chancellor sees Government borrow £3bn more than forecast last month

According to the Office for National Statistics ( ONS ), public sector net borrowing stood at £3.1billion in July.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13764547/Rachel-Reeves-mulls-tax-hikes-spending-squeeze-raising-rents-social-housing-Chancellor-sees-Government-borrow-3bn-forecast-month.html

OP posts:
Thread gallery
17
Greybobblyowl · 21/08/2024 19:36

Let’s face it the tories were so appalling that even if Labour had said pre election they were going to raise taxes and post dog shit through peoples letterboxes every week they were still the better option ! That’s the real problem and continues to be - they are just trying to sort out the mess that’s been left for them and it’s going to be hard.

EasternStandard · 21/08/2024 19:37

DogsAtDawn · 21/08/2024 19:34

Oh, look. A political thread that doesn't continuosly praise the Labour Party or left in general.

Nasty personal comments, snide remarks, downright insults, shitty tory puns, gloating, claiming posters are stupid because autocorrect errors exist, accusations of working for Conservative Party HQ, this🤣, this😂, this 🙄 and this "HTH".

How very mature.
Won't, or is that can't, engage in genuine discussion on matters that rightly concern people. Everyone must throw their hands up, dance and sing in praise of the blissful Utopia, that exists all throughout the land under a Labour government. Anyone not doing so will be set upon immediately.

It's predictable and it is tedious.

All (well, nearly all, as I'm not including extremist ones) political parties are good in some ways and shit in others. Which is which is highly dependent on individual circumstances. Can folks not ask questions, ponder or express worries without the instant mockery.

I think the reality of Labour kicking in might dull some of this which has dominated for last few years, tedious and predictable as you say

There'll be plenty of criticism as people realise taxes going up and unions plus Labour isn't all that (public sector excluded)

KTheGrey · 21/08/2024 19:43

44% of children in single parent families are in poverty. So enforcing CM through HMRC could potentially save the government some money as well as being the right thing to do.

iwishihadknownmore · 21/08/2024 19:44

rumblegrumble · 21/08/2024 19:34

Do you have a source? The most recent G7 forecasts I've seen were in May - before we exceeded our forecast figures. Our forecasts have been duly updated, I assume the G7's have too? I must've missed them, sorry. Regardless, they'll have to be an extremely rough estimate as there's so much political turmoil at present, both here and abroad. We now have a new government and who knows whether he'll continue the policies that led to the growth or try something else, which may be more or less successful. Both the US and Canada are coming up to elections, both with the potential to dramatically shake their economies. And as a nod to the first post I responded to, saying our growth is likely to fall faster isn't particularly illuminating as our growth is currently a lot higher than all but America's, so even if our growth rate slows more than the others, we'll still be growing more. The figures show us recovering extremely well comparatively, and we should be very pleased with that. Especially as we've managed it with all the political crap over the last couple of years, it's actually astonishing we're not knee-deep in recession!

PS Earth plc is in a very bad place, we all have insurmountable debt. Which is obviously going to rise, whoever's in charge - as are the interest payments. I've not heard anyone denying this.

What policies on growth did the Tories enact?

You should look at growth of the UK in comparison to pre pandemic levels, we are at 2.3%, Eurozone 4%, USA 7% France and Japan 3.7% and 3.2%, only Germany has done worse, in fact they've done very badly.

As i said, UK IS growing strongly BUT from a low base.

One thing that has hit us is interest on debt, something Truss made far worse, she caused UK Gilts to plunge in value and hence yields to rocket, (our debt interest rate) Hunt stabilised that (still very high though) but the yields he borrowed at now have to be repaid.

Yes agree on turmoil, anything could happen in Ukraine or SE Asia and knock the world economy once again.

JenniferBooth · 21/08/2024 19:44

Nanana1 · 21/08/2024 18:50

I’m not arguing to reduce the amount a single person gets but surely a household with two adults is less likely to need as much care because the other adult takes on a lot of the caring?

And yet...................https://www.mumsnet.com/talk/money-matters/3479693-Changes-to-Pension-Credit

Changes to Pension Credit. | Mumsnet

From 15 May Pension Credit couple rate will only be paid if both are over 65 [[https://twitter.com/JosephineCumbo/status/1084920673296961536]]...

https://www.mumsnet.com/talk/money-matters/3479693-Changes-to-Pension-Credit

Greybobblyowl · 21/08/2024 19:47

KTheGrey · 21/08/2024 19:43

44% of children in single parent families are in poverty. So enforcing CM through HMRC could potentially save the government some money as well as being the right thing to do.

