We were entirely at the mercy of public opinion, which drove government policy
I would lay a fair amount of blame at the feet of a cohort of academics, particularly the like of Indy SAGE. The endless interviews to the media, the open criticism of government policies which - in their opinion - didn’t go far enough really drove the fear, and they had no right to do that.
I absolutely want to see those for whom a particular area is their academic speciality being listened to by the government. After all, this is one of the reasons why academics and research receives public funding: for societal benefit. But they way it should have worked would have been for the government to draw on academics from all related areas - virology, epidemiology, public health, education, economics and so on - and make a decision having considered all angles. This should have been done as a behind-closed-doors discussion, not a media free for all.
But certain academics, particularly those whose expertise didn’t seem to particularly fit the need (Pagel, I’m looking at you) seemed to be very much enjoying the limelight and influence their new status brought them, and IMO they utterly abused that for their own aggrandisement.
That their modelling was repeatedly wildly wrong was just the shitty cherry on a crappy cake. Neil Ferguson was a particular culprit here (aside from him breaking lockdown himself) as his modelling was wrong in the F&M outbreak in 2001 when it lead to the unnecessary slaughter of thousands of animals so why they thought he’d be any more use on humans escapes me.