Real UK death toll likely to already be at least 20,000

[Cam77]

The UK death toll is probably already in excess of 20,000 (ie at least 50% higher than reported), possibly more.

The British government seems to be purposefully ignoring those who have died in care homes. Multiple reports state that, across Europe, evidence suggest that at least 40% of total deaths are occurring in care homes. In the UK, deaths in care homes, of which there are more than 15,000 of in the UK, have up until now not been included in the official figure. Most other European countries include these deaths in the official figure. The real UK death toll therefore is likely to be at least 20,000 possibly as high as 25,000.

"Data collected from official sources in Italy, Spain, Ireland, Belgium and France by the International Long Term Care Policy Network (LTCPN) showed 42-57 per cent of all deaths linked to Covid-19 were among care home residents."

www.independent.co.uk/news/health/coronavirus-deaths-care-homes-cases-uk-eu-italy-spain-ireland-a9463846.html

@hopsalong covid-19 can be passed on fairly easily, so once it is in a care home it will spread rapidly. The strategy was not to get it in care homes in the first place as they knew they would unfortunately see a high death rate .

If you recall, even before 23 March, the government were telling over 70s to socially isolate and everyone to socially distance. How many people ignored this and visited their parents/grand parents/relatives in a nursing home on Mothering Sunday (22 March). If you allow 7 days for the infection to show (29 March) and 14-21 days for an outcome then you are looking at 12 April (Easter Sunday) onwards.

The reality is, until there is a treatment or a vaccine people will continue to catch covid-19, infect others and unfortunately some will die. At the moment stopping the most vulnerable from being exposed is the only option we have. Therefore any lifting of the lockdown is likely to be aimed at young, healthy people and vulnerable people will still have to isolate.