Meet the Other Phone. Only the apps you allow.

Meet the Other Phone.
Only the apps you allow.

Buy now

Please or to access all these features

AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

To think we are heading for a large economic crash in the next eighteen months?

15 replies

abacucat · 24/09/2018 23:13

There are too many signs that a big economic crash is on its way. The US economy is showing signs of overheating. This will lead to increased interest rates. Trump keeps threatening tariffs against various countries, that usually he has to climb back down on. But these threats themselves have an impact economically by causing uncertainty. China has allowed their banks to reduce their reserve ratio and is pumping money into the economy to try and stop their economy slowing down. In Britain Brexit has created uncertainty leading to businesses holding off on investing. Wages have fallen in real terms by 10% over the last 10 years (I know there has been a very modest rise in the last few months), but many households have continued to spend by getting into debt. Overall savings have reduced and debt has increased. This leaves households vulnerable to relatively small economic shocks. This is without the impact of Brexit which will only add to our economic crisis.

OP posts:
babbscrabbs · 24/09/2018 23:14

YANBU. I'd be amazed if there wasn't one after Brexit.

abacucat · 24/09/2018 23:16

This is not just to do with Brexit, but what is also happening generally in the economy.

OP posts:
Aintnothingbutaheartache · 24/09/2018 23:16

The next 30yrs more like

HollowTalk · 24/09/2018 23:19

You can't separate what's happening with Brexit. If we have Brexit, there will be a massive crash. If we stay in Europe, then we still have the problem of having to find politicians good enough to run the country, but the crash should be averted.

Disquieted1 · 24/09/2018 23:25

Nowt to do with Brexit or any fancy economic analysis, there's simply one due. 70s crash and winter of discontent, 80s crash followed by Lawson boom, early 90s Major/Lamont crash, late 90s dotcom bubble bursts, 2008 the credit crunch....... There's definitely one due.

abacucat · 24/09/2018 23:53

Brexit will make it worse for the UK. But it is coming anyway.

OP posts:
EarlyModernParent · 24/09/2018 23:55

Yes. There are quite a few comment pieces starting to appear saying the same thing. And we are less prepared and organised to deal with it than we were in 2008, which is saying something.

LoveManyTrustfew · 24/09/2018 23:58

I saw the last one coming, cleared down our credit cards ( they weren't massive) and have operated on debit cards for the last ten years. As a result, no debt apart from tiny mortgage, and tiny savings. The point of this post being, if you think you are a bit exposed and can help yourself, DO IT NOW, don't wait. My DH thought I was unreasonable in the extreme at the time. He doesn't now.

abacucat · 25/09/2018 00:03

I think a lot of people are going to suffer.

OP posts:
Aintnothingbutaheartache · 25/09/2018 00:55

Yes, a lot of people are going to suffer. The vote to leave the EU has been the most ridiculous thing in a very long time. People were lied to. If it doesn’t get turned around the fallout will be huge, the people who will suffer most tho are those who voted to leave.

FaithInfinity · 25/09/2018 01:34

I’m in the U.S at the moment and overheard a guy talking about this last night. He said essentially it won’t be as bad a 2008 but it will be a big downturn.

MummyShah369 · 02/01/2019 17:53

2019 any further views on this?

Bluelady · 02/01/2019 17:57

It's going to be pretty hideous if Brexit happens. There are going to be a lot of people without jobs and a lot of houses on the market with nobody in a position to buy them.

MummyShah369 · 02/01/2019 21:08

Hmm why would so manny jobs suddenly just go? Surely if there is demand businesses will find away to make it. Also people got to live somewhere...

HairyDogsFeet · 02/01/2019 21:09

I think that people feel unhappy and apprehensive and so are being cautious about spending.

New posts on this thread. Refresh page