Wrong trouser, 9 areas in England voted overwhelmingly to leave by over 70%
Do you know the demographics of these areas? I don't. High unemployment? Many young people? Levels of immigration there? It would be interesting to know
winky
Several studies have shown that size of the immigrant population is not well correlated with the leave vote, but rate of immigration is.
These studies are worth looking at
www.resolutionfoundation.org/media/blog/why-did-we-vote-to-leave-what-an-analysis-of-place-can-tell-us-about-brexit/
natcen.ac.uk/media/1319222/natcen_brexplanations-report-final-web2.pdf
The first reckon they can explain most of the variation in vote with their various correlations (education, income, etc) and interestingly suggest that there isn't a "London" effect i.e. that once you look at all the other factors, the high London remain vote is explained. There is however a "Scotland" effect.
I've spent ages reading through these various studies and they are fascinating. But I think what gets lost in the discussion of the demographics is that the correlations only explain the variation in the vote. They don't explain the actual vote.
So to take two examples, from a lot of claims made about older leave voters selling the younger generation down the river, without looking at the stats people might think that almost all young people voted remain. But according to the second study, the leave vote for 18-34 year olds was 40%. Young people, like everyone else, are not a homogenous mass but I think this gets forgotten in the cartoonish portrayal of the vote. Similarly, 40% of Londoners who voted voted leave. The differences have been massively exxagerated. They are important and worth understanding, but they shouldn't be used to talk about people as homogenous blobs, whether that's remain or leave voters, or young people or whoever.
I've said this on other threads but it's still happening so I'm going to mention it again. Friends and acquaintances of mine, of a similar demographic to me, are still saying things which indicate it has not crossed their mind that I might not be a remain voter, devastated at the referendum result. Presumably because they are still (and these are intelligent, highly educated people) believing that "demographic x is correlated with remain" means "everyone in demographic x voted remain". It doesn't, it means "a higher % of demographic x voted remain than in the general population".
I think the Brexit vote itself was an angry and fearful one
I don't agree with this, mine certainly wasn't, it was a hopeful one.