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Ukraine Invasion: Part 45

981 replies

MagicFox · 26/09/2023 20:14

Thanks to all: contributors, lurkers and those in-between

**
Agreed thread guidance:

A. The agreed purpose of the thread is for the sharing of information and commentary on current events

B. If you post a link please tell us where it leads/give a precis of the content

C. Discussion and debate is welcome, but please keep it respectful

OP posts:
Thread gallery
398
DancesWithDucks · 02/11/2023 12:25

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

New EU sanctions against Russia include €5 billion in restrictions

The restrictions included in the 12th package of EU sanctions against Russia are intended to hit the Russian military-industrial complex primarily, Bloomberg writes.

The prohibition may include the supply of welding machines, chemicals and technologies used for military purposes, as well as software licensing. Furthermore, restrictions may affect imports of Russian metals and aluminum products.

According to Politico, the most striking aspect of the new package is the EU's ban on Russian diamonds. According to diplomats, the bloc also intends to introduce additional measures to combat sanctions circumvention.

One-third of the world's diamonds come from the Russian mining company Alrosa. Earlier, the EU refrained from a ban because Belgium feared that its global diamond center of Antwerp would be affected. Belgium then pushed for a new diamond tracking system through the G7.

The G7 is still discussing the technical implementation of such an indirect ban, but the EU could still move forward with its ban under this arrangement, another EU diplomat said. Discussions in EU countries on the European Commission's proposal could last from one week to the end of the year, two diplomats said.

In total, the new EU sanctions package against Russia may encompass over 100 individuals and dozens of legal entities. There is also consideration of prohibiting the employment of Russians in “sensitive” sectors and repatriating Russian assets within the European Union.

As a reminder, the European Union has imposed 11 packages of sanctions against Russia since the full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

European Commission will publish a report on 8 November with a recommendation to start negotiations on Ukraine and Moldova's joining the EU, – Politico
The publication writes that the leaders are preparing to start formal accession negotiations regarding Ukraine and Moldova next month, but also fear that the EU will expand without any coherent plan for effective functioning while insisting on reforming the bloc.
In particular, with "technical" reservations, Ukraine and Moldova need to fulfill a number of conditions, including establishing a strong and independent judiciary and implementing anti-corruption measures.

Ukraine has reportedly launched ATACMS missiles targeting Crimea, as mentioned by Commander-in-Chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces Valerii Zaluzhnyi in an interview with The Economist. According to Zaluzhnyi, the first strikes involving long-range American missiles against Russian positions on the temporarily occupied peninsula occurred on October 30.

The recent scandal regarding the purported demise of Putin was reportedly orchestrated to assess the response of both Russian society and the political elites. It is believed to be a tool intended to exert influence on Putin and may be part of a specific scenario, as suggested by Yusov, a representative of the GUR (Main Intelligence Directorate).
Yusov also referred to such stories as "a valuable subject for observation" from Ukraine's perspective.

Energy companies turn to Ukraine to store surplus gas, the Financial Times says.
In anticipation of peak demand during the winter months, EU natural gas storage is nearing full capacity. According to Gas Infrastructure Europe, the EU’s chambers are now almost 99 % full, surpassing Brussels’ target of 90% storage capacity by November.
The risk of a gas shortage in Europe is low for this winter, barring any major unplanned supply disruptions or long, deep cold snaps that hit Europe and Asia at the same time,” said Natasha Fielding, head of European gas pricing at Argus, a price reporting agency.
Ukraine has offered low tariffs for gas storage, becoming an alternative for European companies, which in turn may keep the price of blue fuel from rising.

A combine harvester exploded in a field on the outskirts of Snihurivka, resulting in injuries to two individuals, aged 62 and 56. Tragically, one of the victims suffered the traumatic amputation of both legs, while the other declined hospitalization after a medical examination, as reported by the State Emergency Service.

Ukrainian H&M stores are set to resume operations in November this year, as announced by the head of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine, Dmytro Kuleba.

Residents of the occupied city of Mariupol are expressing widespread dissatisfaction, claiming that Russia has failed to fulfill its promises of rebuilding their homes, according to journalist Denis Kazansky.
Local residents have reported that the budget allocated for reconstruction was reduced, resulting in construction work coming to a halt. Now, people are being asked to cover the costs themselves, and in the best-case scenario, they receive a "compensation" of 100,000 rubles (approximately $1,000). However, this assistance is not provided to everyone.
Russia simply did not have sufficient resources to fulfill its pledged commitments.

DancesWithDucks · 02/11/2023 12:37

Very good news about the energy stores.