Excellent idea and should be a priority

BornToBeWokeFree · 21/08/2024 19:48

EasternStandard · 21/08/2024 19:37

I think the reality of Labour kicking in might dull some of this which has dominated for last few years, tedious and predictable as you say

There'll be plenty of criticism as people realise taxes going up and unions plus Labour isn't all that (public sector excluded)

100% agree. It will start to bite soon. Much sooner than even I predicted.

How Starmer thought scrapping pensioner's money was a good idea when giving traindrivers, doctors etc. already on decent money a huge pay rise shows his views.

Unions will rise up and cause chaos this winter. People will change their view and the winds of change blow very quickly, but more fool them voting in this shower.

Theolittle · 21/08/2024 19:51

BornToBeWokeFree · 21/08/2024 19:48

100% agree. It will start to bite soon. Much sooner than even I predicted.

How Starmer thought scrapping pensioner's money was a good idea when giving traindrivers, doctors etc. already on decent money a huge pay rise shows his views.

Unions will rise up and cause chaos this winter. People will change their view and the winds of change blow very quickly, but more fool them voting in this shower.

Yeah cos it’s been so feel good over the last 13 years 😂😂

twistyizzy · 21/08/2024 19:52

iwishihadknownmore · 21/08/2024 19:34

They said no rises in taxes for working people, income tax, NI and VAT.

Stop being dishonest, you know v well what they promised pre GE, you re just a sore loser.

Plenty of room for other tax increases.

I work and they are going to charge me an extra 20%!

MushMonster · 21/08/2024 19:53

iwishihadknownmore · 21/08/2024 19:34

They said no rises in taxes for working people, income tax, NI and VAT.

Stop being dishonest, you know v well what they promised pre GE, you re just a sore loser.

Plenty of room for other tax increases.

This.
The article I read mentions inheritance tax and capital gains tax as the possible ones to raise.
We will see.
She cannot raise the HA rent but much, I think as it affects people on the lower earnings or in very expensive cities.
I would really like to see corporations getting a grip of how much profit they can take out of a business and still hace customers. Growth is important, of course, but pocketing record profits when in the middle of a crisis is not sustainable. They need to shoulder it too. What is the point of them making 20% more than last year if 50% of their customers will not be able to afford their products next year? I will have to re-mortgage my home to pay for Heinz beans at this rate! And eat them cold from the tin, of course, no money to heat them up!

Arconialiving · 21/08/2024 19:56

hairbearbunches · 21/08/2024 14:28

To be honest, I'm past caring. If Labour had pulled together back in 2017, we could have saved an awful lot of money and had more to go round now, because as bad as it may nor may not have been, Labour under Corbyn would not have wasted the billions that were trousered under Johnson during Covid.

Reeves is ex BoE and still in thrall to the failed project that is neoliberalism. Unless we bring in a wealth tax on the super rich and stop corporations from all their tax avoidance shenanigans, it's all just Titanic deck chair rearranging.

Given that virtually all English councils will declare bankruptcy in the next few years, increasing social rents to pay for more council housing is like sticking a plaster on an arterial bleed. It needs big, creative ideas, not more of the same tinkering around the edges bollocks.

I agree sadly!

rumblegrumble · 21/08/2024 19:56

iwishihadknownmore · 21/08/2024 19:44

What policies on growth did the Tories enact?

You should look at growth of the UK in comparison to pre pandemic levels, we are at 2.3%, Eurozone 4%, USA 7% France and Japan 3.7% and 3.2%, only Germany has done worse, in fact they've done very badly.

As i said, UK IS growing strongly BUT from a low base.

One thing that has hit us is interest on debt, something Truss made far worse, she caused UK Gilts to plunge in value and hence yields to rocket, (our debt interest rate) Hunt stabilised that (still very high though) but the yields he borrowed at now have to be repaid.

Yes agree on turmoil, anything could happen in Ukraine or SE Asia and knock the world economy once again.

But the Tories are more than one person - everyone can agree that Truss was absolute shit. But she's not been in power for the past year, Sunak has - and like him or loathe him (I tend toward the latter as I think his covid handouts were extremely irresponsible), the economy has improved under him. I actually think it was helped along by our election as I think people were obviously expecting Starmer to win and thought he'd be better for business. My original post merely remarked that RR had been oddly quiet about the fact the economy has turned out to be in better shape than expected, when you'd expect her to be thrilled. We have done horribly since covid, but we had Johnson and then Truss so I say again that we should be happy it's not a lot worse! But now we're out of covid - and brexit - and we are doing better than elsewhere, and I think we should be very thankful for that. It's not looking pretty out there :(

OnceUponATimeInTheWest · 21/08/2024 20:01

BornToBeWokeFree · 21/08/2024 19:48

100% agree. It will start to bite soon. Much sooner than even I predicted.

