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Ukraine Invasion: Part 45

981 replies

MagicFox · 26/09/2023 20:14

Thanks to all: contributors, lurkers and those in-between

**
Agreed thread guidance:

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OP posts:
Thread gallery
398
Igotjelly · 14/11/2023 16:31

I.e it often leaves them far less open to taking advice and council from those on the ground…

MissConductUS · 14/11/2023 16:40

Igotjelly · 14/11/2023 16:31

to be honest for all the Defence Secretary is the person who is seen they are supported by an array of Civil Servants and Military leaders. It’s them that need to be in the detail and able to advise. As with any ministerial he doesn’t need to be the brains behind the operation.

Speaking from cough cough experience, having a minister with a direct background in their portfolio isn’t always a plus.

I see your point. Secretary of Defense is a civilian position in the US and the nominee has to have been retired from active duty military service for seven years to be eligible unless Congress provides a waiver for that requirement. Part of the SecDef's brief is to oversee active duty military leadership, so some separation is good.

One downside to having someone in the job with no military background is that they will have somewhat lower credibility in dealing with defense ministers from other countries.

DdraigGoch · 14/11/2023 21:10

Speaking from cough cough experience, having a minister with a direct background in their portfolio isn’t always a plus.

Having one with a functioning brain would be enough.

blueshoes · 14/11/2023 22:19

DdraigGoch · 14/11/2023 21:10

Speaking from cough cough experience, having a minister with a direct background in their portfolio isn’t always a plus.

Having one with a functioning brain would be enough.

Yeah, we don't ask for much over here.

MagicFox · 15/11/2023 07:42

Let's see what, if anything, comes out of the Biden-Xi meeting...It would be great if something other than optics did emerge from this but I'm not sure how optimistic I feel

OP posts:
DesdamonasHandkerchief · 15/11/2023 09:34

United 24

🔘 📖Russians destroyed nearly the entire Ukrainian literature in the temporarily occupied territories of eastern Ukraine.

In particular, in the temporarily occupied territories of Donetsk and Luhansk regions, it is almost gone from local libraries. The destruction of literature is carried out by representatives of the occupation administrations. Specifically, employees of "education departments". The occupants send reports on the destruction and replacement of literature in the temporarily occupied territories directly to the Ministry of Education of the Russian Federation.

Russians consider Ukrainian books "extremist literature." They include any Ukrainian books published between 1994 and 2021.

At the same time, Russians brought approximately 2.5 million Russian books to the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine in 2023, reports the Center of National Resistance of Ukraine.

🔘 The White House: Lack of funding has already affected Ukraine's ability to repel Russian aggression.

The U.S. Congress needs to approve the White House's request for aid to Ukraine as soon as possible in order to prevent serious consequences for Ukraine's defense, U.S. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan said in a press briefing.

🔘 The EU allocates an additional €110 million in humanitarian aid for Ukrainians.

Of this amount, €100 million will be used for projects in Ukraine and €10 million to support Ukrainian refugees and the communities that host them in Moldova.

This new funding will help EU humanitarian partners provide services such as financial assistance, food, water, shelter, healthcare, psychosocial support and protection.

The EU will also deliver 84 power generators from its rescEU strategic reserves amid the approaching winter and possible Russian attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure.

Since February 2022, the EU has provided a total of €843 million in humanitarian aid. More than 5,000 power generators have been sent to Ukraine through the EU Civil Protection Mechanism.

🔘 The war could continue for a long time—Russians simply won't sign any agreements with Kyiv and the coalition of allies — Chief of the Defence Intelligence of Ukraine Kyrylo Budanov in a comment to NV.

In his opinion, it will be a chaotic shelling of Ukraine, but without major hostilities.

According to Budanov, Russia's ability to conduct high-intensity combat operations will depend on:

🔺systemic changes in the Russian economy;

🔺external supply of military-technical goods;

🔺the growth of war fatigue in society.

Currently, Russia is still economically stable, but war fatigue is growing among Russians, and the population, particularly the male population, is rapidly decreasing.

🔘 🇩🇪The German defense concern Rheinmetall has received an order from the German government to deliver 25 Leopard 1A5 tanks to Ukraine in 2024.

The defense concern does not disclose the amount of the contract but only notes that it is a double-digit amount in the millions of euros. The tanks will be repaired and re-equipped. Along with it, five armored recovery vehicles (Bergepanzer 2) and two driver training tanks will be delivered.

Rheinmetall also reports that next year the Ukrainian Armed Forces will receive 14 more Leopard 2A4 tanks, funded by the Netherlands and Denmark.

"There is hope that 2025 will be a turning point regarding internal systemic destructive changes and processes in the Russian state, society, and economy.

But this is not a forecast, but an expectation. As of now, based on the available factors, the likelihood of this happening exists," Budanov said.

🔘 🇹🇷Türkiye has increased oil imports from Russia at a record high — Reuters.

