Meet the Other Phone. Only the apps you allow.

Meet the Other Phone.
Only the apps you allow.

Buy now

Please or to access all these features

Chat

Join the discussion and chat with other Mumsnetters about everyday life, relationships and parenting.

Lucy Letby in the news

1000 replies

Viviennemary · 29/08/2024 22:33

I've just been watching the BBC news and apparently some experts have been questioning the validity of Lucy Letbys conviction. I must say when I read the details of the trial she did sound 100% guilty. But it would be a tragedy if she is innocent Personally I don't think she is but who knows. Somebody on the news said the only person who knows is Lucy Letby.

OP posts:
Thread gallery
38
Mirabai · 09/10/2024 10:13

SweetcornFritter · 09/10/2024 10:05

So it’s untrue that two of the 3 triplets in this case were thought to be doing so well that they were considering letting them go home the same day they mysteriously fell ill and died?

Those triplets should not have been in the unit in the first place, they should have been in a Level 3. Multiple births carry increased risk and one was smaller than the other two.

The mother was assured by staff that they would provide one to one care, whereas in fact LL was given care of 2 triplets and a third unrelated baby.

Mirabai · 09/10/2024 10:15

rubbishatballet · 09/10/2024 10:05

Thirwall has simply confirmed quite how dire the care was. Quite how chaotic the unit. And how much in denial the consultants were. It has revealed they had literally no evidence whatsoever against LL simply basing their witch-hunt on their misunderstanding of stats.

Well there was clearly enough evidence ultimately to support a three year police investigation and then an eight month trial, with many many more people involved than just the consultants...

I don't get why people can't seem to see that (allegedly) poor clinical governance and care in the unit are mutually exclusive with the potential for a a serial killer to operate in that environment. The two former conditions may well have gone some way to facilitating the latter.

If you read the medical data, LL has nothing to do with the baby’s deaths - the care was quite poor enough to kill them. And no-one actually saw LL do anything to the babies. It’s all wild speculation as to what she might have done.

rubbishatballet · 09/10/2024 10:22

@Mirabai an eight month criminal trial does not equal wild speculation! Confused

And can I ask, have you seen all the medical 'data' examined at trial and what are your credentials to analyse and draw insight from this?

Mirabai · 09/10/2024 10:26

SweetcornFritter · 09/10/2024 10:09

If the spike in deaths really wasn’t that unusual then why were so many experienced health practitioners at the hospital so concerned about it?

Because they could be blamed. One consultant explicitly stated in an email: “until this is resolved we are all under suspicion”.

There had already been 2 proven cases of suboptimal care/negligence on the unit, one resulting in a payout of 8.5 million.

By 2017 the parents were circling with clinical negligence lawyers. That’s the point that the consultants went the police.

Viviennemary · 09/10/2024 10:27

On a programme I was watching a senior policeman said all the little bits on their own mean nothing but when put together they form a picture. This was unrelated to Lucy Letby. But this is what happened with Lucy Letby. I think she is 100% guilty. But if they decide to have an enquiry then fine.

OP posts:
Mirabai · 09/10/2024 10:30

rubbishatballet · 09/10/2024 10:22

@Mirabai an eight month criminal trial does not equal wild speculation! Confused

And can I ask, have you seen all the medical 'data' examined at trial and what are your credentials to analyse and draw insight from this?

The media transcripts made of the live trial are available online.

An 8 month trial full of wild speculation, medically implausible theories, and no hard evidence at all.

WhatWouldJeevesDo · 09/10/2024 10:34

SweetcornFritter · 09/10/2024 10:09

If the spike in deaths really wasn’t that unusual then why were so many experienced health practitioners at the hospital so concerned about it?

They aren’t statisticians either. One of them did point out it might not be to do with the law of small numbers but I don’t think the others really believed or understood. it was their job to be concerned about any or all deaths on the unit. A cluster may have a common cause so they weren’t wrong to look for one but it wasn’t reasonable to think something as likely as a cluster could only be explained by something as unlikely as a serial killer.
They didn’t in practical term actually show much concern until the two triplets died.
The, in my view justified, suspicion of management was that the consultants’ delusions about LL were because they didn’t want to blame themselves for the suboptimal care that patients were receiving on the unit.

