I would have thought that at least one time in everyone's life they've experienced this and turned out to be right.
However, the times we're right will be far more memorable than all the times we were wrong.
Totally agree. If you have a feeling of not quite right and it's proved right, then you will remember it far more than if you're wrong. You'll justify it in "I wasn't sure" and forget about it.
I did some informal research into seeing how often people were right/wrong in pregnancy whether they were having a boy or a girl.
It was very interesting:
I asked people if they thought they knew which they were having, how certain they were (scale of 1-10) and what they actually had.
For those I surveyed during pregnancy: (this was back when most people didn't know during pregnancy) and then asked whether they were right afterwards.
Pretty much dead on 50% were right with no difference to how "certain" they'd been.
How certain they were was a full range from totally certain through to slight feeling.
For those I asked after the child was born:
For those that were certain/almost certain it was about 60% right.
But for those who rated how certain they were as lower they were almost totally correct.
Why? Because the people who remembered were being wrong were those who had a really big surprise.
Those who had a less certain feeling dismissed the feeling afterwards.
Also, a couple of the people I'd met during pregnancy I met afterwards and they swore blind they'd been right. They weren't, I had it in black and white, but they'd rewritten it in their mind to be correct.
It wasn't a significant study; think I had about 200 answers, but there was a clear difference.