I think that most people do need to take the loan. Most parents can’t afford to fully fund their kids through uni.
For those who could fund EITHER uni or a house deposit, it might well be better to fund a house deposit and take the loan.
For those uncertain it could be best to take the loan, with a view to paying it off quickly before too much interest accumulates, IF the child gets a high/medium oaying job (actually the latter is where the most interest will be paid over the course of the career)
Those who can afford to pay the student costs AND a house deposit are probably wise to pay for both and avoid the loan. The substantial interest can be avoided. But if course few are in this position to pay both.
Some of the decision making for the well-off isn’t just about weighing the chances of not paying off the full loan vs paying the fees as parents….its about peace of mind for themselves and their kids moving forward, that this isn’t hanging over them and a burden avoided. Many are prepared to pay the fees and maintenance for this, even if they think their kid might not be a big earner in the end. Of course this is a luxury to be able to think like this. I do see it as a bit akin to parents being willing to pay private school fees without knowing if their child will get a better outcome as a result….its is about the journey as much as the outcome. And again, it’s a luxury to be in the position to think like that, rather than purely in terms of hard cold numbers and inputs and outcomes.
One thing I think is an error is to decide that if you’re going to take any loan, you might as well take all of it. Whilst it’s true that any loan will result in the same monthly payments by the student once at work, this is too short term a view. A smaller loan, whilst needing the same monthly repayments will be paid off earlier and accrue less interest to be paid off over each month, and overall over time. These are not to be sniffed at. So lots of parents could choose to take the maintenance or fee loan but not the other. It doesn’t have to be all or nothing. Or they could fund the first year and take loans for years 2 and/or3 which reduces the time interest is accumulating, as well as total amount. There are lots of nuanced options.
Most people will take the loans. It’s that or don’t go to uni. Yes, some probably shouldn’t go, but they shouldn’t go because what they will do won’t add value to their careers, rather than not go because of the loan. For those who want to do something that can add value to their career and access a good uni, the loan shouldn’t be an off-putting factor or make them choose to live at home if elsewhere would be better for their career. But it’s easy to say this and not so easy to feel this an 18 year old or a family who have not got uni experience, and it’s difficult to know what careers kids will go into in future. So the difficulty is making choices without full information, and that information just isn’t available about the future. Understandably, the better off feel more able to ‘take the risk’ of the loan and have more confidence that they and their kids will weather whatever follows. Unless the government is willing to pay, loans are the only way for most and are unavoidable.