Ankara purchased more than 800 thousand tons of Urals oil from Russian ports in the period from November 1 to 14, which is 200 thousand tons more than in the same period in October.

🔘 Bloomberg: Wheat exports from Russia are slowing down due to lower demand from major importers — Egypt and Tunisia, which are experiencing problems with access to hard currency.

Wheat exports in November may fall to 4.6-4.7 million tons compared to 5.1 million tons in October, Interfax reports. Also, the unofficial lower price level for Russian grain is forcing buyers to renegotiate or cancel deals.

🔘 🇺🇦 Oleksandr Shtupun, the spokesman of the United Press Center of the Defense Forces of the Tavriia Region, reported that the Ukrainian military successfully downed the eighth Russian Su-25 aircraft since the onset of the invaders' offensive on Avdiivka.

🔘 Slovakia has committed to financing the production of two Bozena-4 demining machines for Ukraine, set to arrive in the Kherson region by early 2024. Additionally, Slovakia will offer humanitarian aid to support Ukraine during the winter period and share its expertise in demining operations.

🔘 Hungarian Foreign Minister Peter Szijjártó announced that Hungary and Russia have finalized a timetable for the construction of the Paks II nuclear power plant.

🔘 Finnish Prime Minister Petteri Orpo has acknowledged the possibility of a complete border closure with Russia due to the rising number of asylum seekers.

🔘 Kyrylo Budanov met with the former commander of the US Special Operations Forces, McRaven, known for orchestrating the operation to eliminate Osama bin Laden.

🔘 Armenian Prime Minister Pashinyan has declined participation in the upcoming Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) summit scheduled for November 23 in Minsk, as stated by the Armenian government.

During a telephone conversation with Belarusian leader Lukashenko, Pashinyan conveyed his inability to attend the meeting. He expressed hope that "CSTO partners will understand and respect this decision."

🔘 Chinese leader Xi Jinping arrived in San Francisco. This is his first visit to the USA in 6 years. Xi will stay in the United States for four days, meet with US President Joe Biden and participate in the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation International Forum.

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 15/11/2023 09:46

Live: Ukraine

🔘 🇩🇪🇺🇦 Germany has handed overer_ another military aid package to Ukraine.*

It includes:

▪️10 Leopard 1A5 tanks;
▪️engineering vehicle Winsent 1;
▪️14 Bandvagn 206 tracked all-terrain vehicles;
▪️5 Warthog Ambulance tracked medical all-terrain vehicles;
▪️10 VECTOR reconnaissance unmanned aerial vehicles;
▪️14 ground-based counter-battery radars Ground Observer 12;
▪️3 border guard vehicles;
▪️4 8x8 HX81 tractors and 4 semi-trailers;
▪️16 Zetros trucks and 13 MAN TGS trucks;
▪️and over a thousand 155-mm shells and 1.4 million rounds of ammunition for small arms.

🔘 In order to increase the birth rate in Russia, it is necessary to limit the access of Russian girls to higher education.

This is the proposal of the Russian senator Margarita Pavlova.

🔘 Struggle for resources

When Ukrainians say that we need more weapons, the West often thinks that it is a sign of ingratitude.

In fact, Ukrainians are grateful, but there is another side - how many weapons your enemy supplies to the front. (Photo 1)

🔘 Russian oil products are bypassing the embargo and entering Greece's main refinery through Turkey.

This is Motor Oil Hellas, which also supplies fuel to the Pentagon.

The Washington Post writess_ about oil flows between the refinery and the Turkish oil depot in the town of Dirtol. Turkey has not imposed sanctions against Russia, so its companies have the right to accept Russian fuel, but the Greek refinery is prohibited from doing so.

🔘 Ukraine is actively increasing the production of new surface UAVs with "surprises" for Russians, - said the Minister of Digital Transformation of Ukraine.

The country has already moved to mass production and is producing many new models.

🔘 🇭🇺 Hungary and Russia have signed a schedule for the construction of the Paks II nuclear power plant, Hungarian Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto said.

🔘 🇸🇰Slovakia will finance the production of two Bozena-4 mine clearance vehicles for Ukraine. They will be delivered to the Kherson region in early 2024. Slovakia will also provide humanitarian assistance for the winter period and share its experience in demining.

▪️Since October, the government of Robert Fico has been in power in Slovakia, which has refused to send military aid to Ukraine, only humanitarian aid.

🔘 The Guardian reported that Hubert Seipel, a German journalist, received €600,000 from Alexei Mordashov, an oligarch close to Vladimir Putin

The payments were made between 2013 and 2021, and appear to have been linked to Seipel's work on two books about Putin.

🔘 In his evening address, Zelensky said that Russian dictator Putin plans to announce his elections in early December, so he wants to show at least some results on the battlefield by then.

🔘 The Ukrainian flag flies in temporarily occupied Crimea.