DancesWithDucks · 02/11/2023 12:55

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

🇺🇦🇹🇷Representatives of the occupation administration of Yalta Crimea visited Turkey and took part in a meeting of the International Organization of United Cities and Local Authorities.
The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine is demanding https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid02W3hiXFx3ajTDReysWEqsL3osG43cLuqxcA2mRytt5tAHZpLpMXf84Hn1rrFRqiUwl&id=1090077030 explanations from Turkey regarding this visit.
The Foreign Ministry spokesman reminded that UN General Assembly resolutions require refraining from actions that could call into question the status of Crimea. This includes contacts with the occupation administrations.

🇩🇪🇺🇦 Germany has handed over another batch of military aid to Ukraine.
The list includes two TRML-4D radar systems for IRIS-T anti-aircraft missile systems, 12 armored personnel carriers, seven Primoco ONE reconnaissance drones, five surface drones, 32 satellite communication terminals, five heavy-duty tractors and four semi-trailers, 12 MAN TGS trucks, and other equipment.
▪️Germany is also preparing to hand over 25 Leopard 1A5 tanks, funded as part of a joint project with Denmark.
TRML-4D in the photo.

Ukraine is launching the Future Perfect project, which aims to officially make English the language of international communication in the country.
As part of the project, educational products and services are being launched. The first of them are the Empower platform from the University of Cambridge and the Promova language learning platform. They will provide access to language courses. The Future Perfect program itself will be open to every Ukrainian, regardless of financial status or place of residence.

A year ago, the United States, along with Britain and France, threatened https://www.ft.com/content/d98446ac-b56e-4f1d-bfa9-ebaed4e26884 Russia with conventional weapons if it used nuclear weapons against Ukraine. This eliminated nuclear threats from Russian rhetoric for a long time - FT.
According to the newspaper's interlocutors, Chinese leader Xi Jinping also played a role, personally warning Putin against the use of nuclear weapons, in particular during his visit to Moscow in March 2023.

Eternal memory and glory to all the fallen defenders of Ukraine.
In the photo: Lviv (the Field of Mars)

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
blueshoes · 02/11/2023 14:29

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-november-1-2023-0

Key Takeaways:
**

  • Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief General Valerii Zaluzhnyi assessed on November 1 that the war in Ukraine has taken on a positional nature and offered a series of recommendations for Ukraine to restore maneuver to the battlespace. Zaluzhnyi offered a series of specific tactical solutions to the five aforementioned operational components that have created the conditions for positional warfare, which in his view will allow Ukraine to overcome military parity with Russian forces.
  • Russian forces are likely preparing for another wave of highly attritional infantry-led ground assaults on Ukrainian positions in the Avdiivka area.
  • The current situation near Avdiivka is a microcosm of the Russian General Staff’s wider failure to internalize and disseminate lessons learned by Russian forces during previous failed offensive efforts in Ukraine to other force groupings throughout the theater.
  • Ukrainian forces continued offensive operations near Bakhmut and in western Zaporizhia Oblast on November 1.
  • Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu reiterated Russian President Vladimir Putin’s framing of ongoing Ukrainian ground activity on the east (left) bank of Kherson Oblast as part of the Ukrainian counteroffensive.
  • Russian forces conducted a relatively large series of drone and missile strikes mainly targeting Poltava Oblast on the night of October 31 to November 1.
  • The Russian military appears poised to re-establish its military districts as the primary joint headquarters for its ground forces while transferring naval assets back to the command of the Russian Navy.
  • Russian sources speculated that Pavel Prigozhin, the son of deceased Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin, is officially the acting head of Wagner remnants operating under the auspices of Rosgvardia.
  • Russian forces continued offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line, in the Bakhmut direction, near Avdiivka, west and southwest of Donetsk City, in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area, and in western Zaporizhia Oblast and advanced in various sectors of the front.
Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
blueshoes · 02/11/2023 14:54

mids2019 · 02/11/2023 08:49

Ukraine's top general: “There will most likely be no deep and beautiful breakthrough.”

Ukraine’s commander-in-chief of armed forces General Valery Zaluzhny has said that the war in Ukraine in “at a stalemate”, warning that there is likely to be no quick “no deep and beautiful breakthrough” in the counteroffensive against Russia.

The candid assessment – which could cause headaches for world leaders attempting to maintain financial and military support for Ukraine – comes 18 months after Vladimir Putin invaded Ukraine.

Speaking to the Economist, Zaluzhny said:

Just like in the first world war we have reached the level of technology that puts us into a stalemate.

The general told the publication it would take a massive technological leap to break the deadlock.

There will most likely be no deep and beautiful breakthrough.

Why has this general given this interview now? Is this an appeal for western assistance of some type that can break the impasse? If we have reached a military stake mate can there be any political progress on the fate of Russian occupied territory?

It may be that the general in question is voicing frustrations about the level of NATO aid?