How Starmer thought scrapping pensioner's money was a good idea when giving traindrivers, doctors etc. already on decent money a huge pay rise shows his views.

Unions will rise up and cause chaos this winter. People will change their view and the winds of change blow very quickly, but more fool them voting in this shower.

Because a large number of pensioners receiving the winter fuel allowance were also already on decent money too?

RobinStrike · 21/08/2024 20:05

Paul Johnson of the IFS who seems to be held as the guru for all of this has said that while the books were open and the incoming government was aware of a lot of the problems, some of it had been hidden as it hadn't yet been disclosed officially so wasn't in the books.

fullfact.org/economy/labour-government-blackhole-public-finances/

AuntieJoyce · 21/08/2024 20:06

Theolittle · 21/08/2024 19:00

The country’s debt DOUBLED under the tories BEFORE COVID. It’s now £2.7 trillion

Anyone with a brain before the election knew there was pain to come, but none of the political parties would be honest about it. Particularly reform/greens, but they can lie because they know there’s no chance of them winning.

So I’m not too worried that Rachel Reeves is doing unpopular things. I feel like the adults are back in the room, decent people.

They reap what they saw on this one. They’re going to have to tinker around with so many different taxes that they’ll end up being unpopular with everyone.

The winter fuel allowance will just be the first in a series of grossly unpopular moves. Wait till we get a colder winter than average this year and pensioners start dying.

It’s the posturing I can’t stand. Everyone knew there was no money before they added an additional several billion by agreeing crappy terms with the train drivers et al. They’re just treating us like complete idiots which is why they only got 20% of the vote

FOJN · 21/08/2024 20:16

Nanana1 · 21/08/2024 18:50

I’m not arguing to reduce the amount a single person gets but surely a household with two adults is less likely to need as much care because the other adult takes on a lot of the caring?

In a household with two adults you can't force a sale of the house to pay for care costs and make the adult who doesn't need care homeless. If I need care my house will be sold to pay for it, which is fine but I'm still paying proportionally more for less benefit and not because I'm better off to begin with.

AuntieJoyce · 21/08/2024 20:24

OnceUponATimeInTheWest · 21/08/2024 20:01

Because a large number of pensioners receiving the winter fuel allowance were also already on decent money too?

Edited

Half of all single female pensioners are living on less than £259 a week total income. That’s a government fact.

I’m sick of the MN trope that all these pensioners are well off

Theolittle · 21/08/2024 20:25

20%????

It was 33.7%. More than any other party.

OnceUponATimeInTheWest · 21/08/2024 20:25

AuntieJoyce · 21/08/2024 20:24

Half of all single female pensioners are living on less than £259 a week total income. That’s a government fact.

I’m sick of the MN trope that all these pensioners are well off

Did I say all? Don’t think I did.

RobinStrike · 21/08/2024 20:27

Do you really think agreeing terms with the train drivers is crappy? Even Mark Harper who was negotiating with them in the previous government has publicly stated that the strikes cost more than the pay rise would have. Sou wouldn't it have made more sense to have settled years ago and had a fully functioning rail service and save some money?

x.com/simonscarrow/status/1824718855391842783?s=61&t=708dEn_EkpuN3JVBO9mR8A

Perfect28 · 21/08/2024 20:33

I think there will be council tax reform.

AuntieJoyce · 21/08/2024 20:39

Theolittle · 21/08/2024 20:25

20%????

It was 33.7%. More than any other party.

Apologies I’ve not phrased that correctly.

20% of the voting population

Clavinova · 21/08/2024 20:43

iwishihadknownmore
Bottom line is Hunt cut 4% off NI and that now has to be paid for, some £12 billion, Hunt also didn't set aside any extra money for the pay review body pay rises, not one penny.

Hunt stole Labour's non-dom policy and extended windfall taxes. The Tories were also intending to ditch the remainder of the overseas climate aid pledge (made pre Ukraine/energy crisis) - saving £5 billion of unspent funding. Labour have chosen instead to honour that pledge;

("The Tories were preparing to ditch the pledge")

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/article/2024/jul/26/ed-miliband-labour-honour-pledge-11bn-overseas-climate-aid

Livelovebehappy · 21/08/2024 20:43

This is Labour we’re talking about here. They will spend,spend, spend. They will do the costings later. That’s what they do. They’ll be a one term party, and will probably lead us to bankruptcy before their time’s up.

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