Activists of the “Yellow Ribbon” movement hung the Ukrainian flag on Mount Boyka.

Crimea is Ukraine! (Photos 2&3)

🔘 The British newspaper The Economist has published a puzzle cover for the year 2024. It summarizes and shows the main trends for the next year. In particular, these are the US presidential election and Donald Trump's participation in it; Europe, which must step forward and provide Ukraine with the military and economic support necessary for a long war; wars in the Middle East; tensions over Taiwan; green energy, artificial intelligence, and uniting the world.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
DesdamonasHandkerchief · 15/11/2023 09:46

Economists cover which wouldn't post above!

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
blueshoes · 15/11/2023 10:39

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-november-14-2023

Key Takeaways:

  • Russian forces are likely trying to regain the theater-level initiative in Ukraine by conducting several simultaneous offensive operations in eastern Ukraine, although it remains unclear if Russian forces will be able to fully regain the initiative as Ukrainian forces maintain pressure on critical areas of the front.
  • Ukrainian President's Office Head Andriy Yermak stated on November 13 that Ukrainian forces have established a "foothold" on the east (left) bank of Kherson Oblast.
  • Russian President Vladimir Putin approved amendments to the Russian federal election law on November 14 that increase the Kremlin's control over the conduct of elections and reduce election transparency ahead of the 2024 presidential elections.
  • Russian forces conducted another wave of missile, air, and drone strikes against Ukrainian rear areas on the night of November 13–14.
  • Ukraine's western partners announced new efforts to continue providing Ukraine with military and financial aid.
  • The Russian government is likely attempting to force Google to cease operations in Russia.
  • Armenia continues to distance itself from Russia amid deteriorating Russian-Armenian relations.
  • Deputy Chairperson of the Russian State Duma Pyotr Tolstoy suggested a measure that would restrict work opportunities for migrants from countries that have not designated Russian as a state language, likely as part of an ongoing effort to coerce migrants into Russian military service.
  • Russian forces conducted offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line, near Bakhmut, near Avdiivka, west and southwest of Donetsk City, in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area, and in western Zaporizhia Oblast on November 14 and advanced in some areas.
  • The Russian government discussed amendments that would more strictly penalize those who evade mobilization as well as volunteer servicemen who “improperly” perform their duties.
  • Russian occupation officials are beginning to announce that occupied areas of Ukraine will not hold significant public Christmas and New Years’ celebrations due to security concerns.
Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
MagicFox · 15/11/2023 10:52

I listed to the latest The Rest is Politics this morning and Rory Stewart made the point that there's evidence to suggest that the Russian intelligence service is behind the stoking of anti-Semitic sentiment in Europe, and that this was also the case in Germany in the 50s. Old playbook.

OP posts:
blueshoes · 15/11/2023 11:04

Kyiv Independent Telegram highlights

⚡️ Commissioner: EU can produce 1 million shells, missiles per year (https://kyivindependent.com/commissioner-eu-can-deliver-1-million-shells-to-ukraine-by-spring-with-enough-effort/) with enough effort from member states.

⚡Germany delivers more (https://kyivindependent.com/germany-delivers-more-leopard-tanks-armored-ambulances-to-ukraine/) Leopard 1 tanks, armored ambulances to Ukraine.

⚡️ Stoltenberg: Negotiations with Russia are up to Ukraine's decision. (https://kyivindependent.com/stoltenberg-ukraine-decides-possibility-of-negotiations-with-russia-condemns-construction-of-russian-base-on-georgian-territory/)

⚡️ Stoltenberg: Plans for Russian base (https://kyivindependent.com/stoltenberg/) on Georgian territory unacceptable.

⚡️ FT: US-led price cap on Russian oil almost completely ineffective. (https://kyivindependent.com/ft-us-led-price-cap-on-russian-oil-almost-completely-ineffective/) The vast majority of Russian oil has been selling above the $60 per barrel limit that the U.S. and its allies have attempted to impose.
However, other officials said that the price cap and related measures have thinned the Kremlin's profit margins even though oil was being sold at higher prices.

⚡️IEA: Russian revenues from oil exports drop by almost 2.5% from the previous month(https://kyivindependent.com/iea-russian-revenues-from-oil-exports-drop-due-to-sanctions/) due to sanctions, global market forces. Russian revenues from oil exports in October dropped by almost 2.5% from the previous month in part due to Western sanctions against those violating the $60 per barrel price cap. Russia received an estimated $18.34 billion in revenue from crude oil and petroleum-product exports in October, down from $18.8 billion in September.

⚡️Germany's Rheinmetall to provide (https://kyivindependent.com/germanys-rheinmetall-to-provide-ukraine-with-25-leopard-1-tanks/) Ukraine with 25 Leopard 1 tanks.

