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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

To think wealthy people will leave Scotland?

1000 replies

Juniperberries25 · 16/06/2022 08:09

..if the YES side win a referendum? Surely a lot of successful businesses and people who are wealthy/ comfortable/ have paid into a pension will not want to risk all their assets becoming worthless? Or am I missing something? Higher taxes, unknown currency, economic uncertainty, hard border, national security concerns etc

It would cost BILLIONS to set up new Government bodies (eg DVLA, Passport office, MI5, MI6, Amy Navy, RAF to name a few) so surely taxes will be much, much higher than rest of the UK?

Just to clarify I am NOT a fan of Boris but surely he will be long gone by the time Scotland actually became independent after YES vote (probably at least 10 years, just look at the BREXIT timeline).

Please don't flame me, I am just wondering what people think as I genuinely don't get how the benefits outweigh the risks.

OP posts:
carefullycourageous · 16/06/2022 11:32

buttersbottom · 16/06/2022 11:00

Nein9 · Today 10:51

🙋‍♀️ Very high earners with kids, recently had an offer accepted on a house in Scotland (we're in England). Delighted with the prospect of another referendum! Will both be voting yes if it goes ahead (and if we're eligible at the time).
It's not like England is doing so well, or has been for quite some time.

You're living in a dream world if you are comparing the English economy unfavourably with Scotland's.

England is not a great place to live tbh. Wealth very unevenly distributed and increasingly so. This does affect quality of life for a great many.

antelopevalley · 16/06/2022 11:33

I think once Scotland is independent, it may not be the SNP in power after the next election. Scotland is a democracy, independence does not have to mean SNP.

Oceanus · 16/06/2022 11:35

I don't think wealthy people would leave Scotland but I can see others moving to be a part of the EU again.
I'll never forget the vacuum cleaners guy who rallied for Brexit and then packed up and moved to Singapore...!
I thought Scotland was set up to do most things by itself? So it shouldn't be a problem to cut ties. They already have an independent NHS, education system, parliament, football team!...

Formerpupil · 16/06/2022 11:36

CombatBarbie · 16/06/2022 10:14

Nope that's Royal Bank of Scotland... RBS. Bank of Scotland is with HSBC.

No, Bank of Scotland is part of Lloyds Banking Group.

LetitiaLeghorn · 16/06/2022 11:37

Do you think I think passports are printed on a laserjet in a back office?

It was you that's obsessed with Scottish passport printers not me. Its not the printing of the passport that's the real issue. There are tons of counterfeiting outfits that can do those. It's all the infrastructure behind the info required to issue a passport that Scotland hasn't got.

WouldBeGood · 16/06/2022 11:37

Poor and vulnerable people won’t be better off if there are no higher earners to pay taxes.

Studies show that in the short to medium term independence would mean a massive financial hit for the country. I see no compelling reason to take that hit.

OctaviaC74 · 16/06/2022 11:37

Juniperberries25 · 16/06/2022 11:02

Most of what you mention is already up and running in Scotland, military aside.

Is this a joke?

Scotland already has its own Govt with powers and responsibilities, inc some tax rising ones.

Passports are printed in France/Poland - no office printer required.

If the Brexit referendum can be done with the only requirement being a majority of one, then thats the precedent for all future referendums OR we accept Brexit was actually done in error and rejoin?

Had Brexit not been driven forward and voted for by plenty against Scotish independence on here, then Scotland would have no grounds for another vote, they were promised EU membership would continue if they voted to remain, they were lied too and under the rules of the 'vote, can and should be given another vote.

This whole issue is as a result of Boris Johnson and his lust for power at all costs (plus all the idiots who believed his lies) NI will leave the Union before Scotland though.

Overdon · 16/06/2022 11:38

@FourTeaFallOut it would a kick in the teeth after all her years of service and it is her favourite place after all. Hopefully they would let her see out her final days there.

WouldBeGood · 16/06/2022 11:39

We would also need a central bank , how the fuck would the current incumbents set that up? They can’t manage a ferry contract.

RhannionKPSS · 16/06/2022 11:39

Stroopwaffels · 16/06/2022 08:25

Many will. Especially families like ours who are British not Scottish - DH is English, I'm Scottish, one kid born in each country.