@mids2019, sobering assessment by General Valery Zaluzhny.

This article is about a week old from the FT and pre-dates Zaluzhny's statement. It explains what makes me uneasy about the stalemate narrative. I do wonder like you why he would say this. I cannot begin to imagine his frustration. 😭

It is behind a paywall so I have copied excerpts.
https://www.ft.com/stream/e5e4e289-b7ed-4070-9add-dcdaf1770c1e

We must ditch the ‘stalemate’ metaphor in Ukraine’s war
Referring to the conflict as such only invites moral and strategic errors

In a dynamic battlefield situation, no one talks about a “stalemate”. …

In chess, a stalemate is a draw generated by the curiosities of the rules. For example, a player can only move the king, but in so doing would put the king in check, which is not permissible. In war, unlike in chess, the number of actors can change at any time. Western powers can supply Ukraine with weapons. …

In chess, the pieces just move: no one is concerned about feeding the horses, repairing the brickwork on the castles, or ensuring that the pawns are armed. This eliminates logistics. In this war, the Ukrainians rightly believe that their best chance has been to separate Russian invaders from their supplies. Giving Ukraine the weapons needed to do that is the most effective way of bringing things to a conclusion.

Chess pieces have fixed moves. Yet Ukraine survives by doing the unexpected. The opening of the Black Sea depended upon adapting existing weapons and building new ones. When I visited Ukraine last month, I met farmers who had modified tractors to serve as mine-clearing devices, and still got their crops in.
...
“Stalemate” distances us, makes us neutral judges of a game, allows us to be people without purposes and without a plan. We turn to the next crisis, the war in Gaza, without having drawn conclusions from this one. The most important must be this: our own metaphors have slowed Ukrainian victory, making lawless violence elsewhere more likely and harder to deal with.

The Ukrainians certainly have a theory of victory, and they have purpose. I no longer know anyone in Ukraine who has not lost someone. Soldiers speak openly of the horrors, and worry about their allies, but have no doubt about their aims: defending their country and a value they unashamedly name “freedom”. Visiting a rehabilitation centre last month, I listened to stories about loss and what it meant. Several of the men were volunteer fighters. They were not pawns, but people.

They were getting prosthetics, and their friends were dead, because of Russia’s attack — but also in some measure because of the west’s slow response. If the war is a “stalemate”, it goes on forever and there is nothing we can do. Thinking that way could get us to a world where Russia wins, more wars of aggression follow, the international legal order buckles, and the opportunities of the century slip away.

A lot hangs on this war, which is precisely why it is so tempting to find the turn of phrase that allow us to turn away, that give us the sense that we are not involved. But we are.

DancesWithDucks · 02/11/2023 15:35

It was hot yesterday

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
DancesWithDucks · 03/11/2023 10:21

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

⚡️ Biden threatens to veto new $14.3 billion Israel aid bill without Ukraine funding. https://kyivindependent.com/biden-threatens-to-veto-new-14-3-billion-israel-aid-bill-without-ukraine-funding/

⚡️ Reuters: White House to reveal new $425 million Ukraine aid package https://kyivindependent.com/reuters-white-house-to-reveal-new-425-million-ukraine-aid-package/
The U.S. plans to unveil a $425 million aid package for Ukraine which will include counter-drone capabilities and other munitions, officials told Reuters on Nov. 2.

⚡️Russian mass drone attack against Ukraine hits infrastructure, civilian sites https://kyivindependent.com/russian-mass-drone-attack-against-ukraine-hits-infrastructure-civilian-sites-overnight/ overnight.

⚡️ Zelensky: Ukraine deals heavy losses https://kyivindependent.com/zelensky-ukraine-deals-heavy-losses-to-russia-in-vuhledar-direction/ to Russia in Vuhledar direction.

⚡️ Ukraine announces evacuation of 275 children https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-to-evacuate-275-children-from-kharkiv-oblast/ from Kharkiv Oblast.
Ukrainian authorities have mandated the evacuation of 275 children and their families from 66 settlements of Kharkiv Oblast due to a "difficult security situation," the Reintegration Ministry announced on Nov. 2.

⚡️Sandu accuses Russia of 'buying' votes in Moldova https://kyivindependent.com/moldovan-president-accuses-russia-of-buying-votes/
Moldovan President Maia Sandu alleged that Russia has been funneling money into the country in an attempt to "buy" votes ahead of upcoming local elections in an interview with the Moldovan media outlet Jurnal TV on Nov. 1

A recent Gallup poll showed there is a significant partisan divide. A strong majority (62%) of Republicans think the U.S. is doing too much to help, while only 14% of Democrats think so. Independents remain in the middle at 44%. https://kyivindependent.com/poll-republican-support-for-ukraine-has-declined-reaching-new-lows/

⚡️Top Republicans push for longer-range https://kyivindependent.com/top-republicans-push-for-longer-range-weapons-for-ukraine/ weapons for Ukraine.