⚡️Kherson Oblast Prosecutor's Office (https://kyivindependent.com/kherson-oblast-prosecutors-office-opens-case-over-civilians-not-allowed-in-bomb-shelter/)opens case over civilians not allowed in bomb shelter. They were reportedly not allowed to enter the bomb shelter used by the facility’s employees and were not given the address of the next closest place of refuge.

⚡ Commander: Russia has lost over 4,000 soldiers on eastern front (https://kyivindependent.com/commander-russians-lost-more-than-4-000-soldiers-on-eastern-front-over-past-2-weeks/) over past 2 weeks in fighting on the eastern front in Ukraine's Kharkiv and Donetsk oblasts

⚡️ Umerov: Death of soldiers at award ceremony (https://kyivindependent.com/umerov-soldiers-deaths-at-award-ceremony-could-have-been-avoided-basic-security-measures-ignored/) 'could have been avoided.’ The organizers of the award ceremony, where at least 19 Ukrainian soldiers from the 128th Mountain Assault Brigade were allegedly killed in a Russian attack, ignored basic security measures that could have prevented the incident, Defense Minister Rustem Umerov said on Nov. 14.

⚡️NGO Save Ukraine rescues 4 more children (https://kyivindependent.com/ngo-save-ukraine-rescues-4-more-children-from-russian-occupation/) from Russian occupation.

⚡️Guardian: Top German journalist Hubert Seipel, an influential German writer and filmmaker who has long been seen as one of Germany’s top independent expertsr, received at least 600,000 euros ($652,000) in secret offshore payments from Russian oligarch (https://kyivindependent.com/guardian-top-german-journalist-received-funds-from-russian-oligarch-close-to-putin-leak-reveals/)

Rise of populism in Ukraine's neighborhood: Not as gloomy as you think (https://kyivindependent.com/populism-in-ukraines-neighborhood-not-as-gloomy-as-you-think/) despite Slovakia’s new Prime Minister, Robert Fico. A more thorough look reveals, however, that Central and Eastern European populist leaders lack the will, strength, and, for that matter, interest to form an actual anti-Ukrainian bloc within the EU.

⚡️Washington Post: Banned Russian oil flows (https://kyivindependent.com/washington-post-banned-russian-oil-flows-into-pentagon-supply-chain/) into Pentagon supply chain.

⚡️Ukraine starts (https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-starts-grain-insurance-program-days-after-missile-attack/) grain insurance program following attack on foreign cargo ship.

⚡️US House passes (https://kyivindependent.com/us-house-passes-spending-bill-without-ukraine-aid/) spending bill without Ukraine aid.

⚡️Xi Jinping arrives in San Francisco (https://kyivindependent.com/xi-jinping-arrives-in-us-for-asia-pacific-economic-cooperation-summit/) for Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit. It is his first visit to the U.S. since 2017. He is due to meet President Joe Biden at an undisclosed location in the San Francisco Bay Area the next day.

⚡️ISW: Russian forces are likely attempting to regain initiative (https://kyivindependent.com/isw-russian-forces-are-likely-attempting-to-regain-initiative-in-ukraine-through-multiple-simultaneous-offensives/) in Ukraine through multiple simultaneous offensives. Several Ukrainian officials have underscored the complexity of the front-line situation, affirming that Ukrainian forces maintain control of the battlespace.

⚡US to fund (https://kyivindependent.com/us-to-fund-international-center-for-prosecution-of-russian-aggression-against-ukraine-with-1-million/) the International Center for the Prosecution of the Crime of Aggression Against Ukraine (ICPA) in The Hague with $1 million.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
blueshoes · 15/11/2023 11:11

Opinion: Preparing for a Russian nuclear meltdown (kyivindependent.com)

“The prospect is chilling. If the Ukraine debacle destroys Putin’s domestic legitimacy, how should the United States (and the wider world) respond to the risk of ‘loose nukes,’ or a vengeful leader going down with his finger on the nuclear button?” writes Bennett Ramberg, a former foreign affairs officer in the U.S. State Department’s Bureau of Political-Military Affairs, in his recent op ed."

Opinion: Preparing for a Russian nuclear meltdown

The Wagner Group’s aborted rebellion in June, coupled with the protracted war in Ukraine, has renewed fears about the security of Russia’s nuclear arsenal. The risk of “loose nukes” or a vengeful leader going down with his finger on the trigger may see...

https://kyivindependent.com/opinion-preparing-for-a-russian-nuclear-meltdown/

MissConductUS · 15/11/2023 20:15

US House passes (https://kyivindependent.com/us-house-passes-spending-bill-without-ukraine-aid/) spending bill without Ukraine aid.

To put this in context, funding for Ukraine and Israel was always going to be a separate bill. What passed in the House was funding for federal government agencies to keep them open at current spending levels.

