If you can predict by recognizing enough about the word,
What would you recognise about the word? How much of the word do you have to recognise before you can 'predict' it? What do you do when there's no-one sitting beside you to tell you if you are right or wrong?
TBH all this 'predicting' seems like a bl**dy waste of effort when all you have to do is sound out and blend the word. If the phonics is secure you can do that without much, if any, conscious effort.
I have to think very carefully about the phonics in it as I don't know them myself.
Frankly, before I started working with phonics I don't think I could have helped a child sound out a word either. I wouldn't have had any problem with working out unfamiliar words that I came across in my own reading, I just couldn't have made explicit what I did to work them out.
In fact, it never occurred to me to try phonics with a child! I would just tell them the word they were stuck on and then wonder why the hell they hadn't remembered it when they encountered it on the next page! And the 'dyslexia' programme I was trained on was so complex and had so many baffling 'rules' that I couldn't work it out, let alone the poor confused kids I was let loose on!
When you have been frustrated by a few years of 'supporting' struggling readers without any real understanding of how reading actually 'works', and without seeing much improvement in the children, it is an absolute revelation to find how simple and how successful a phonics approach is.
I know this sounds a bit cheesy and evangelistic, but when you see children who have been virtually written off by their primary school actually just reading stuff and taking it completely for granted that they can read it does bring a little tiny glow of pride to the..... wherever pride is manifested