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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

Results like these at a general election would mean Tory annihilation

702 replies

noblegiraffe · 20/10/2023 07:49

Says a BBC headline this morning.

Anyone else stockpiling popcorn?

OP posts:
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21
Fifteenth · 21/10/2023 15:52

Passepartoute · 21/10/2023 11:37

You can't extrapolate from your own motivations and even those of your friends to the motivation of all Tory voters. There was a very large core that was fully supportive of lockdown because they recognised that the NHS would never cope otherwise, and because they didn't want to die and they didn't want their relatives to die. Don't forget that lockdown was pretty standard all over the world, or indeed that Tory voters tend to be an older demographic.

And it's a large proportion of those who have become disillusioned and whose votes have been lost primarily because of the attitude Johnson demonstrated to compliance with the laws and guidance his own government put in place. No government can repeatedly flick two fingers at the public in the way they did and expect to get away with it.

85% vs 15% according to polls.

But that 15% overwhelmingly permanently Ex Tory.

Fifteenth · 21/10/2023 16:03

Passepartoute · 21/10/2023 11:37

You can't extrapolate from your own motivations and even those of your friends to the motivation of all Tory voters. There was a very large core that was fully supportive of lockdown because they recognised that the NHS would never cope otherwise, and because they didn't want to die and they didn't want their relatives to die. Don't forget that lockdown was pretty standard all over the world, or indeed that Tory voters tend to be an older demographic.

And it's a large proportion of those who have become disillusioned and whose votes have been lost primarily because of the attitude Johnson demonstrated to compliance with the laws and guidance his own government put in place. No government can repeatedly flick two fingers at the public in the way they did and expect to get away with it.

Also, it’s not my friends, it’s the anti Lockdown movement. You get to hear opinions of many times more people than you actually know.

Besides which, that conservatives hate both

  1. Govt abuse and
  2. Economic destruction

is hardly news to anyone!

“Lockdown was both”, is something we weren’t allowed to say in 2020 but is now widely said on both sides. Indeed not being allowed to say stuff is another thing conservatives hate.

pointythings · 21/10/2023 16:27

@Fifteenth I partly agree with you. I would posit that lockdown one was necessary simply because we did not know what we were dealing with - if it had had the lethality of SARS or MERS, for instance. It also didn't help that the pandemic hit at a time when the NHS had already spent 10 years being (intentially) run down.

Lockdown two could have been prevented with better management. The government of the time should absolutely be held accountable for that.
I do think that the hardcore lockdown people will vote for the likes of Reform.

1dayatatime · 21/10/2023 16:33

@TizerorFizz

"It does mean the belief that Labour can turn things around with any speed is ludicrous. Definitely a 10 year project. "

+++

Most definitely and this will in turn lead to disillusion with Labour in the 2029 election. There simply isn't the money there for Government to spend combined with appalling low levels of productivity in the UK and appalling low levels of business investment makes for a shit show beyond Labour's control.

In my mind it keeps coming back to the 1815 quote by Alexander Fraser Tytler

"A democracy will continue to exist up until the time that voters discover that they can vote themselves generous gifts from the public treasury. From that moment on, the majority always votes for the candidates who promise the most benefits from the public treasury, with the result that every democracy will finally collapse due to loose fiscal policy"

verdantverdure · 21/10/2023 17:19

Just as they tell you it takes 9 months to recover after a 9 month pregnancy I'd imagine 13 years of Tory asset stripping our country, neglecting our infrastructure and economic illiteracy will take 13 years to recover from.

It's never been this bad before.

The cheeky bastards have put us in record debt and the country has nothing to show for it.

BIossomtoes · 21/10/2023 17:38

pointythings · 21/10/2023 15:20

@Papyrophile I agree - I remember the Tories under Major and even under Thatcher. What we have now aren't even the same species. They aren't Conservatives, they're Destructives. The're going to have to go full phoenix from the ashes to recover any credibility as a centre right party. Sadly I think they're going to start by going full wingnut first.

Completely agree. I hope they’re irrelevant to the end of time after the last few years.

TizerorFizz · 21/10/2023 18:05

PFI is a major drain on finances for schools and hospitals. Labour policy. It’s money not available for teaching children. Academies were handed over to business and church schools proliferated. Labour guaranteed returns for companies owning nuclear, water and train infrastructure. Air traffic control and defence research were sold off. In work benefits made it a no brainer for employers to keep wages down. The government helped out. Great.

Anyone thinking Labour will return to socialist policies of the left will be wrong. They really will struggle to tax more. Non dom tax won’t be enough. Nor vat on school fees. Those who don’t have as much always think others have bottomless pockets. They don’t. They retire. They reduce hours. They don’t produce as much. So everyone is poorer. In the end, the Cons spend more time in power.

verdantverdure · 21/10/2023 18:12

I believe the argument goes that if the Tories didn't like PFI they could've changed things...

User135644 · 21/10/2023 18:20

pointythings · 21/10/2023 15:20

@Papyrophile I agree - I remember the Tories under Major and even under Thatcher. What we have now aren't even the same species. They aren't Conservatives, they're Destructives. The're going to have to go full phoenix from the ashes to recover any credibility as a centre right party. Sadly I think they're going to start by going full wingnut first.