WhatWouldJeevesDo · 09/10/2024 10:40

Viviennemary · 09/10/2024 10:27

On a programme I was watching a senior policeman said all the little bits on their own mean nothing but when put together they form a picture. This was unrelated to Lucy Letby. But this is what happened with Lucy Letby. I think she is 100% guilty. But if they decide to have an enquiry then fine.

Except that if there is no forensic evidence that a baby was murdered and strong evidence of natural causes, then all the other bits mean nothing either on their own or together.

WhatWouldJeevesDo · 09/10/2024 10:45

Natural causes or suboptimal care I should say @Viviennemary.
I’m glad you’re still here. I know you are coming round. It was painful for me too to realise she’s innocent.

Manchegos · 09/10/2024 10:48

WhatWouldJeevesDo · 09/10/2024 10:40

Except that if there is no forensic evidence that a baby was murdered and strong evidence of natural causes, then all the other bits mean nothing either on their own or together.

Edited

Well exactly. I am still waiting to see any compelling evidence that a single murder occurred. And I would be open to it. I have no particular attachment to LL.

rubbishatballet · 09/10/2024 10:52

The media transcripts made of the live trial are available online.

This obviously doesn't include all the medical evidence, just the examination of it at the trial.

So back to my original question @Mirabai have you actually seen all the medical data which you are so confident proves LL had nothing to do with any of the babies' deaths or collapses? And if so, what are your credentials to have drawn this level of insight from it?

Christwosheds · 09/10/2024 10:55

samarrange · 29/08/2024 23:27

Something that surprised me when I started reading about this case is that there is not a single piece of hard evidence that any of the children was assaulted or murdered.

No autopsy or inquest declared "This child was the victim of homicide, we just need to find out who did it".

In other words, the alternative to "Lucy Letby killed them" is not "Somebody else killed them, but nobody could have, therefore it must be her". The alternative is that they just died. These were, after all, very sick children. That's why they were in hospital.

At one point the prosecution noted that the children who died were, pretty much without exception, the sickest ones on the ward. This was used as evidence of how evil LL was: "She deliberately chose the weakest so that they would be most likely to die from what she did to them". But this is absurd logic. These children were also the most likely to die anyway.

The fact that the prosecution thought this was a great argument suggests to me that the groupthink was well under way. Once you decide that there is a pattern somewhere, you will find confirmation of it everywhere, even if it's just chance among noise.

We were told at the trial that 15 children died and LL was on duty every time. But we weren't told that there were several other children who died when she couldn't possibly have been involved. Is anyone looking for a murderer in those cases? Why not? (Answer: Because of someone's interpretation of statistics. But statisticians notoriously tend to agree on very little.)

She might have done it, but the more I read about the case, the less it looks like "beyond a reasonable doubt", which is the standard that applies — especially when, as mentioned above, there is no independent direct evidence that a crime was even committed.

I agree with this.

SweetcornFritter · 09/10/2024 10:58

Mirabai · 09/10/2024 10:13

Those triplets should not have been in the unit in the first place, they should have been in a Level 3. Multiple births carry increased risk and one was smaller than the other two.

The mother was assured by staff that they would provide one to one care, whereas in fact LL was given care of 2 triplets and a third unrelated baby.

That doesn’t answer my question but thanks anyway.

SweetcornFritter · 09/10/2024 11:02

Mirabai · 09/10/2024 10:30

The media transcripts made of the live trial are available online.

An 8 month trial full of wild speculation, medically implausible theories, and no hard evidence at all.

Which convinced a jury in all but one of the cases. Why do you think the jury didn’t just go for a clean sweep if they were all so ignorant/brainwashed by the wild speculation and implausible theories you claim made up the evidence?

SweetcornFritter · 09/10/2024 11:03

WhatWouldJeevesDo · 09/10/2024 10:45

Natural causes or suboptimal care I should say @Viviennemary.
I’m glad you’re still here. I know you are coming round. It was painful for me too to realise she’s innocent.

How can you know with certainty that she is innocent? What evidence absolutely exculpates her?