We as a family are already paying more in tax than we would in any other part of the UK. A large part of the SNP support hate DH because of his accent and upbringing. They give it all the "oh we're welcoming to everyone! We love our English neighbours!" but we know it's not really true, many of them hate the English and think Braveheart was a documentary.

Northumberland coast or Antrim coast are currently top of our moving lists.

I agree with you, we are a mixed family DH is “ foreign “ , I’m Scottish & child born here.
I don’t trust the SNP / Greens with my rights as a woman, and the future of my child & family.
SNP/ Greens are incompetent, ridiculous dictators; corrupt, lazy, & riddled with frankly weird ideas imho.
Im embarrassed & sad about the way country , which was once is cradle of the enlightenment, is being used by those with dubious agendas.

LemonadeSunshine · 16/06/2022 11:40

Thebestwaytoscareatory · 16/06/2022 09:11

I'm sure they will and no doubt they'll try to come running back when they realise exactly what Scotland has to offer.

For example, an independent Scotland would not only be completely energy self-sufficient but a net-exporter of energy resources.

We already produce more electricity than we consume, have 25% of Europe's entire offshore energy capacity (and with Japan's live trials of deep-sea turbines underway, increasing demand for renewable energy, and a push for renewables produced hydrogen that particular resource has huge potential), and our share of the natural gas resource is enough to meet our annual gas consumption 4.5 times over.

Yet because energy is reserved we get the pleasure of sharing our abundant resources with the rest of the UK and get no benefit from them other than to pay some of the highest energy bills in Europe for doing so (no other country with as much energy resource as Scotland has faces this).

Add to that we have 95% of all fresh water and water stress is predicted to increase by 40-80% for huge swathes of England over the next decade then we have another massively imporant resource in abundance here (and a potential new revenue stream).

On the business side of things if Scotland wanted to it could establish itself with a favourable set up to encourage businesses to stay/move here if it really wanted to and most businesses operating in Scotland already wouldn't close shop and leave, they'd just pay tax to a different organisation (hell one of the huge bonuses of independence would be having the opportunity to leave behind the horrific UK tax code).

But yeah, we're definitely better being attached to a country that uses us as it's own little test site and resource bank and whose population hate us/think we're all junkies/think we're subsidised by English taxpayers/etc. "Better together = Better for England".

Finally, I just don't understand how anyone doesn't get that it makes much more sense to govern for the 5.5 million people in Scotland from Scotland and only for Scotland than from England and as part of a population of 65 million. Under the current set up Scottish people will never be more than an after thought to our leaders in Westminster and Scotland itself will continue to be used purely for the benefit of England.

Is that you Nicola?

antelopevalley · 16/06/2022 11:40

And Scotland has its own legal system, education system, and parliament.
It already has a lot of infrastructure in place.

And these are the criteria to join the EU. Not what was posted upthread. The EU has already said they would welcome an application from Scotland.
ec.europa.eu/neighbourhood-enlargement/enlargement-policy/conditions-membership_en

I voted no last time. This time I will vote yes. Scotland really has nothing to lose. The UK economy is tanking and economically life is going to get a lot worse for all the rich. I want to try a different way.

LetitiaLeghorn · 16/06/2022 11:40

They already have an independent NHS, education system, parliament, football team!...

If you're basing independent Scotlands future success on their football team, it's probably going to need more help than even god can give. 😁

MarshaBradyo · 16/06/2022 11:42

antelopevalley · 16/06/2022 11:40

And Scotland has its own legal system, education system, and parliament.
It already has a lot of infrastructure in place.

And these are the criteria to join the EU. Not what was posted upthread. The EU has already said they would welcome an application from Scotland.
ec.europa.eu/neighbourhood-enlargement/enlargement-policy/conditions-membership_en

I voted no last time. This time I will vote yes. Scotland really has nothing to lose. The UK economy is tanking and economically life is going to get a lot worse for all the rich. I want to try a different way.

