Climate change is 100% a driving factor behind these fires.
The forests were dry because autumn rains have not come this year, after a dry summer, after a dry, hot spring and heatwave after heatwave all year.
Temperatures are still very high. Friends in Portugal were tweeting that it was 30º and higher on Sunday - that's in the second half of October - and 24º at night. Not normal. In Galicia, they call the danger zone 30-30-30: over 30º, under 30% humidity and winds over 30 kmph. Again, really weird for October. These factors came together on Sunday because of anomalous climatic conditions.
But remember that we've also been getting less and less rain across the Iberian peninsula for years now: hotter average temperatures throughout the year, hotter summers, with more and longer heatwaves, more areas reaching record maximum temperatures.
The heat and the lack of water is killing the trees. Some species faster than others. Where I live I have a view of a vast hillside covered in Mediterranean forest: the forest agency reckons about 25% of the trees are dying or in a state of extreme stress. The rest are just dry. Everywhere, along the roads, in parks, round agricultural land, there are dead trees, dead bushes and dry undergrowth.
When the wind blows, tinder-dry trees and dead undergrowth are a bomb waiting to be set off.
The authorities blame arsonists and careless local farmers burning waste or deliberately using fire to clear land. But it would be strange that on the same day, at the same time, across huge areas of Portugal, Galicia, Asturias and Léon, all the firestarters went out together. Maybe the first fires were started by farmers or arsonists, but the way they spread, so fast and so destructively, is to do with parched forest, dry air, high temperatures and hot winds. And the increasing prevalence of those conditions (in October!) is down to climate change.
The authorities blame individuals because we can understand a human enemy in our midst, it's a problem we could work at solving. Public education campaigns, work to clear dead undergrowth, more firefighters, better co-ordination, more forestry patrols. All good things.
But the underlying cause is climate change, it's here and it's getting worse.