Is it really likely the schools will close?
Yes it is likely. I think many LEAs do now think it is inevitable, but not sure when. I spoke with a team leader from our LEA yesterday and they are working towards what plans can happen, but as of yesterday round here not much had been done so far.
As a school we are making preparations for if it happens. I am sure other schools are starting too, though slowly. Finding the time and resources to ensure systems are in place, and staff are trained to use them - and pupils too - takes time and money, even if its just paying for supply to cover lessons so teachers can learn how to use them for half an hour or so.
At my school we've done the initial fact finding and prep stuff, some systems are set up or being set up now, and training for teachers is starting this week. Pupils are being shown how to use the systems (sold to them as how they could do homework at home in their computers/tablets/grown-up's phone, etc in the coming term or two, rather than if school closes.) Hopefully we will be training LSAs on the systems next week, and we need to consider what we can do to support parents. We want everything in place as much as possible but the end of next week - that's a week before our holidays begin.
Secondaries often already have learning platforms they use for homework. I guess they will increase that use. Many primaries dont have these set up, so are having to find new ways - and that does mean training staff too.
School closures are not ideal and do have their own issues. However, they are known to help with the phase 2 contingency plans - to delay, to plateau the peak, to reduce the pressure on the health services, amongst some of the reasons. The thinking from many people is that Italy, for example, acted too slowly. The children who have free school meals and/or low income would struggle potentially due to no free hot meal each day. We know this happens at weekends and in other holidays. Our LEA is looking into that to see if and what could be done to support them.
I think they will close them a week early for Easter
Easter holidays are at different times across the country. Some schools break up on the 27th, some on the 3rd, some the 9th and some the 14th. There may be other finish dates.