US House passes spending bill without Ukraine aid

The U.S. House of Representatives passed a stop-gap funding bill to avoid a government shutdown that did not include additional aid for Ukraine or Israel, CNN reported on Nov. 14.

https://kyivindependent.com/us-house-passes-spending-bill-without-ukraine-aid/

Igotjelly · 16/11/2023 07:37

For those that like a podcast. Would recommend the latest episode of The Rachman Review entitled "Is the balance tilting towards Russia in Ukraine". It's an interview with Jack Watling from the Royal United Services Institute in London.

Very interesting but really quite depressing. Generally the takeaway is that yes the balance is tilting towards Russia quite fundamentally.

MagicFox · 16/11/2023 08:59

Just listened to this too Jelly. Yes, deflating. I liked his point about how weariness is not the same as low morale or despair though and how he underscored Ukrainian determination

OP posts:
blueshoes · 16/11/2023 09:37

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-november-15-2023

Key Takeaways:

  • The European Union (EU) appears poised to ban the export of precision machine tools and key weapons manufacturing equipment components to Russia.
  • Denmark will reportedly start inspecting and potentially blocking Russian oil tankers in an effort to enforce a price cap on Russian oil and the European Union’s (EU) insurance regulations.
  • The Ukrainian government reached a deal with international insurers that will provide affordable coverage to vessels carrying grain and other critical food supplies through the Black Sea corridor for civilian vessels, amid continued Russian efforts to deny navigation through the corridor.
  • Russian President Vladimir Putin stated during a meeting with Russian election commission representatives on November 15 that the Russian government will suppress any foreign or domestic election interference.
  • Recent Russian opinion polls indicate that roughly half of Russians maintain support for the war in Ukraine and for Russia to engage in peace negotiations.
  • Yandex NV - the Dutch holding company of Russian internet technology company Yandex - reportedly aims to sell all its Russian assets by the end of 2023, allowing the Russian government to further increase its hold over the Russian information space.
  • Russian forces conducted offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line, near Bakhmut, near Avdiivka, west and southwest of Donetsk City, in the Donetsk Zaporizhia Oblast border area, and in western Zaporizhia Oblast and advanced in some areas.
  • A Russian insider source claimed that Kremlin-created Defenders of the Fatherland Foundation, which presented a limited number of former Wagner fighters with the certificates of their combat veteran status, is coercing former Wagner fighters into signing contracts with the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD).
  • Russian and occupation authorities continue efforts to indoctrinate Ukrainian students in occupied Ukraine.
Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
DesdamonasHandkerchief · 16/11/2023 10:09

United 24

🔘 The International Campaign to Ban Landmines (ICBL) reported a tenfold increase in civilian casualties resulting from anti-personnel mine explosions in Ukraine in 2022 compared to 2021.

According to the ICBL, landmines were discovered in 11 out of Ukraine's 24 regions, specifically in Chernihiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Kharkiv, Kherson, Kyiv, Luhansk, Mykolaiv, Odesa, Sumy, and Zaporizhia.

Since February 2022, Russian forces have deployed at least 13 varieties of anti-personnel mines within Ukrainian territory.

This has led to 608 civilians being killed or injured by landmines since the commencement of the full-scale invasion. In 2021, the number of civilian casualties was 58.

As per the ICBL, a minimum of 4,341 civilians suffered deaths or injuries due to landmines and explosive devices in 49 countries worldwide in 2022. Alarmingly, half of these victims were children.

In 2022, Ukraine held the unfortunate second position globally in terms of the number of casualties caused by anti-personnel mines, following only Syria, where 834 individuals were killed or wounded.

🔘 The Prime Minister of Finland has claimed that Russia is facilitating the entry of illegal migrants into the country. He mentioned that Russian border guards are implicated in this activity.

The migrants reportedly include individuals from Iraq, Yemen, and Syria who initially entered the Russian Federation through legal channels but lacked authorization to enter Finland.

The Minister of Internal Affairs emphasized that Finland retains the option to close its eastern border and even the entire national border under specific circumstances. [Russia seems to have it's fingerprints over so much nefarious activity]

🔘 The monument to Pushkin in Kyiv was dismantled. https://t.me/United24media/15380

🔘 EU Commissioner for Energy Kadri Simson has urged Hungary to intensify its endeavors aimed at halting the procurement of Russian energy resources. Simson stressed the importance of diminishing vulnerability to Kremlin influence.

🔘 The Financial Times reports that Denmark is considering the possibility of impeding market access for oil tankers originating from the Russian Federation.

The European Union (EU) is planning to direct Denmark to conduct inspections and potentially block tankers transporting Russian oil passing through Danish waters. This move comes in response to Russia's evasion of previously imposed price restrictions.

Denmark intends to inspect vessels passing through its waters lacking Western insurance, leveraging laws enabling states to examine ships they consider environmentally threatening, according to sources cited in the article.

Authorities justify the requirement for adequate insurance from reputable companies due to many Russian oil shipments being transported by aging vessels, part of the so-called "shadow fleet." These older vessels are more prone to breakdowns or oil spills, posing a significant environmental hazard.

