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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

Why does the UK have such low productivity compared other advanced economies?

166 replies

Fifi1010 · 31/03/2023 09:37

Our economic productivity has grown 0.8 percent per year on average since 2008 compared with 2 percent before. Why is that? High productivity increases the tax receipts , money for schools and healthcare. If we don't improve productivity living standards will further decline. Where have we gone wrong? I know Brexit is a problem but this started 8 years before.

OP posts:
justanotherdaduser · 04/04/2023 13:15

FloydPepper · 04/04/2023 12:58

Everyone agrees the cliff edges need to be fixed, but fixing the tax ones (the 100-125k one) would mean reducing taxes on those people. I don’t see that being well received on mumsnet.

totally agree there are benefit ones too. They are probably of more importance to fix.

That's the thing, we simply don't know their impact (or at least, I don't know) - how much extra revenue they raise, can that be earned through some other tax that produces less distortion, do people at the edge actually choose not to work etc?

As an example, I fell off that cliff last few years. Number of my colleagues still are. It made no difference whatsoever in our decision to work (or not), and as far as I can see, no one works any less because their marginal tax is high. We occasionally talk about money, bonus etc, but this has simply never come up.

But I don't project my own experience as universal response, claiming no one affected by the tax cares. Surely some do; some don't.

Unless there is some impact analysis, we will not know.

One thing I am certain though, this is not what caused uk productivity to stagnate for the last nearly 15 years. That is over a decade lost!

Other rich nations have their own problems, but nothing as acute as what we have in our hands and we are doing practically nothing about it. Manager decline again Sad

justanotherdaduser · 04/04/2023 13:17

Meant 'managed decline' in the last post, not 'manager decline'!

FloydPepper · 04/04/2023 13:25

Kazzyhoward · 04/04/2023 13:08

More doctor and dentist appointments will be a massive benefit to everyone. To get there, if it means reducing the stupidly high marginal tax rate on those earning over £100k then it's a price worth paying. After all, those doctors and dentists currently aren't working the extra hours, so they aren't paying tax on the amount they're not earning, so hardly a tax break! By working more hours, they're paying MORE tax, because they're earning more, and the taxpayer benefits not just from more tax revenue, but shorter waiting times too! Win Win!

Spot on, but the optics of “giving a tax cut to high earners” means it will play badly to a lot of people.

FloydPepper · 04/04/2023 13:29

justanotherdaduser · 04/04/2023 13:15

That's the thing, we simply don't know their impact (or at least, I don't know) - how much extra revenue they raise, can that be earned through some other tax that produces less distortion, do people at the edge actually choose not to work etc?

As an example, I fell off that cliff last few years. Number of my colleagues still are. It made no difference whatsoever in our decision to work (or not), and as far as I can see, no one works any less because their marginal tax is high. We occasionally talk about money, bonus etc, but this has simply never come up.

But I don't project my own experience as universal response, claiming no one affected by the tax cares. Surely some do; some don't.

Unless there is some impact analysis, we will not know.

One thing I am certain though, this is not what caused uk productivity to stagnate for the last nearly 15 years. That is over a decade lost!

Other rich nations have their own problems, but nothing as acute as what we have in our hands and we are doing practically nothing about it. Manager decline again Sad

Don’t disagree with any of that. Yes for many it doesn’t change our working patterns or decisions as we don’t get overtime, but for many it may do, and I know anecdotally it does impact many doctors for example. Hard to tell without seeing data.

and yes, of all the issues causing a long term productivity decline it’s not even near the top of the list. It does in all likelihood not help though

BashirWithTheGoodBeard · 04/04/2023 13:40

But I don't project my own experience as universal response, claiming no one affected by the tax cares. Surely some do; some don't.

Unless there is some impact analysis, we will not know.

To this I'd add, we'll also need to factor in the impact of inflation and fiscal drag. Those combined mean that more people are likely to be in the position where these bottlenecks become relevant. That's at every level: 100k, 40%, student loan repayments, personal allowance, in addition to anyone who has to think about top up benefits too. Whereas fiscal drag and inflation haven't really been an issue for most of the period set out by the OP.

The personal allowance, in particular, has been absolutely transformed. Even with the recent galloping inflation, the personal allowance in the 2007-8 tax year bought about 60% of what it does in 2023. That is a massive difference.

Essentially, whatever impact there might be at bottleneck points, even if it were only say 10% of people affected who reduced their work accordingly (figure pulled out of arse for illustrative purposes) that's liable to be 10% of a bigger number than it used to be.

Fluffypuppy1 · 04/04/2023 14:02

Endlesssummer2022 · 31/03/2023 15:36

There are also lots of people who want to do the bare minimum and have constant tea and fag breaks. I’ve been in offices with people like these and they try to discourage others from going the extra mile in case it makes them look bad.

I’ve also been in back office roles in finance in London and it’s absolutely fucking relentless from the start of the day to the end, whenever that is. People churning work out like machines in some teams.

