MoustacheofRonSwanson …. Your generally speaking understanding of ‘supply and demand’ is correct - with the proviso that the CURRENT supply vs demand equation is somewhere near balance, and that the majority of those renting have the cash deposit/mortgage loan to buy a home on any price dip – which is 100% incorrect.
The problem of an adequate ‘supply’ started around 20-years ago, and as The Barker Report commissioned by Labour in 2003 (and reported in 2004) pointed out, 175,000 new homes a year in 2001 was not enough with organic population growth, recommending we needed over 200,000 new homes built a year, back then.
From 2004 to 2010, the UK’s net EU and Non EU citizen immigration figure (needing homes) was between 2 million and 3 million depending on who you listen to, Labour or UKIP lol – while Labour averaged around 115,000 new homes a year, clearly far fewer than those needed in 2001 – so the average home price rose from £73k in 1997 to *£232k in early 2008, exasperating the affordability issue of ‘demand’.
So with those totally inadequate new build figures, and a financial/economic crash biting from 2008 - restricting substantially both mortgage lending and building confidence/activities, resulting on skilled building labour leaving the trade – the EXISTING total UK housing stock is, I reiterate, totally inadequate, for new social engineering experiments.
Therefore with a near 20-year housing under build, the UK population still benefiting from 200,000 annual net economic migration, our ‘organic’ population accruing faster than 2001 due to previous economic migrants – why on Dave’s Green Earth do you think that with all that PEND UP demand, homes prices will stabilise, never mind fall, if private landlords sell?
Especially as those tenants being asked to find new accommodation, still need to find another rental home in an overly tight ‘supply’ home market place, with a decreasing rental home supply.
So build, build, build, and BUILD, is the only short to long term solution to our housing problem – so where are the ‘concrete’ plans to do so, as if government in not going to fund this mass building project, who will, if not an investment confident private sector?
The notion that a Labour government, known for log jamming red tape and an inability to build homes in a money no object boom;
Can FORCE the builders to invest in more land and build beyond their current land banks.
Can FORCE banks to lend to builders and buyers when already buckling under regulation, taxes and proposed ‘splitting’ reforms and can FORCE empty properties to come onto the market when Prescott tried and failed – is at best a short term sticky plaster and at worse, gesture politics.