⚡️International court rules Russia must pay $267 million to energy giant DTEK https://kyivindependent.com/energy-giant-dtek-awarded-267-million-from-russia-in-compensation-for-seized-assets/
The International Court of Arbitration in The Hague ruled that Russia must pay $267 million in damages to DTEK, Ukraine's largest private energy company, the company announced on Nov. 2.
The payment is in compensation for assets in Crimea that Russia seized from the company when it illegally annexed the peninsula in 2014.

⚡️U.S. sanctions https://kyivindependent.com/us-treasury-expands-russian-sanctions-list-to-130-new-targets/ 200 entities and individuals for taking part in Russian war effort.
The U.S. is sanctioning over 200 foreign and Russian individuals and entities for their role in supporting Russia's military and economy amidst the ongoing invasion of Ukraine, the State Department announced in a press release on Nov. 2.

⚡️Media: Armenia proposed https://kyivindependent.com/media-armenia-proposed-russia-sign-agreement-to-circumvent-rome-statute/ Russia sign agreement to circumvent Rome Statute.
Armenia invited Russia to sign a bilateral agreement that would allow Yerevan to bypass rules relating to the International Criminal Court's (ICC) arrest warrant for Putin, according to local media reports on Nov. 2.

Russian vehicles not registered with the Latvian authorities by mid-February will be seized and sent to Ukraine, the Latvian Parliament announced on Nov. 2. https://kyivindependent.com/latvia-to-ban-russian-registered-cars-confiscated-vehicles-to-be-sent-to-ukraine/

A Russian drone manufacturer plans to open a factory in Uzbekistan's Navoi free economic zone, AFP reported on Nov. 2. The company, Flyseeagro, claims to only produce drones for agricultural purposes.
https://kyivindependent.com/media-russian-drone-manufacturer-to-open-factory-in-uzbekistan/

After invading Ukraine, Russia increased funding for military and patriotic education in schools and beyond. Watch the full video to see how Moscow enforces its ideology on Ukrainian children in the occupied territories and those forcibly deported to Russia.

⚡️Ukraine issues arrest warrant https://kyivindependent.com/international-arrest-warrant-on-corruption-charges-issued-for-verkhovna-rada-deputy/ for lawmaker Yaroslav Dubnevych alleged of corruption.

Ragnar Gudmundsson
WAR IN #UKRAINE - NOV 3
■ Increasedstrikes,strikes slightly above average
■ Troop & equipment losses above 7-day average - artillery, tanks, MLRS & vehicles well above
■ Oryx: 46losses (net) added to records ■ KIU: +30officers

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
DancesWithDucks · 03/11/2023 12:25

Live: Ukraine Telegram

🇺🇸 U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink said that embassy representatives who monitor the use of military, humanitarian and other aid to Kyiv have not recorded any cases of misuse.

White House National Security Council spokesman John Kirby characterized Zaluzhny's article in The Economist as one of the important arguments that confirms the urgent need for continued support for Ukraine.

In October, the Russians launched 243 Shahed drones at Ukraine (the Air Defense Forces shot down 228), 15 Kh-59 guided missiles (11 were shot down), and 9 cruise missiles (8 were shot down).

After the death of Wagner PMC owner Yevgeny Prigozhin, Russia is creating a new structure to take over its extensive operations in Africa.

The Wall Street Journal has published the scheme:

▪️Wagner PMC was replaced in Africa by two other private military companies, Redut and Convoy.

▪️These companies are financed by Putin's friends Gennady Timchenko and Arkady Rotenberg.

▪️Deputy Defense Minister Yunus-Bek Yevkurov is in charge of the structure responsible for Russian operations in Africa.

▪️GRU official Andrey Averyanov is in charge of the activities.

In late August and September, Yevkurov visited Libya, Burkina Faso, Mali, and the Central African Republic. Averyanov and Redut commander Konstantin Mirzayants were seen traveling with him. Convoy is headed by Konstantin Pikalov, who previously led Wagner's military operations in Africa.

🇰🇵🇷🇺 North Korea is closing its embassies, expecting to benefit more from arms supplies to Russia. Due to sanctions, the DPRK is running out of money to support the work of its diplomatic missions, which were most likely used to receive cash, sell contraband, etc.
Now Kim Jong-un receives money from Russia by sending it munitions and possibly short-range ballistic missiles.