The successful implementation of the plan relies on the Danish Navy's capacity to halt and inspect these tankers, along with the potential use of coercive measures if vessels refuse to comply.

The proposal emerged in Brussels following acknowledgments from Western officials that "almost none" of Russia's oil exports were sold below the $60-a-barrel "ceiling" last month. This price cap was imposed by the G7 in response to Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, nearly 11 months ago.

The EU is contemplating additional measures as part of a new sanctions package. These measures include constraints on shipowners who sell their older vessels to Russia's "shadow fleet" and potential sanctions against nations permitting these ships to sail under their national flag.

🔘 Local government in Kherson region report that a number of settlements in the left bank of Kherson region have become deserted due to the war.

Mayor of occupied Nova Kakhovka,Volodymyr Kovalenko,said that, in particular, there are no local residents in the village of Korsunka, and now there is a large amount of damaged equipment belonging to the Russians.

There are also devastated villages in the Oleshky community, which is also under Russian occupation.

🔘 The Financial Times: Kyiv and broking giant Marsh McLennan have agreed on a new public-private partnership to insure grain ships on the Black Sea.

The partnership will offer hull and liability insurance from Lloyd's of London up to $50 million for vessels. This would provide so-called war risk cover in case of losses. The risk is to be shared between insurers and Kyiv, with the state bearing the first portion of any claims up to an undisclosed level.

Financial support will be covered by Ukreximbank and Ukrgasbank. German lender DZ Bank will act as a middleman.

🔘 Russians are using chemical weapons in the hottest spots of the frontline, DeepState reports.

"Two cases of chemical weapons use were recorded in the Svatove and Bakhmut sectors, most likely the enemy used chloropicrin, which is in abundance and has been used against our troops many times," the statement said.

🔘 The Ukrainian economy is not a "special case" for the EU, so Ukraine is able to successfully integrate into the union — a study by the Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (Wiiw) and the Bertelsmann Stiftung.

Ukraine's economy was compared with the countries of Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe that joined the EU in 2004-2013, as well as with the current candidate countries.

“The prerequisite for this, however, is the necessary political will in EU capitals to realize the potential that exists in Ukraine,” says Miriam Kosmehl, Senior Expert Eastern Europe and EU Neighborhood at the Bertelsmann Stiftung.

Nevertheless, there are major challenges, experts say. These include the enormous loss of population due to the war, still widespread corruption, weak rule of law, low productivity of the economy, and low attractiveness for foreign direct investment.

🔘 🇪🇺The European Union has proposed banning the export of machine tools and machinery parts that Russia uses to make weapons targeting Ukraine —Bloomberg.

🔘 The U.S. State Department will provide $1 million to support the International Center for the Prosecution of the Crime of Aggression Against Ukraine (ICPA), announced the US State Department spokesperson, Matthew Miller.

"The United States remains focused on working with Ukraine and the international community to hold accountable those responsible for international crimes committed in Ukraine," Miller said.

The ICPA will facilitate the investigation of Russia's crimes by providing a platform for Ukraine and partner countries to collaborate in building the strongest possible cases for future prosecution."

🔘 In Lviv, a series of intricate surgeries were executed to reconstruct the faces of military personnel.

Collaborating American and Ukrainian reconstructive surgeons skillfully transplanted bones, tissues, and blood vessels from the leg to restore the faces of soldiers severely injured by landmines and explosives.

🔘 The new head of the British Foreign Ministry, David Cameron, made his inaugural foreign visit to Kyiv. [Good shout 'Call me Dave']

Zelenskyy mentioned that during their discussion, they explored the possibility of supplying weapons for the frontline and bolstering air defense systems, emphasizing the need for ‘protecting our people and critical infrastructure’.

🔘 Satellite images of the Iranian Shahed-136 kamikaze drone factory in Yelabuz, Tatarstan.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
DesdamonasHandkerchief · 16/11/2023 10:12

That Economist cover explained:

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
DesdamonasHandkerchief · 16/11/2023 10:12

Part 2:

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
DesdamonasHandkerchief · 16/11/2023 10:13

Part 3:

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
DesdamonasHandkerchief · 16/11/2023 10:25

Live: Ukraine

🔘 The 10 largest donors to Ukraine: EU, USA, Germany, UK, Norway, Japan, Canada, Poland, Netherlands, Denmark.
(See graphic photo 1)

🔘 Musk just called Zelensky a butcher

This is part of the Kremlin narrative that Musk is telling, that the Ukrainian people somehow want to be ruled by Russians, and the West is just standing in the way.

What about Putin’s butcher reality? 23 years holding on to the throne? Political murders? Throwing thousands into meat slaughters? Any word on that, Elon?

Elon Musk said in an online discussion:

“I think that Zaluzhny is definitely someone who values the lives of his people. And he takes a sober look at what is really going on. Zelensky has long been living in his butcher reality, and this reality does not match to reality.”