Mirabai · 09/10/2024 11:04

rubbishatballet · 09/10/2024 10:52

The media transcripts made of the live trial are available online.

This obviously doesn't include all the medical evidence, just the examination of it at the trial.

So back to my original question @Mirabai have you actually seen all the medical data which you are so confident proves LL had nothing to do with any of the babies' deaths or collapses? And if so, what are your credentials to have drawn this level of insight from it?

It doesn’t include all the clinical data but quite sufficient to see: a. The poor level od care and b. The complete lack of evidence and implausibility of the so-called murder methods. Further evidence detailed at the Thirlwall merely confirms this.

We also now have the bizarre circ that Evans has now admitted that he has changed his mind about the death of one of the babies.

Mirabai · 09/10/2024 11:07

SweetcornFritter · 09/10/2024 11:02

Which convinced a jury in all but one of the cases. Why do you think the jury didn’t just go for a clean sweep if they were all so ignorant/brainwashed by the wild speculation and implausible theories you claim made up the evidence?

The jury were only presented with expert evidence on one side. The outcome may have been very different if it were not for that. And anyway it’s ridiculous to ask lay people to evaluate complex medical data and decide whether murder has been committed, in the long term the whole system of trying these cases will have to be changed.

SweetcornFritter · 09/10/2024 11:10

I’m afraid that doesn’t make sense. On the one hand you’re saying re the deaths: nothing to see here, nothing unusual and on the other hand you’re saying the situation was so bad the unit faced the threat of legal action and in order to deflect the blame from themselves collectively they decided to make it all about a serial killer in their midst as if somehow that would be less likely to result in legal action?!

WhatWouldJeevesDo · 09/10/2024 11:10

SweetcornFritter · 09/10/2024 11:03

How can you know with certainty that she is innocent? What evidence absolutely exculpates her?

RTFT.

Please!

SweetcornFritter · 09/10/2024 11:11

Mirabai · 09/10/2024 11:07

The jury were only presented with expert evidence on one side. The outcome may have been very different if it were not for that. And anyway it’s ridiculous to ask lay people to evaluate complex medical data and decide whether murder has been committed, in the long term the whole system of trying these cases will have to be changed.

but you’re a layperson aren’t you? And once again you avoided my question but thanks again for the reply.

SweetcornFritter · 09/10/2024 11:12

WhatWouldJeevesDo · 09/10/2024 11:10

RTFT.

Please!

I have, thanks and nothing I have read on it proves without doubt that she is innocent. A short bullet point list of the evidence that proves innocence is surely not too much to ask?

ProfTeeCee · 09/10/2024 11:14

"The jury were only presented with expert evidence on one side. The outcome may have been very different if it were not for that. And anyway it’s ridiculous to ask lay people to evaluate complex medical data and decide. whether murder has been committed, in the long term the whole system of trying these cases will have to be changed."

What do you propose? A jury comprised of only medical experts? The same experts that everyone claimis were biased?

WhatWouldJeevesDo · 09/10/2024 11:24

SweetcornFritter · 09/10/2024 11:12

I have, thanks and nothing I have read on it proves without doubt that she is innocent. A short bullet point list of the evidence that proves innocence is surely not too much to ask?

The Crown’s expert witness has backtracked on his own evidence since the trial.

Phil Hammond of Private Eye has put out an appeal for qualified experts who do agree with the medical evidence. None have come forward.

Absolute proof of innocence may not be possible on all counts but the fact that the evidence that baby C was murdered came from the day before LL met him is pretty compelling evidence that the trial was not fair.

rubbishatballet · 09/10/2024 11:27

The jury were only presented with expert evidence on one side. The outcome may have been very different if it were not for that.

But let's just imagine for a second that LL is guilty (heretical on these threads I know!), why on earth would she want to present expert evidence that would undermine her defence of 'I didn't do it' on cross-examination because....she actually did it...?

Mirabai · 09/10/2024 11:32

SweetcornFritter · 09/10/2024 11:03

How can you know with certainty that she is innocent? What evidence absolutely exculpates her?

That’s the wrong question. The question is what convincing evidence is there of her guilt.

Please create an account

To comment on this thread you need to create a Mumsnet account.

This thread is not accepting new messages.