Piranha AVD 360 electronic warfare system to protect armored vehicles from Russian drones, developed by Ukrainian company Piranha-Tech, has successfully passed field tests and is ready for mass production - Minister of Digital Transformation Fedorov

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
DancesWithDucks · 03/11/2023 12:47

Gah. that was Live: Ukraine.

now for UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

Germany has provided Ukraine with a significant batch of military aid, including various equipment and vehicles such as TRML-4D radar systems, armored personnel carriers, reconnaissance and surface drones, satellite communication terminals, heavy-duty tractors, trucks, and more. Additionally, preparations are underway for the transfer of 25 Leopard 1A5 tanks, financed through a joint project with Denmark. This support represents a valuable contribution to Ukraine's defense.

▫️Moldova is planning to cease paying contributions to the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) and other organizations operating within the Commonwealth platform. This decision is included in the draft budget law for 2024.

Zakharov, the designer of Lancet UAV, is among the individuals who have been subjected to US sanctions. The US Treasury Department has added a total of 30 individuals and nearly 200 legal entities to the updated sanctions list.

This list includes:

▫️Viktor Yevtukhov, Deputy Minister of Industry
▫️Deputy Minister of Trade Aleksei Bezprozvannykh
▫️Deputy Minister of Energy Anastasia Bondarenko
▫️Several Russian banks, such as "Rossiyskiy Standard," RBRR, KhKB-Bank, "Pochta Bank," "Absolut Bank," and others
▫️Investment company AFK "Sistema" and related structures, which is chaired by oligarch Vladimir Yevtushenkov, and controls the "Kronstadt" group involved in the production of unmanned aerial vehicles
▫️The Arctic LNG-2 liquefied gas production plant
▫️FAU "RosKapBud"
▫️Moscow State Technical University named after Bauman
▫️Scientific and technical center "Gazprom Neft" and the enterprise "Gazprom Neft-Katalyticheski sistemy"
▫️AEON Corporation
▫️Russian military industry and related support structures

According to US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, the new package of sanctions aims to target Russia's revenues from the energy, metallurgical, and mining sectors, which are believed to be used to finance aggressive actions.

Meanwhile, an exhibition "exposing the kingdom's support for Nazism" opened in Moscow, opposite the Swedish embassy.
Nazism in Ukraine, Nazism in Europe. And only in Russia are Jewish pogroms being revived as a tribute to national traditions.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
Mb76 · 03/11/2023 14:30

The title of the “exhibition” translates as “Brief History of Swedish Russophobia”. I can’t make out the text

DancesWithDucks · 03/11/2023 15:37

aka "anyone who doesn't love us and approve of everything we do, no matter what we do to them, is Bad"

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 03/11/2023 15:51

DancesWithDucks · 03/11/2023 15:37

aka "anyone who doesn't love us and approve of everything we do, no matter what we do to them, is Bad"

So true! What a victim complex.

blueshoes · 03/11/2023 17:44

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-november-2-2023

Key Takeaways:

  • Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces conducted a missile strike on the Russian “Dnepr” Grouping of Forces headquarters in Kherson Oblast on November 1.
  • Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Bakhmut and continued offensive operations in western Zaporizhia Oblast on November 2.
  • The Russian information space’s reaction to Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief General Valerii Zaluzhnyi’s November 1 interview and essay about the current operational environment in Ukraine was relatively muted.
  • South Korean officials reported that North Korea is reportedly increasing its weapons and ammunition transfers to Russia and has reportedly delivered more than one million artillery rounds to date.
  • The Wagner Group is reportedly planning to provide Hezbollah with Pantsir-S1 air defense systems.
  • A Russian State Duma official attempted to deny ongoing claims that Rosgvardia will structurally absorb the Wagner Group private military company (PMC), rather than individually recruit former Wagner personnel.
  • Select Russian milbloggers accused Chechen officials and Akhmat Spetsnaz of attempting to defame and censor milbloggers who criticized Wagner’s integration into Rosgvardia.
  • Russian officials appear to be pursuing limited punishments for the October 29 antisemitic riots in the Republic of Dagestan, which several Russian officials and Russian state media have called “pogroms.”
  • Russian authorities elsewhere in the North Caucasus have indicated concerns about the potential for similar riots.
  • Russian forces conducted offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line, near Bakhmut, near Avdiivka, west and southwest of Donetsk City, in the western Donetsk-eastern Zaporizhia Oblast border area, and in western Zaporizhia Oblast and advanced in some areas.
  • Russian irregular forces are continuing to form new assault detachments and are incentivizing recruitment by offering recruits semi-independence from the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD).
  • Recent Russian border restrictions are reportedly complicating the return of Ukrainian children forcibly deported to Russia.
Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
MagicFox · 03/11/2023 18:03

The BBC's reel world podcast today is useful for a discussion on Russia and the Middle East (towards the end.) short story: convenient friendship, but no illusions about the real state of play

