A levels. Hope someone is doing the forthcoming uni stats...

[Miljea]

I imagine the answer is 'yes' but I think it's critically important that the country gets to see the long term outcome of this A level fiasco, measured in drop out rates and final degree classifications.

I imagine there'll be students who had to accept courses lower than their ability who will be frustrated at being among students of that ability; there'll be students who accepted any course at any uni they could get into; there'll be the odd 'average' student who was over-awarded (either by the algorithm or unscrupulous CAGs) on courses they can't keep up with. Some courses will be rammed.

Scottish and Welsh students on CAG will have taken quite a few places already.

Oh, and it will be particularly hard to get into uni for this Sept's Y13s as so many places will be last year's deferrals. They're probably the biggest silent losers.

OTOH, if students do 'as expected' it may demonstrate that most teachers can accurately assess their students.

It will be interesting...

If they do ok, it might make us wonder why we do the exams at all!

It has certainly shown that we really would be wise to switch to applying after results day.

‘Unscrupulous CAGs’ is media rubbish. I don’t know how you’d go about doing it, realistically! Given that students in a cohort had to all be rank ordered, that means cross-checking within departments. You would have to over-predict an entire cohort- which would have been blindingly obvious and would just make you look like an idiot. I think it’s people talking about a situation that wouldn’t logistically work.

One or two students in each school might have been over-predicted- but honestly, those grades would have had to be at least feasible. You’re not going to have been able to CAG a student with a C when really they’d have got an E. I think it is a better situation now- though appreciate the universities and private candidates are in a mess.

curioushorses I only came across the concept of unscrupulous CAGS here, on MN, as I read of posters whose DPs had predicted 100% within 'The Rules', apparently, but felt neighbouring colleges had gone 'straight A' with most of their students, regardless.