So if you reduce your energy intake to less than you’re expending you will lose weight.
Why? Its a gross over simplification to assume a body’s only option is to use stored fat when intake isn’t high enough. It can (and often does) reduce literally any other one of hundreds of functions, increase drive to eat or sleep, reduce drive to move, increase efficiency, utilise other body sources. Lots of things. Any specific calorie can be used to fuel any one of a million things in the body. How it’s allocated (not just to or from fat storage, but to any bodily function) is the key question here. Hormones aren’t part of this. They are ALL of it. Hormones direct how every calorie that goes into your body is used, and have a very significant effect on how many you consume in the first place (as hormones control drive to eat and feelings of fullness) Just as water or salt balance are wholly hormonally balanced (and well understood because they are single substances). Rachel Battram measured hormone levels following gastric surgery and could correlate levels with weight re-gain.
(Also, I meant people generally as opposed to you particularly, sorry)
It would be a more useful analogy to say that people pay fewer taxes to the government and NHS services will be cut. If you pay few enough taxes, they certainly will. But how fast and by how much depends how that money is allocated, and that depends on other pressures and who’s in government and how good they are at it. There are far more variables than most people can even guess at. I say again, people aren’t machines.
What we know about carbs is the that they raise insulin in your blood. Insulin promotes fat storage. You can’t be in fat storage ‘mode’ and a fat-using ‘mode’ at the same time. So if insulin doesn’t fall you can’t use fat. Even if you are eating fewer calories than you need. Something else has to compensate. There are protective factors in some carbs, which largely mean that insulin is raised more slowly and falls more quickly (chiefly fibre, which almost always occurs in natural carbs. Only we keep taking it out nowadays)
Processed foods have their own problems which encourage both overeating and weight gain. Kevin Hall’s experiment showed that really well in the short term. The current theory seems to be that ‘extract’ of whatever primes your body to expect the nutrition that goes with it, and the drive to eat would normally be switched off by detection of those nutrients. But ‘extracts’ don’t contain the substances, so you are driven to eat more, for longer than if you ate real food.
A really nice and accessible round up of the current theories and experts is ‘A thorough examination’ podcast by Dr Chis and Dr Xand. (PHd not required!)
In fifty years ‘eat less, move more’ will be regarded the way ‘smoking is good for colds’ is regarded now. I’d bet on it. But it’s going to take that long, I think. It’s utterly embedded. But it’s nice and simple, cheap and easy to trot out.