This.

It’s been ongoing for years though. I worked in “data entry” (online loading of insurance files) in the late 80’s. Started as a temp, and could easily input 60+ files with 3 or 4 small typos. Was asked to slow down to a maximum of 35 with less than 8 typos.

sst1234 · 04/04/2023 14:12

FloydPepper · 04/04/2023 13:25

Spot on, but the optics of “giving a tax cut to high earners” means it will play badly to a lot of people.

Because stupid people would rather be poorer themselves than letting other people make money and get some of that money.

Sugarfree23 · 04/04/2023 15:03

sst1234 · 04/04/2023 14:12

Because stupid people would rather be poorer themselves than letting other people make money and get some of that money.

What?

Think about quality of life.
A common scenarios for people is work full time hit the 40% tax and pay childcare. Therefore actually the extra you earn isn't hitting your own pocket.

Or work 3 days, stay under the 40% and cut your childcare bill and have a better work life balance for your family.

I no longer have the massive childcare bill but I don't see the point in returning full-time to pay afterschool an extra 2 day and my kids to be farmed out so much for school holidays and the impact both of us working f-t would have on our quality of life.

Neededanewuserhandle · 04/04/2023 15:12

Moreorlessmentallystable · 01/04/2023 16:01

💯 %, nowadays people just expect to be subsidized as if it was their birthright ...so sad.

You're correct, it's a scandal that employers expect to pay poverty wages and have the government subsidise workers costs.

BashirWithTheGoodBeard · 04/04/2023 18:19

Sugarfree23 · 04/04/2023 15:03

What?

Think about quality of life.
A common scenarios for people is work full time hit the 40% tax and pay childcare. Therefore actually the extra you earn isn't hitting your own pocket.

Or work 3 days, stay under the 40% and cut your childcare bill and have a better work life balance for your family.

I no longer have the massive childcare bill but I don't see the point in returning full-time to pay afterschool an extra 2 day and my kids to be farmed out so much for school holidays and the impact both of us working f-t would have on our quality of life.

I may have misread, but aren't you making broadly similar points?

GPTec1 · 04/04/2023 18:25

cantab94 · 31/03/2023 10:45

So true. I remember when they reported the introduction of tax credits on the news thinking what a stupid policy. Costs the taxpayer billions whilst encouraging employers to pay minimum wage and be subsidised whilst not improving productivity as you say.

All governments for decades have had to top up wages & its these very low wages that mean its cheaper to hire someone than it is to invest in R&D & automation.

But we can do it, we had a car industry that was among the most productive in Europe, Pharma & Engineering/design... we have just developed a new gen of Solar panel that is 36% more efficient than the crap made in China BUT who will be manufacturing and selling back to the UK?

Yep the Germans & that dear friends is SFA to do with Tax Credits, no matter what those on the Right would like you to believe.

GPTec1 · 04/04/2023 18:28

sst1234 · 04/04/2023 14:12

Because stupid people would rather be poorer themselves than letting other people make money and get some of that money.

Clearly the tax system is not stopping people becoming very rich, we ve trebled the number of millionaires in this country in less than 8 years and we have almost 200 billionaires here in the UK.

Also, the poor and low paid are booming too, are these stats in anyway linked?

Rubygrapefruitwithchilli · 04/04/2023 18:49

A lot of this is structural. The UK needs to invest more in public transport, subsidised train fares, alternative travel, bicycle routes. Literally make it easier for people to get to and from work! And subsidised childcare and better cable connections for when they are there. .

Sugarfree23 · 04/04/2023 19:54

BashirWithTheGoodBeard · 04/04/2023 18:19

I may have misread, but aren't you making broadly similar points?

She made the comment that people are stupid because they'd rather be poorer themselves than pay more tax.

So am I stupid because I don't want to work a more hours, pay a lot more in tax for a little bit more cash. Lowering quality of life for our family?

EffortlessDesmond · 04/04/2023 21:15

It seems to even out a bit as you close on retirement. DH started a business in the early 1990s, and it has been a roller coaster ride. Some/most early years. we took nothing at all from the company, and lived off my earnings for two or three years at a time. But now, most of our competitors have vanished or died, and we are still vital to the rudimentary engineering infrastructure so the last few years, we are the last people standing who know our boring old engineering trade inside out, and can fix customer problems. So now, our business has become a key partner to most of the high tech engineering industry, because the grunt element can never be completely eliminated. And clever, and also quite innovative, because our skills apply in most industrial settings. But my business is gone.

Yazo · 04/04/2023 23:51

Ha, I just saw a thread about working hours and people working 40hour+ weeks as standard. Very few people can work that many hours and be genuinely productive. We've got a working culture of presenteeism and looking busy, sitting in meetings and not necessarily getting stuff done. Don't get me started on making things either, we don't do a lot of that anymore.

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