Thanks for laying this out — it’s a really thoughtful and honest overview, and we know how tricky this juggle can be, especially with having family abroad.
To pick out a few key points:
You’re right that if your little one turns 1 in February and you're not working yet, you'd likely apply by 31 March for the April term — assuming you meet the income thresholds by then. It's worth discussing your trip with your nursery and checking their policy on prolonged absence.
If you’re likely to need care only 2–3 days a week for around 34–40 weeks, a term-time nursery place could make sense, though these can be hard to find and may have less flexibility for working hours (especially late pick-ups). A childminder could definitely be a more flexible option — some are term-time only and may be more open to working around holidays or irregular schedules. That said, many do charge a retainer to hold a place if you’re taking extended time off, so it’s something to ask about.
Overall, it may come down to the provider’s flexibility and what kind of care environment suits your family best. You’re clearly planning carefully — and that will pay off.
Hope this has been helpful @FluffyCl0ud!