🔘 In the Russian-occupied territories of southern and eastern Ukraine, the Russian occupation authorities are calling on civilians not only to change their Ukrainian citizenship to Russian, but also to Russify their surnames

This poster from Melitopol promotes changing one's surname from Halushko to Glushkova.
(Photo 2)

🔘 Putin wants the world to forget Ukraine, but that will not happen, says German President

Ukraine needs support now more than ever, especially with the war in the Middle East, German President Frank-Walter Steinmeier said at a conference in Leipzig.

"Putin's calculation is that the world should forget about Ukraine. Germany will not grant the Russian president such a favor," he stressed.

🔘 🇨🇿 The Czech Republic has frozen all Russian state assets.

"This is the end of the commercial activity from which Russia finances the murders of Ukrainians," Czech Foreign Minister Jan Lipavsky said.

🔘 Zelensky believes that Ukraine cannot afford a "frozen conflict" with a stalemate, so it must end it, the president said at a meeting with African journalists.

He explained that by ending the war he means a situation where Russia begins to respect the territorial integrity and the UN Charter and withdraws its troops from the territory of Ukraine.

🔘 Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping meet in San Francisco.

The war in Ukraine is one of the main topics of the talks.

🔘 For the first time in history, Russia was expelled from the UNESCO Executive Board

This was stated by President of Ukraine Zelensky.

🔘 🇺🇸 U.S. senators have passed a stopgap budget to avoid a shutdown and sent it to President Joe Biden for his signature. The day before, CNN quoted a White House official as saying that Biden would sign the bill if it passed the Senate.

It does not contain any aid for Ukraine. The House of Representatives will consider a combined national security package that includes aid for Israel, Ukraine, the U.S. border, and Taiwan after Thanksgiving (November 23).

🔘 🇪🇪 Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas said that there is a war of attrition between Russia and Ukraine, but the situation is not hopeless.

"Russia thinks it can hold out longer than Ukraine. But I have reason to believe that our support will help Ukraine to hold out longer than Russia," the head of the Estonian government said.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
PerkingFaintly · 16/11/2023 12:29

I think this has been mentioned here before, but BBC is now reporting that Ukrainians are being deprived of medical care unless they accept Russian passports.

Ukraine war: Locals forced to take Russian passports, report says
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-67427840

A woman holds her new Russian passport in Kherson, 2022

Ukraine war: Locals forced to take Russian passports, report says

Ukrainians in occupied territories are being forced to take Russian citizenship, a report finds.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-67427840

DdraigGoch · 16/11/2023 19:50

Can't the CIA arrange for Musk to have an "accident"? He must spend some time near hotel balconies.

Greenshake · 16/11/2023 21:17

DdraigGoch · 16/11/2023 19:50

Can't the CIA arrange for Musk to have an "accident"? He must spend some time near hotel balconies.

Edited

You are the third person that I have heard say this today 😉

blueshoes · 16/11/2023 22:24

Kyiv Independent Telegram highlights

Russia, West fight for Kazakhstan as Astana plays both sides
(https://kyivindependent.com/russia-west-fight-for-kazakhstan-as-astana-plays-both-sides/) During Vladimir Putin's recent trip to Kazakhstan, the opening remarks by President Tokayev were made in Kazakh language, an unusual feature for the Russian delegation that for decades enjoyed being greeted in Russian, a co-official language in the country. The Russian delegation scrambling to find headphones was seen by some observers as the new reality of Russian-Kazakh relations – a reality where Kazakhstan decides the rules.

⚡️Majority leader: US Senate to consider (https://kyivindependent.com/us-senate-to-consider-aid-for-ukraine-after-nov-23/) Ukraine aid bill after Nov. 23.
The U.S. Senate will reconvene after Nov. 23 to consider a joint funding bill that includes aid for Ukraine and Israel, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D) said at a press conference on Nov. 14.

⚡️Ministry: Russia strikes (https://kyivindependent.com/energy-ministry-russian-shelling-damages-2-energy-facilities-in-kharkiv-donetsk-oblasts/) 2 energy facilities in Kharkiv, Donetsk oblasts.

⚡Ukraine's appeals court confirms legality (https://kyivindependent.com/appeals-court-rejects-return-of-nationalized-privatbank-to-its-former-owners/) of nationalization of PrivatBank, formerly owned by oligarch Ihor Kolomoisky and Hennadii Boholiubov, was declared insolvent by Ukraine's National Bank due to its high capital losses and subsequently nationalized in 2016.

⚡️ Bloomberg: EU's new Russia sanctions package to target diamonds, oil cap, dual-use goods. (https://kyivindependent.com/bloomberg-eus-new-russia-sanctions-package-to-target-machine-exports-diamonds/)

⚡️Former U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo will join the board of directors of Kyivstar, the largest mobile service provider in Ukraine, the company's parent company Veon announced on Nov. 14. He has been a staunch ally of Trump, even after the end of his tenure as president. Pompeo also supported Trump's attempts to overturn the results of the 2020 election. (Former US state secretary to join Kyivstar board (kyivindependent.com)

⚡️Russian official proposes canceling debt (https://kyivindependent.com/russian-official-proposes-canceling-debt-of-russian-soldiers-fighting-in-ukraine/) of soldiers fighting in Ukraine.