It’s a nice idea that a new way will solve the issues but it’ll have a further detrimental impact

EvelynBeatrice · 16/06/2022 11:42

I'm a bit bemused at all these references to 'wealthy Scots' - if you're a taxpayer, that will be you. Less than half the Scottish population pay tax (age and poverty) and there are only about 8 percent who pay higher rate tax - and a goodly proportion of these work for the state! I have not seen any evidence of where the money is coming from to make up the huge deficit in public finances if we are to lose the current tax base support that comes from being part of the U.K. common sense must tell us that tax rates will rise steeply for all who pay tax (including businesses) to stay somewhere close to where we are at the moment in terms of public services- those saying they won't mind paying more for better services are in my view delusional. It will take big increases to stay where we are!

Haydugee · 16/06/2022 11:42

Doesn’t the SNP keep having to be bailed out by Westminster to the tune of billions because of financial mismanagement?

Im also baffled by the fact that the SNP significantly base their post independence finances on “Scottish” oil but also have a policy to move towards sustainable power sources.

LetitiaLeghorn · 16/06/2022 11:43

The EU has already said they would welcome an application from Scotland.

They welcomed an application from Turkey in 1987. I wonder how that process is going. 🤔

Cazziebo · 16/06/2022 11:44

I'm with you, @DogInATent

Fully believe Scotland could thrive as an independent country.

No confidence at all that the SNP could manage either the transition or a successful economy post referendum. And I don't see much talent elsewhere in Holyrood.

And agree, it doesn't have to be SNP but it's likely it will be. Much as I like many of Alba's policies, the candidates they put up (with few exceptions) fail to inspire.

DogInATent · 16/06/2022 11:45

Oceanus · 16/06/2022 11:35

I don't think wealthy people would leave Scotland but I can see others moving to be a part of the EU again.
I'll never forget the vacuum cleaners guy who rallied for Brexit and then packed up and moved to Singapore...!
I thought Scotland was set up to do most things by itself? So it shouldn't be a problem to cut ties. They already have an independent NHS, education system, parliament, football team!...

There's a lot more civil administrative infrastructure in place in Scotland than some people on this thread think. And there's a lot less involved in setting up the missing bits than they believe.

I'm an ex-pat Scot living in England, and the irony is that a Scottish passport of a newly Independent Scotland that rejoined the EU is almost as likely to mean me moving to another EU country as it is back to Scotland. But it would very likely mean me leaving England within 5 years. If I knew how things were going to turn out after 2016 I'd have left 5 years ago.

SirChenjins · 16/06/2022 11:47

The EU has already said they would welcome an application from Scotland

How long is this application for membership likely to take? And on what terms?

Twins3007 · 16/06/2022 11:49

Am I right in thinking that Scotland university students do not have loans or grants and that it is free education, would they be able to continue this if broke away for the UK ????

antelopevalley · 16/06/2022 11:50

@MarshaBradyo I think at this stage Scotland has nothing to lose.
Either Scotland accepts things are going to continue getting a lot worse for nearly all of its population as Brexit means soaring food prices, utility bills and more and more businesses closing. Or it votes yes and tries a new way.

Why would you just accept what is coming? Scotland has a chance to focus on improving the Scottish economy and life for people by voting yes. Not just accepting things are going to get a lot worse over the next few years.

So many shops and businesses have already closed. More will close. Do we just sit back and let this continue to happen because of the English scaremongering?

Ohthatsexciting · 16/06/2022 11:50

If you’re a wealthy Scot
You probably spend a lot of time down south enjoying your wealth

antelopevalley · 16/06/2022 11:51

@Twins3007 Scotland funds free university education for Scottish students themselves. English students would continue to pay.

MarshaBradyo · 16/06/2022 11:51

antelopevalley · 16/06/2022 11:50

@MarshaBradyo I think at this stage Scotland has nothing to lose.
Either Scotland accepts things are going to continue getting a lot worse for nearly all of its population as Brexit means soaring food prices, utility bills and more and more businesses closing. Or it votes yes and tries a new way.

Why would you just accept what is coming? Scotland has a chance to focus on improving the Scottish economy and life for people by voting yes. Not just accepting things are going to get a lot worse over the next few years.

So many shops and businesses have already closed. More will close. Do we just sit back and let this continue to happen because of the English scaremongering?

It’s like Brexit again project fear etc

People thinking it will improve the situation, but it’ll go the other way

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