Johnson kicked out the more sensible Tories.

Rory Stewart and Dominic Grieve etc replaced by headbangers like Gullis and Anderson.

Fightyouforthatpie · 21/10/2023 18:23

PFI actually started under John Major.

noblegiraffe · 21/10/2023 18:31

PFI might have been a shit deal, but school buildings falling on children's heads is also a shit deal, and it turns out that was the alternative.

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BIossomtoes · 21/10/2023 18:34

PFI contracts must be nearing their ends now. The 30 year one for our local hospital started in 2003 so another decade and the payments cease. The main hospital is pretty much 100% RAAC though so God knows how that’s going to be dealt with.

DuncinToffee · 21/10/2023 18:34

verdantverdure · 21/10/2023 18:12

I believe the argument goes that if the Tories didn't like PFI they could've changed things...

They only had 13 short years....

Freysimo · 21/10/2023 18:48

The Tories are lacklustre but where in the Labour Party are politicians of the calibre of Tony Blair's cabinet: David Blunkett, Frank Field, Alan Johnson, Mo Mowlam, Jack Straw, Margaret Beckett etc? I can only think of Wes Streeting in the current lot and unfortunately he's of the TWAW variety.

noblegiraffe · 21/10/2023 18:51

BIossomtoes · 21/10/2023 13:35

Won’t happen. The Tamworth Tory candidate was spectacularly awful.

Are you suggesting that the Tories had loads of excellent candidates they could have put up, but put up that stinker instead?

Why?

OP posts:
BIossomtoes · 21/10/2023 18:58

noblegiraffe · 21/10/2023 18:51

Are you suggesting that the Tories had loads of excellent candidates they could have put up, but put up that stinker instead?

Why?

Far from it. I think they’re having to take whoever they can get now.

jgw1 · 21/10/2023 19:01

Fightyouforthatpie · 21/10/2023 18:23

PFI actually started under John Major.

But we all know that But Jeremy Corbyn made him do it.

Coveescapee · 21/10/2023 19:34

The simple message is that people will vote for the party who will make their life better or at the very least not make it a lot worse as the current lot have done. Anyone who thinks Labour will be any better (spoiler alert they'll be even worse) is deluded. But still no reason to vote for the tories and really resent being called apathetic for not wanting either of them. They both represent noone apart from themselves so why should we vote for them?

jgw1 · 21/10/2023 19:40

Coveescapee · 21/10/2023 19:34

The simple message is that people will vote for the party who will make their life better or at the very least not make it a lot worse as the current lot have done. Anyone who thinks Labour will be any better (spoiler alert they'll be even worse) is deluded. But still no reason to vote for the tories and really resent being called apathetic for not wanting either of them. They both represent noone apart from themselves so why should we vote for them?

Have you considered standing as an MP?

BIossomtoes · 21/10/2023 19:40

Anyone who thinks Labour will be any better (spoiler alert they'll be even worse) is deluded.

I’m going to vote on the evidence of past experience, the country was in an immeasurably better state from 1997 to 2010 than at any other point in my (very) long life.

Coveescapee · 21/10/2023 19:51

(Sigh) that was because the economy was great back then as left by Ken Clarke acknowledged to be one of the best Chancellors. And we didn't have all the cultural problems that we have now or housing or about a hundred other issues which are so much worse thanks to 25 years of the labour tory uniparty shitshow. You are going to be severely disappointed, Labour are going to be even worse than the tories ( yes I know that doesn't seem possible!).

jgw1 · 21/10/2023 19:57

Coveescapee · 21/10/2023 19:51

(Sigh) that was because the economy was great back then as left by Ken Clarke acknowledged to be one of the best Chancellors. And we didn't have all the cultural problems that we have now or housing or about a hundred other issues which are so much worse thanks to 25 years of the labour tory uniparty shitshow. You are going to be severely disappointed, Labour are going to be even worse than the tories ( yes I know that doesn't seem possible!).

On the subject of housing do you mean that we have a crisis in the distribution of it?

DuncinToffee · 21/10/2023 20:00

Coveescapee · 21/10/2023 19:51

(Sigh) that was because the economy was great back then as left by Ken Clarke acknowledged to be one of the best Chancellors. And we didn't have all the cultural problems that we have now or housing or about a hundred other issues which are so much worse thanks to 25 years of the labour tory uniparty shitshow. You are going to be severely disappointed, Labour are going to be even worse than the tories ( yes I know that doesn't seem possible!).

What cultural problems?

BIossomtoes · 21/10/2023 20:07

Labour are going to be even worse than the tories

Impossible. Utterly and completely impossible.

Coveescapee · 21/10/2023 20:13

DuncinToffee · 21/10/2023 20:00

What cultural problems?

Open your eyes. There are Jews in London and elsewhere that have to have security at their schools and elsewhere and have been attacked in the street. Don't really want to get into an argument about all the other problems that some are determined to ignore. Suffice it to say there was alot more social cohesion in 90s.