Money was part of the issue, certainly, not the only one. Far from it.
Jeremy Hunt has knowingly misrepresented figures about hospital deaths at weekends- either that or he is so inept that he cannot understand the statistics for himself. The authors of the papers from which he so often quotes and the editor of the journal which published the papers, the BMJ, have both written to Mr Hunt to explain that he has misrepresented the statistics, and the cause for any discrepancy is highly likely to be multifactorial. However, his assertions have caused fear among some patients, leading them to refuse admission over weekends or delay seeking help, thus being more unwell when they do eventually seek help. All of this has caused much anger within the profession.
Mr Hunt says he wants a "7 day NHS". First the government need to define what exactly that means AND then show us the plans to properly resource and staff it. It is not just junior doctors that would be needed- we'd need everything from more Dr's, nurses, allied health professions, radiology, lab staff to admin, medical records, porters, secretaries, cleaners and so on. We'd need more physical resources- for example, more beds, greater lab capacity, potentially more diagnostic equipment in some places. We'd also need to have a properly resourced and functioning social care system which would allow us to discharge patients safely and allow steady patient flow.
Pilot study in our area show very low uptake of Saturday afternoon/any time on Sunday GP appointments and similar for out-patient clinics. Non-attendance was high. So we also need to look carefully into what we need from this "24 hour NHS".
Add into all this the actual problems with the proposed contract for junior Dr's, which Hunt just does not acknowledge.
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Given there are not going to be any more junior doctors at present AND he wants more of them working evenings, nights and weekends AND we are allegedly going to be working fewer hours overall, I would like to ask what Mr Hunt thinks is going to happen to the service in the current "routine week"? He is just spreading the same resource thinner, if more evenly, over 7 days- at a time where most rota's have significant gaps due to unfilled vacancies (sometimes filled with expensive locums). It is going to cause chaos and most likely a poorer service all round.
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He states that the change in contract will lead to working fewer hours. But then attempts to remove the monitoring process which ensures hospital's which are over-working junior Dr's are identified and forced to make changes. If he is so sure that his changes will lead to fewer hours, why is he removing the monitoring process? He can promise anything he likes if he removes the safeguards and methods of identifying those areas who are not playing by the rules.
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Bear in mind that many specialities are having recruitment and retention issues as it is. GP, Emergency medicine and psychiatry are the worst hit at the moment but in a number of regions even core medical training (i.e. hospital physicians before specialism into cardiology, respiratory, GI etc) are not filling their training posts fully. Do people actually realise that in some specialities in some area's that the recruitment into training posts is only at around 75% of those required. This is worrying- and makes point 1 above even more difficult to achieve as there are significant number of vacancies in many regions. Add in making pay and conditions worse and I can't see recruitment problem resolving.
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removing pay progression for those who take time out of clinical work to do research (though many will do locum shifts to keep their "hand in") and those who change specialty, as well as those taking part in parental leave is also muddle-headed to me. We need Dr's to go into research, for instance- to make it financially difficult for them to do so (they usually take a pay cut to take on a research post anyway) is very short-sighted and damaging.
The NHS relies on good-will of staff. Most of us (and not just Dr's) work far more hours than they are rota'd for, without much complaint or over-time pay/time back in lieu. The various upheavals, stretching of resources and so on have taken it's toll on the good will. I fear this may be the breaking point- many junior dr's have not entirely trusted NHS trusts (due to issues with pay and conditions over recent years) for a while now. This row has led to complete breakdown of trust in NHS in England and in the government- relations are toxic now. Morale is as low as I have ever known it.
I don't work in England any more, but I do have many friends who do. The anger and dismay is real and palpable. Many are seriously looking into alternative locations and so on. Of course not every Dr will move or go into private practice or leave the profession and it would be ridiculous to suggest they would. But given the recruitment and retention issues and many unfilled vacancies if even 5% moved abroad/left the NHS for private work or a non-medical job (or to work as a locum) the NHS would be in dire straits.