OP posts:
Mb76 · 03/11/2023 18:25

The conflict in the Middle East is definitely playing into putin’s hands. I’m not sure what Russian propaganda is spinning atm but we had a most bizarre email at work the other day. For context I work in support for a British retail company which used to have shops in Russia - which were all shut in early spring 2022, as well as several shops in Ukraine. (Surviving Ukrainian shops operate as normally as possible with a lot of support from the UK).
The other day we received an email from someone who claimed to be Russian born but not living there for some time. They argued that because Zelenskyy is Jewish and hence Ukraine supports Israel, our company should do the “right thing” and reopen our stores in Russia to “show solidarity with Palestine”. They went on to say that it wasn’t fair on the Russian people, most of whom “had nothing to do with putin’s war” and why should the Russian would be customers be punished. 🤯
I’ve seen a few emails from Russians since the war started but this one was by far the weirdest one.

DancesWithDucks · 03/11/2023 19:43

Well, that certainly sounds like a lot of the pro-Russia arguments floating around.

Also like they have only enough intelligence to work out how to use a keyboard and spell, and nothing more.

MagicFox · 03/11/2023 21:57

Mb76 · 03/11/2023 18:25

The conflict in the Middle East is definitely playing into putin’s hands. I’m not sure what Russian propaganda is spinning atm but we had a most bizarre email at work the other day. For context I work in support for a British retail company which used to have shops in Russia - which were all shut in early spring 2022, as well as several shops in Ukraine. (Surviving Ukrainian shops operate as normally as possible with a lot of support from the UK).
The other day we received an email from someone who claimed to be Russian born but not living there for some time. They argued that because Zelenskyy is Jewish and hence Ukraine supports Israel, our company should do the “right thing” and reopen our stores in Russia to “show solidarity with Palestine”. They went on to say that it wasn’t fair on the Russian people, most of whom “had nothing to do with putin’s war” and why should the Russian would be customers be punished. 🤯
I’ve seen a few emails from Russians since the war started but this one was by far the weirdest one.

Wow, that's quite something!

OP posts:
blueshoes · 04/11/2023 13:29

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-november-3-2023

Key Takeaways:

  • Russian forces conducted a notably larger series of drone strikes throughout Ukraine on November 3.
  • The US Department of Defense (DoD) announced new military aid packages to Ukraine on November 3, primarily aimed at strengthening Ukraine’s air defenses.
  • Russian milbloggers continued to criticize the Russian military command for failing to establish long-term training capabilities because it is keeping skilled commanders and soldiers at the front and leaving inexperienced careerists to train new recruits and officers.
  • Alleged long-time allies of Russian President Vladimir Putin are reportedly financing two Russian Ministry of Defense–subordinated private military companies that have subsumed former Wagner Group operations in Africa.
  • Wagner elements in Syria will reportedly transfer Russian Pantsir-S1 air defense systems that Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has agreed to provide to Iranian-backed Lebanese Hezbollah.
  • Dagestani officials claimed they would punish those who participate in and organize alleged future demonstrations, in contrast to calls for leniency for those participating in the October 29 antisemitic riots.
  • Chechen Republic Head Ramzan Kadyrov’s continued appeals to Chechen nationalists likely aim to solidify domestic support without disrupting his appearance as a steadfast supporter of Russian President Vladimir Putin.
  • Russian forces conducted offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line, near Bakhmut, near Avdiivka, west and southwest of Donetsk City, near Vuhledar, in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area, and in western Zaporizhia Oblast and advanced in some areas.
  • Kremlin-affiliated milbloggers began advertising recruitment into an “elite regiment” in Moscow Oblast and offering recruits one-million-ruble (about $10,900) salaries.
  • Kremlin-appointed Children’s Rights Commissioner Maria Lvova-Belova continued attempts to discredit information about Russia’s deportation of Ukrainian children.
Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
DancesWithDucks · 04/11/2023 14:00

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

⚡️IAEA's expert team conducts rotation https://kyivindependent.com/iaeas-expert-team-conducts-rotation-at-occupied-zaporizhzhia-nuclear-plant/ at occupied Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Plant.

⚡️ Military intelligence: Russia fails https://kyivindependent.com/military-intelligence-russia-fails-nuclear-capable-ballistic-missiles-tests/ nuclear-capable ballistic missile tests.
Russia recently carried out unsuccessful tests of its Yars and Bulava nuclear-capable ballistic missiles, pointing to serious issues with Moscow's nuclear weapons delivery capabilities, Ukraine's military intelligence (HUR) said on Nov. 4. During an RS-24 Yars missile launch test on Nov. 1, the projectile launched from a cosmodrome in Arkhangelsk Oblast toward Kamchatka went off course, the HUR said.

