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Lottery odds questions - settle a debate

17 replies

SnapBang · 01/09/2023 20:41

Right we’re having a debate about the lottery, anyone statistically gifted who would care to shed any light for us?

Person A believes that whatever numbers you play the lottery with, you’ve the exact same chance of winning / losing.
Person B believes that you’re statistically less likely to win the lottery with your own birthday dates etc than you would be with other numbers unconnected to you, since the chances of you both winning the lottery AND those numbers being your birthday dates is rarer.

OP posts:
UlezSchmulez · 01/09/2023 20:44

A is right

ItsReallyOnlyMe · 01/09/2023 20:45

Definitely A

DoggoMcDogface · 01/09/2023 20:46

A is correct.

SnapBang · 01/09/2023 20:52

Thank you!!

OP posts:
YouHoooo · 01/09/2023 20:53

B is innumerate.

Cowlover89 · 01/09/2023 20:53

A

Canyousewcushions · 01/09/2023 21:04

A is correct.

Though I think because a lot of people choose dates, months only go up to 12 and days to 31, statistically you may be more likely to share the jackpot. Same would probably apply to most non-random combinations though.

Hawkins0009 · 01/09/2023 21:06

Person B is correct because the combination of your birthday would restrict the odds of that combination happening.

DoggoMcDogface · 01/09/2023 21:07

Person B is correct because the combination of your birthday would restrict the odds of that combination happening.

Talking nonsense as usual Hawkins

YouAndMeAndThem · 01/09/2023 21:13

Does using the same numbers every single week increase chances do we think?

LondonQueen · 01/09/2023 21:18

B is correct as it limits you to numbers up to 31, which reduces your odds of winning.

Hawkins0009 · 01/09/2023 21:33

DoggoMcDogface · 01/09/2023 21:07

Person B is correct because the combination of your birthday would restrict the odds of that combination happening.

Talking nonsense as usual Hawkins

Yes I do talk pickles most of the time,

That said how am I incorrect ?

Hawkins0009 · 01/09/2023 21:34

@DoggoMcDogface plus I never claim to be smart or intelligent, besides it helps me learn and in theory to become more knowledgeable by asking what sometimes is daft questions etc.

MotherOfGodWeeFella · 01/09/2023 21:41

Canyousewcushions · 01/09/2023 21:04

A is correct.

Though I think because a lot of people choose dates, months only go up to 12 and days to 31, statistically you may be more likely to share the jackpot. Same would probably apply to most non-random combinations though.

Yes - birth dates are commonly chosen so you've more chance of having to share if you win if your numbers are dates.

AromanticSpices · 01/09/2023 21:43

A is correct.
B is confused.

If you said "what are the chances of both the next person I meet having time and date of birth of 02 03 30 08 12 45 and those being the next lottery numbers", then yes, the chances would be lower. But that's not what they are saying.

AromanticSpices · 01/09/2023 21:46

All numbers are equally likely to come up. The numbers anyone personally chooses for their ticket has no bearing on this.

JustKeepSlimming · 01/09/2023 21:47

LondonQueen · 01/09/2023 21:18

B is correct as it limits you to numbers up to 31, which reduces your odds of winning.

It doesn't reduce your odds of winning. All combinations have exactly the same chance of winning.

The difference, as others have said, is that lots of people choose their numbers based on birthdays, so you're more likely to have the same numbers as someone else if you do that (and therefore more likely to have to split the prize).

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