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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

What do you think the U.K. will be like in 15-20 years?

120 replies

GoodnightAdeline · 16/03/2024 11:16

Pondering this on the train this morning.

My personal view is Labour will win the election this year, and will be able to keep the country treading water for a little while, but we will continue to get poorer as a nation and the decline will continue. I think there will be an exodus of skilled and younger people and we will slide into second world country status, leaving a tiny workforce struggling to support an enormous number of dependants. Perhaps it will right itself eventually, but not before 2060 or so.

Am I being too pessimistic?

OP posts:
owlsinthedaylight · 16/03/2024 13:46

DelilahsHaven · 16/03/2024 13:42

I think that depends on where you were in terms of wealth at the time if the 2008 crash - we certainly weren't fondly reminiscing about unfounded pessimism ten years later. We were significantly affected by it at the time and it took many years to regain the ground.

Richer people weather instances like that, and Brexit, and the pandemic much more easily than those less well off.

I think you miss my point about the difference between individual and societal impacts.

Personally I was very affected by it at the time. However societally we recovered.

Almahart · 16/03/2024 13:47

Poorer, edging back to some sort of relationship with the EU.

Migration will grow and grow as an issue as parts of the world become uninhabitable.

@Somerford am (genuinely) interested in why you say that about China. Is it because of their demography?

ArseInTheCoOpWindow · 16/03/2024 13:55

helpfulperson · 16/03/2024 11:21

I agree it's interesting to speculate. But it depends, I think, more on world politics than home politics. I think within 10 years America will no longer be a super power, other nations will rise to prominance with the Asian continent becoming more powerful. Reliance on fossil fuels will reduce but water will become the next battlefield. And the impacts of climate change will become more and more significant.

There won’t be a battle about water here! It never stops bloody raining!

GoodnightAdeline · 16/03/2024 14:07

PersonFrom2045 · 16/03/2024 11:52

Someone will invent a way of transmitting electrical power wirelessly, so plugs will become obsolete and it will be life-changing.

Prince George's first born child will be a girl named Elizabeth.

We'll rejoin the EU in 2039 and start to have nice things again.

All coin denominations below £1 will be abolished.

Edited

Sorry but wireless electricity 😱 currents passing through the air and frying us to shreds if we are stood in the wrong place?!

OP posts:
Somerford · 16/03/2024 14:08

Almahart · 16/03/2024 13:47

Poorer, edging back to some sort of relationship with the EU.

Migration will grow and grow as an issue as parts of the world become uninhabitable.

@Somerford am (genuinely) interested in why you say that about China. Is it because of their demography?

Partly demographics, partly governance. Their demographics situation is absolutely dire AND they're ruled by a dictator whose main priority in recent years has been purging the government of anybody remotely competent. The rest of the world won't be discussing China as an emerging super power by 2060, they'll be watching the collapse and trying to detach from China economically as quickly as possible if they haven't already done so.

hangingonfordearlife1 · 16/03/2024 14:30

Containerhome · 16/03/2024 12:01

@RandomMess I agree. I was talking to dh about this the other day. We have 4 kids. I don't know or think if it would work or if the kids would agree or want to when they are older.... but! We could just save as much as we can now. When the kids are older and working, (we have 4) we could all pool in together and buy a biggish house. That could potentially be 6 incomes. Not sure if that is even doable/or a good idea. But I think we will get to a point in society where we might have to think this sort of way!

i'm pretty sure kids and their partners will not want to live with their parents

karriecreamer · 16/03/2024 14:55

whistleblower99 · 16/03/2024 12:24

A 2nd world country. Not enough people working, not enough people paying in. Many don’t have the inclination to change this as they think the money tree of the welfare state is endless. Whilst people have sat around happy to let someone else pay and the politicians have covered up the productivity issue and funding issue…the young and skilled are planning their out. Paying for things they will never see, home ownership, lifelong NHS, public pensions. The social contract had been broken for those <50. At the moment many are going East. Canada is popular for a western vibe.

I agree with all that.

whiteorchids44 · 16/03/2024 15:05

The UK will be back in the EU.

There will be less jobs and the possible introduction of universal basic income.

There will be an uptick of multigenerational living due to lack of housing etc..

People will emigrate to other countries for work, better healthcare etc..

The weather will slowly get more extreme due to climate change. More storms, heatwaves, rising sea levels. etc..

BIossomtoes · 16/03/2024 15:38

baileybrosbuildingandloan · 16/03/2024 13:32

Goodness that's a grim attitude.

I'm 61 and hope to live at least 30 more years.

It’s not remotely grim. In 20 years time I’ll be 90. No thank you. Hopefully voluntary euthanasia will be legal well before that.

A8888 · 16/03/2024 15:40

I think most of us will be wearing bodycams whenever we leave the house.

I think generally there will be a slow improvement in living standards for the majority. As previous generations aged and got rich they voted for governments with unfair wealth-hoarding policies. Middle-aged and young people now are struggling so much they will vote for more egalitarian politicians.

MartineBIT · 16/03/2024 15:51

People will emigrate to other countries for work, better healthcare etc.

My Romanian friend already goes home when she needs anything medical rather than risk the NHS. I think people have very little idea how far our standard of living has dropped over the last decade or so compared to the rest of Europe.