⚡️Media: Netherlands (https://kyivindependent.com/media-netherlands-to-provide-ukraine-with-500-million-euros-in-ammunition/ to provide Ukraine with 500 million euros in ammunition.

⚡️UPDATE: EU Commission chief von der Leyen arrives in Kyiv. https://kyivindependent.com/von-der-leyen-to-visit-kyiv-on-nov-4/

⚡️Media: Zelensky expected to visit Israel https://kyivindependent.com/zelensky-expected-to-visit-israel-early-next-week/ early next week.
The arrangements for President Volodymyr Zelensky's upcoming visit to Israel next week are in an advanced stage, the Times of Israel reported citing Channel 12 news reports.

Germany has already earmarked funding for Ukraine in its budget planning until 2032, Bundeswehr Major General Christian Freuding said in a Nov. 3 interview with the German news outlet Stuttgarter Nachrichten. https://kyivindependent.com/german-general-says-the-countrys-support-for-ukraine-will-continue-at-least-until-2032/

⚡️Moldova's security chief says Russia spent https://kyivindependent.com/moldovas-security-chief-says-russia-spent-55-million-on-destabilization-campaign/ 55$ million on destabilization campaign.

Zelensky has dismissed General Viktor Khorenko from his role as the commander of the Special Operations Forces (SOF), at a request by Defense Minister Rustem Umerov, according to a presidential decree published online on Nov. 3. A separate decree announced that the new commander of the unit is Serhii Lupanchuk. https://kyivindependent.com/zelensky-appoints-new-head-of-special-operations-forces/

Ukraine receives US-made assault breacher https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-receives-us-made-assault-breacher/ The Ukrainian military has apparently received the M1150 Assault Breacher Vehicle (ABV) built on the framework of the Abrams tank. @MissConductUS

⚡️ Sweden says 8 Archer artillery systems https://kyivindependent.com/sweden-says-8-archer-artillery-systems-already-in-ukraine/ already in Ukraine.

⚡️ Defense Ministry to shorten process of domestic weapons https://kyivindependent.com/defense-ministry-to-shorten-process-of-domestic-weapons-reaching-the-front/ reaching the front.

⚡️ SBU charges Russian Orthodox Church's head Moscow Patriarch Kirill https://kyivindependent.com/sbu-charges-russian-orthodox-churchs-head-with-promoting-kremlins-aggression/ over promoting Kremlin's aggression.

⚡️Media: Russian courts in Crimea have issued https://kyivindependent.com/media-russian-courts-in-crimea-issue-472-rulings-on-discrediting-russian-army-since-start-of-full-scale-invasion/ 472 verdicts for 'discrediting' Russian army since start of full-scale invasion.

⚡️National Bank: Fewer Ukrainians returning https://kyivindependent.com/national-bank-fewer-ukrainians-returning-than-estimated/ than previously estimated.

⚡️Zelensky approves https://kyivindependent.com/zelensky-signs-national-minorities-law/ EU-recommended amendments to law on national minorities.

⚡️ Military intelligence: Car belonging to CEO of Russian weapons manufacturer GosNIImas https://kyivindependent.com/military-intelligence-car-belonging-to-ceo-of-russian-weapons-manufacturer-torched-in-russia/ torched in Russia.

⚡️NGO: Russian activist kidnapped https://kyivindependent.com/human-rights-project-russian-runaway-opposition-activist-detained-tortured-in-moscow/ in Kyrgyzstan, brought to Moscow, and tortured.

⚡️Russian court sentences (https://kyivindependent.com/russia-sentences-activist-to-8-5-years-in-prison-in-absentia-for-spreading-fake-news-about-war/) ex-Pussy Riot spokesman to 8.5 years in jail in absentia.

⚡️ Mediazona confirms identities of almost 36,000 Russian soldiers https://kyivindependent.com/mediazona-confirms-identities-of-almost-36-000-russian-soldiers-killed-in-ukraine/ killed in Ukraine.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
MissConductUS · 04/11/2023 14:08

Ukraine receives US-made assault breacher https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-receives-us-made-assault-breacher/* The Ukrainian military has apparently received the M1150 Assault Breacher Vehicle (ABV) built on the framework of the Abrams tank. @MissConductUS*

I'm quite sure that there is a lot of American kit in Ukraine that hasn't been publically announced. The M1150 is very good at its mission and provides excellent protection for the crew.

Ukraine receives US-made assault breacher

The Ukrainian military has apparently received the M1150 Assault Breacher Vehicle (ABV) built on the framework of the Abrams tank.

https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-receives-us-made-assault-breacher

DancesWithDucks · 04/11/2023 14:11

UNITED24 Media Telegram

❗️The USA is providing $125 million in aid to Ukraine and has placed an additional order for $300 million.
The $125 million package comprises additional NASAMS and HIMARS ammunition, 155-mm and 105-mm artillery shells, TOW anti-tank missiles, Javelin and AT-4 anti-tank systems.
Separately, the Pentagon is placing a $300 million order for laser-guided combat drones for Ukraine. These drones will be delivered through the USAI program, which involves purchasing weapons directly from manufacturers rather than transferring them from US Army warehouses.