Not backing Ukraine is 'disastrous for Slovak security,' says former defense minister
(https://kyivindependent.com/not-backing-ukraine-is-disastrous-for-slovak-security-says-former-defense-minister/)

⚡️Media: Ukrainian oligarch Akhmetov borrowed $400 million (https://kyivindependent.com/media-ukrainian-oligarch-akhmetov-borrowed-400-million-from-russian-bank/) from Russian bank,Sberbank before 2014, when Russia invaded Ukraine.

⚡️ Russia admits Ukrainian troops operate (https://kyivindependent.com/russia-admits-ukrainian-troops-operate-dnipros-occupied-left-bank/) on Dnipro River's occupied east bank.
⚡️ Zelensky: Frozen war means our children, grandchildren will have to fight. (https://kyivindependent.com/zelensky-frozen-war-means-our-children-grandchildren-will-have-to-fight/)

⚡️ Zelensky, Trudeau discuss air defense support (https://kyivindependent.com/zelensky-trudeau-discuss-air-defense-support-over-phone-call/) during phone call.

For the first time, Russia admits Ukrainian troops operate on Dnipro River's occupied east bank
(https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-war-latest-russia-admits-ukrainian-troops-operate-on-dnipro-rivers-occupied-east-bank/)

⚡️Russia planned (https://kyivindependent.com/russia-planned-to-steal-grain-and-starve-ukrainians-ahead-of-invasion-evidence-shows/) to steal grain and starve Ukrainians ahead of invasion, evidence shows. Human rights law firm Global Rights Compliance shows that Russia prepared to steal grain supplies, target food infrastructure, and starve the Ukrainian population months before the full-scale invasion. GRC found that Russia's defense contractor started buying bulk carrier cargo ships and trucks to transport grain as early as December 2021. Following the launch of the full-scale invasion in February 2022, Russian forces attacked grain-rich regions and food infrastructure first as part of a deliberate starvation campaign, GRC's report says.

⚡️UPDATE: Biden, Xi meet (https://kyivindependent.com/biden-xi-meet-at-apec-summit/) at APEC summit. Biden said the two leaders discussed "Russia's brutal war of aggression against Ukraine," but did not share details of the conversation or report that any agreements had been reached.

⚡️AP: Estonian PM Kallas interested (https://kyivindependent.com/ap-estonian-pm-kallas-interested-in-leading-nato/) NATO's top job.

⚡Slovakia scrutinizes (https://kyivindependent.com/slovakia-scrutinizes-ukrainian-trucks-amid-long-lines-at-border/) Ukrainian trucks amid long lines at border. The line is mainly made up of Ukrainian vehicles, many of which do not meet requirements and lack certain documents, the ministry believes.

⚡️Zelensky meets (https://kyivindependent.com/zelensky-meets-new-uk-foreign-secretary-david-cameron/) new UK Foreign Secretary David Cameron.

⚡Air Force: Ukraine downs (https://kyivindependent.com/air-force-ukraine-downs-16-of-18-attack-drones-overnight/) 16 out of 18 Russian attack drones launched overnight.

⚡Ukraine's secret 'Black Box' project revealed (https://kyivindependent.com/ukrainian-intelligences-secret-black-box-project-revealed-to-be-long-range-attack-drone/) to be long-range attack drone, named the "Beaver," that can fly up to 800 kilometers. The Black Box project is a collaborative effort of Ukraine's military intelligence (HUR), the Come Back Alive fund, and Ukrainian blogger Ihor Lachenkov. [pic]

⚡Switzerland pledges (https://kyivindependent.com/switzerland-supports-creation-of-special-tribunal-on-crime-of-russian-aggression/) support for creation of special tribunal for Russia's war. Switzerland would join 38 other countries that currently support the initiative, including many of Ukraine's allies in Europe, as well as Japan, Guatemala, and other countries.

⚡Guardian: 12th EU sanctions (https://kyivindependent.com/guardian-12th-eu-sanctions-package-to-include-medvedevs-son/) package to include Medvedev's son. The 28-year-old Ilya Medvedev is a member of the ruling United Russia party and has been implicated in contributing to a disinformation campaign aimed at Ukrainians in Russian-occupied territories of Ukraine.

⚡Economic Security (https://kyivindependent.com/economic-security-bureau-more-than-20-of-grain-exported-through-high-risk-channels/) Bureau: 'More than 20% of grain exported through high-risk channels.' The total export value of that grain is Hr 144 billion ($3.9 billion).

[Not the best pic. 'Beaver', long range drone]

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45