GoodnightAdeline · 16/03/2024 16:15

whistleblower99 · 16/03/2024 12:24

A 2nd world country. Not enough people working, not enough people paying in. Many don’t have the inclination to change this as they think the money tree of the welfare state is endless. Whilst people have sat around happy to let someone else pay and the politicians have covered up the productivity issue and funding issue…the young and skilled are planning their out. Paying for things they will never see, home ownership, lifelong NHS, public pensions. The social contract had been broken for those <50. At the moment many are going East. Canada is popular for a western vibe.

I would move to Canada tomorrow if I had a visa. I honestly would. And you’re right - it’s like the concept of finite money simply doesn’t exist to a lot of people.

OP posts:
KnittedCardi · 16/03/2024 16:18

To those saying we will rejoin the EU, you are assuming it will still exist. I'm not so sure.

Jasmin1971 · 16/03/2024 16:28

Anywhere between the two tropics will be very hard to support life as we know it. Mass migration and water wars. A bit like a cross between Mad Max and Waterworld. The elite will be holed up in some sub arctic pleasure cities while everyone else is left to fight it out for themselves. We don't deserve this planet.

CheapThrillsMeanNothing · 16/03/2024 16:31

@karriecreamer
I wondered how long it would take before posters start slagging off the 'Boomers'. How predictable.

Containerhome · 16/03/2024 16:31

@hangingonfordearlife1 true. They probably won't. However living in sepereate homes is still quite a modern way of living.

And the cost of buying and renting a home is not really achievable for a lot of people now. Who knows in 20 years time.

I'm not saying they have to. It's an option. And something that has been practiced on my husbands side of the family for generations.

It's an option

SoIf · 16/03/2024 16:36

It will be same as it is today, but with lots of mental health issues due to kids today being brought up with social media.

UK economy will continue to grow steadily but slowly.

Problems will still exist with immigration, climate change and net zero targets.

We will not rejoin the EU which will gradually break apart causing lots of issues for the UK as we are on their doorstep.

LittleWeed2 · 16/03/2024 16:41

People are having fewer children. Immigrants are the ones having larger families so there will be a shift as the majority of the population is not Christian.

hungrybum · 16/03/2024 16:42

BIossomtoes · 16/03/2024 15:38

It’s not remotely grim. In 20 years time I’ll be 90. No thank you. Hopefully voluntary euthanasia will be legal well before that.

You don't want to be alive at 90?

NeedToChangeName · 16/03/2024 16:48

AmaryllisChorus · 16/03/2024 13:39

Worse than the current lot? I was interested in a recent comment by Charles Spencer, Princess Diana's brother. He said the abandonment of very young children by their parents into sadistic boarding schools had a very similar mental impact on them as abusive foster care has on boys raised in poverty. They end up equally incapable of developing any moral and emotional cores. Only the poor end up in prison and the rich end up running the country. Which he said is frightening, given they have had empathy burned out of them from early childhood. Very perceptive of his own kind.

@AmaryllisChorus I've heard this before, that boarding schools are institutional care for rich people

See also "boarding school syndrome" and attachment difficulties

GoodnightAdeline · 16/03/2024 16:51

hungrybum · 16/03/2024 16:42

You don't want to be alive at 90?

I support @BIossomtoes on this. It’s unlikely I will live to 90 as I have a progressive illness but I don’t actually want to. 82 or 83 would be perfect.

OP posts:
enchantedsquirrelwood · 16/03/2024 16:54

If they're right about the AMOC collapsing, we'll suddenly have a climate like Canada and need to sort out our crap housing rather quickly!

ArseInTheCoOpWindow · 16/03/2024 16:57

LittleWeed2 · 16/03/2024 16:41

People are having fewer children. Immigrants are the ones having larger families so there will be a shift as the majority of the population is not Christian.

The majority of the population isn’t Christian now.

I don’t think there will be an EU in 20 years anymore. Italy will go next. Hungary is on the edge.

ohthejoys21 · 16/03/2024 16:59

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Garlicking · 16/03/2024 17:01

Allthegoodnamesarechosen · 16/03/2024 11:51

It will be grim, but I hope to be dead.

I'll be dead. I sometimes wonder why I'm still campaigning on matters that current generations have fucked up (despite all my campaigning, I have limited reach!) since I shan't be here to see what the next generation does about it all.

One good thing, I suppose, is that people will have stopped pretending they can change sex. On the other hand, medical science might've found a way to make it happen ... in any case, women & girls will still be getting the short end of the stick.

Climate-driven wars and mass migrations will be a major issue. There will probably be a stark separation between the very rich and everybody else, with economic unrest affecting most people's lives. Attitudes to work will have belatedly changed as 'jobs' won't really exist any more. There should be a universal basic income at living wage level; I hope there is!

On the other hand, global co-operation should be more evident by then although the world economy will have changed shape, with Asia truly ascendant and America rather angry.

More services, from health to education, will be provided by AI which will still not be very intelligent. Provision will be very patchy and self-help initiatives will spring up, for better or worse (probably worse).

For most people in the UK, it will just feel like life bumbling along in a slightly annoying but manageable fashion. Meanwhile, my ashes will be getting slowly absorbed by various terrestrial materials and becoming part of nature's recycling scheme.