While visiting Germany, Kuleba held a meeting with the General Director of the Rheinmetall defense concern.

Zelenskyy held a telephone conversation with President of the European Council Charles Michel on Thursday, November 2. As reported by the Ukrainian leader, the main topics of their negotiations were the upcoming meeting of the European Council in December and Ukraine's progress in implementing the seven recommendations for EU membership.

"Russia is the last country to teach us," said Israel's permanent representative to the UN, Gilad Erdan.
Israel responded strongly to Russia, which condemned the country's right to self-defense. He clarified that Moscow is using the Hamas attack on Israel "in the most cynical way" to divert the world's attention from the invasion of Ukraine.

Railways have played a significant role in society for many decades, but Ukrzaliznytsia has left a remarkable impression on everyone. The dedicated employees of Ukrainian Railways have accomplished what might have seemed almost impossible since the beginning of the full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine. They have saved, assisted, and inspired not only Ukraine but the entire world.

DancesWithDucks · 04/11/2023 14:15

trains

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
DancesWithDucks · 04/11/2023 14:19

Live Ukraine Telegram Highlights

Zaluzhny's article appears to have been aimed at influencing US debate on Ukraine - Politico
Recent statements by the commander-in-chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine have inflamed "partisan passions" in the US Congress, the publication writes. https://www.politico.com/news/2023/11/02/top-ukrainian-generals-gloomy-view-of-russia-war-fuels-military-aid-debate-00125052?fbclid=IwAR39K6HL_g0F5D0AQhGXzYseSt743eDXEkEC_pj5w8f-snsFaKuc_DoRj7A
Politico writes that Kyiv "is increasingly looking to go beyond expected aid and is seeking to partner with the U.S. and European defense industries to enter into co-production agreements to build its own weapons."

US, EU officials discuss possibility of talks with Russia with Ukraine - NBC
NBC News, citing unnamed U.S. officials, reports https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/us-european-officials-broach-topic-peace-negotiations-ukraine-sources-rcna123628 that these discussions have focused on what Ukraine might have to give up to reach an agreement.
The officials also said that Ukraine would likely have until the end of the year or so before more urgent discussions about peace talks begin.

Russians are preparing a new massive assault on Avdiivka - ISW
A Russian "war correspondent" noted that Russian troops near Avdiivka are conducting a tactical regrouping and also named the Avdiivka Coke Plant as a target for potential future Russian offensives.

🇪🇺 Zelensky signs law on national minorities, one of seven requirements of the European Commission for Ukraine's further progress towards EU membership

Last night, the Russians hit the building of the Kharkiv College of Transport Technologies with a kamikaze drone.
The damage was so severe that the damaged building had to be demolished to reduce the risk to local residents.
The college itself was built in 1915.

Ukrainian drones destroy Russian RB-341V Leer 3 complex, produced in 2022, at an estimated cost of $10 million. As well as the R-419 radio relay station. It was produced in 2018 and has an estimated cost of $10 million.

Top Ukrainian general’s gloomy view of Russia war fuels military aid debate

Ukraine’s Gen. Valery Zaluzhnyy wants more weapons from the West to break through a “stalemate.”

https://www.politico.com/news/2023/11/02/top-ukrainian-generals-gloomy-view-of-russia-war-fuels-military-aid-debate-00125052?fbclid=IwAR39K6HL_g0F5D0AQhGXzYseSt743eDXEkEC_pj5w8f-snsFaKuc_DoRj7A%29

blueshoes · 05/11/2023 00:19

DancesWithDucks · 04/11/2023 14:15

trains

How apt, the Highway of Life and the incredible men and women who risk their lives and everything to keep the railways running.

I remember an article early on in the invasion which praised the Ukraine railways for doing its utmost to ensure the trains are able to evacuate the thousands. Here it is 20 months on, still keeping people on the move. Makes me somewhat emotional.

blueshoes · 05/11/2023 12:30

Reports that Ukraine hits Russian shipyard in the Crimea port, damages ship thought to be the newly-built Askold missile ship.

Ukraine rained 15 cruise missiles on Russia's shipyard in the B.E. Butoma (Zaliv) shipyard in the Crimean port city of Kerch on Saturday. Russia confirmed 13 missiles shot down but the rest apparently hit the target.

Still waiting for more info. Daring move by Ukraine. Their intelligence must be very good.