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Would you worry about a 1 in 100 risk of something?

5 replies

surferjet · 12/03/2019 10:44

I’ve put this in general chat but it’s a health related thing. But as a general statistic I’m just curious.

After putting in all my personal details, age, non smoker etc, my well woman nurse put everything into the computer and I’ve come out as 1 in a 100 risk of having a heart attack.
Not sure if that’s good or bad?

OP posts:
ems137 · 12/03/2019 10:51

Well I used to worry about the 1/100 chance of miscarriage after seeing a heartbeat at 9 weeks. Unfortunately, it happened to me so yes, I'd worry even though the chances are very much stacked in your favour.

LetsSplashMummy · 12/03/2019 10:56

No, I wouldn't - that is a very low risk. No health based algorithm is going to say 0% - we just don't understand every single risk factor, so there is residual variance.

I wouldn't get on a plane that had a 1% risk of crashing, however, as that is different. That would be a huge number of planes crashing every day and your cumulative risk would increase for each journey you took.

The heart attack is your total risk. If it worries you, by all means make lifestyle changes but don't stress about it.

BarbaraofSevillle · 12/03/2019 11:02

No. You have 100% chance of dying of something. The general population has about a 30% chance of developing cancer, and probably 20-25% chance of cancer being the cause of death, so 1% chance of a heart attack seems tiny in comparison.

I'd just do the most I could to be as healthy as possible, but you've got to accept that some sort of illness or condition is likely to get you in the end.

surferjet · 12/03/2019 11:10

Thank you.

I’ll settle for a 1% risk as you’re right, nothing is ever 100% - in medicine anyway.

And ems137 - so sorry about your miscarriage.

OP posts:
JumpOrBePushed · 12/03/2019 11:29

I wouldn’t worry. It’s a very small risk.

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