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AIBU?

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To think the Lucy Letby case needs a judicial review?

1000 replies

Edenspirits73 · 09/07/2024 16:19

2 more detailed articles in main stream papers today questioning the Lucy Letby verdict - mirroring the well known New York Times article that wasn’t allowed here during her trial- surely with this much questioning, there should at least be a judicial review?

aibu?

If she is guilty after review then fair enough, but yet again convictions are being viewed as unsafe.

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/jul/09/lucy-letby-evidence-experts-question

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/09/lucy-letby-serial-killer-or-miscarriage-justice-victim/

Lucy Letby: killer or coincidence? Why some experts question the evidence

Exclusive: Doubts raised over safety of convictions of nurse found guilty of murdering babies

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/jul/09/lucy-letby-evidence-experts-question

OP posts:
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Mirabai · 25/07/2024 00:09

kkloo · 24/07/2024 22:54

Do you know who writes it? I couldn't find his name.

I thought someone called him Scott in the comments but I can't find his full name. I don't think he's hiding his identity though, I just can't find it 😅and he did say that he was filmed for the channel 5 documentary.

Scott McLachan.

Here he is talking to Norman Fenton about the case:

kkloo · 25/07/2024 00:11

Richelieu · 25/07/2024 00:08

I think he’s Dr Scott McLachlan - Lecturer in Digital Technologies for Health at King's College, London.

Oh yes it is, thanks for that 😊

Mirabai · 25/07/2024 00:12

Xpost.

Mirabai · 25/07/2024 00:43

I’d forgotten that bit. Does anyone have access to the ONS data he refers to? I have the FOI data which gives 2 neonate deaths for 2018.

Yazzi · 25/07/2024 01:03

Neodymium · 20/07/2024 22:57

I just can’t see how they think the evidence is beyond reasonable doubt.

I guess this can be the problem with the justice system. Really, I think it’s worse for someone innocent to be locked up than someone guilty to go free.

Dr Evans said that none of the other babies he reviewed had suspicious deaths and that is why they weren’t included. Considering they all had autopsies, none of the babies deaths were suspicious at that point. So what was his criteria for deciding a suspicious death? It’s all very vague and subjective.

This is exactly why the legal system uses "reasonable doubt" as the standard, because it agrees that it is better for someone guilty to go free than someone innocent to be locked up.

When you look at sexual assault cases, it causes problems in the other direction; very hard to establish guilt "beyond reasonable doubt" when it's just two people's differing recollections.

The civil standard of proof is "balance of probabilities" aka 50/50. Beyond reasonable doubt is significantly higher than this. And a jury felt like it was established. Two juries.

You can disagree with their verdict of course, but the fact remains that clearly your and my peers in society felt the evidence against her was extremely compelling.

kkloo · 25/07/2024 02:12

Mirabai · 25/07/2024 00:43

I’d forgotten that bit. Does anyone have access to the ONS data he refers to? I have the FOI data which gives 2 neonate deaths for 2018.

I can't find it. Someone in the comments said he used the figures for the whole area and they were related to where the parents lived and not the hospitals themselves but I can't find the data.

I wonder were the COCH guilty of this?

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/10/16/nhs-logging-baby-deaths-stillbirths-avoid-scrutiny/

I

NHS logging baby deaths as stillbirths ‘to avoid scrutiny’

Families call into question trusts’ transparency after hospital accounts clash with their experience

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/10/16/nhs-logging-baby-deaths-stillbirths-avoid-scrutiny

Neodymium · 25/07/2024 05:36

Yazzi · 25/07/2024 01:03

This is exactly why the legal system uses "reasonable doubt" as the standard, because it agrees that it is better for someone guilty to go free than someone innocent to be locked up.

When you look at sexual assault cases, it causes problems in the other direction; very hard to establish guilt "beyond reasonable doubt" when it's just two people's differing recollections.

The civil standard of proof is "balance of probabilities" aka 50/50. Beyond reasonable doubt is significantly higher than this. And a jury felt like it was established. Two juries.

You can disagree with their verdict of course, but the fact remains that clearly your and my peers in society felt the evidence against her was extremely compelling.

I don’t think that the second verdict is proof of anything, considering that the first verdict was evidence.

juries have got things wrong before. Non scientific people are notoriously bad at understanding science. And that’s what this was. Just look at the Elizabeth Holmes debacle. The scientists all knew she was full of it, but she convinced so many people.

Mirabai · 25/07/2024 05:40

Neodymium · 25/07/2024 05:36

I don’t think that the second verdict is proof of anything, considering that the first verdict was evidence.

juries have got things wrong before. Non scientific people are notoriously bad at understanding science. And that’s what this was. Just look at the Elizabeth Holmes debacle. The scientists all knew she was full of it, but she convinced so many people.

What does that say about scientific education in our country though?

It’s wasn’t just the jury that couldn’t engage with the science but the media too.

Mirabai · 25/07/2024 05:44

kkloo · 25/07/2024 02:12

I can't find it. Someone in the comments said he used the figures for the whole area and they were related to where the parents lived and not the hospitals themselves but I can't find the data.

I wonder were the COCH guilty of this?

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/10/16/nhs-logging-baby-deaths-stillbirths-avoid-scrutiny/

I

Here’s the MBRRACE report for 2018 - haven’t had a chance to look through it.

mbrrace-uk/reports/perinatal-surveillance-report-2018/MBRRACE-UKPerinatalSurveillanceReport2018-TablesandFigures_v3.pdf

Yazzi · 25/07/2024 05:47

Neodymium · 25/07/2024 05:36

I don’t think that the second verdict is proof of anything, considering that the first verdict was evidence.

juries have got things wrong before. Non scientific people are notoriously bad at understanding science. And that’s what this was. Just look at the Elizabeth Holmes debacle. The scientists all knew she was full of it, but she convinced so many people.

Yes of course juries have gotten it wrong. But it is reasonable to give equal weight to the consideration that they may have gotten it right, as to the consideration they have gotten it wrong. Otherwise you're just choosing an outcome that suits your perspective.

diktat · 25/07/2024 05:49

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Mirabai · 25/07/2024 05:49

What’s reasonable is to look at the evidence.

Mirabai · 25/07/2024 05:54

This reply has been deleted

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It’s of no meaning she couldn’t have a fair trial by that point and she’s been convicted on nothing.

Anyway it looks as if Jayaram has stuffed it up with the key card switch.

Neodymium · 25/07/2024 05:55

This reply has been deleted

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But the second jury was presented the previous conviction as evidence. I don’t see how that can be seen as an unbiased conviction.

Im in Australia and I’ve not heard of allowing previous convictions to be presented to the jury like that. It’s seen as prejudicial and leads to unsafe convictions.

one of our most famous murder convictions of a boy called Daniel Morcombe, he was abducted and killed by a paedophile who has previously raped and abducted other children and served jail time for it. However this was not revealed to the jury at the time, until after his conviction. You want a jury to convict on the evidence not be influenced by previous convictions.

diktat · 25/07/2024 06:00

This reply has been deleted

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Neodymium · 25/07/2024 06:04

@diktat it was presented as evidence to the jury. They were allowed to consider it in their decision.

which kind of makes the second trial a sham

Yazzi · 25/07/2024 06:12

Neodymium · 25/07/2024 06:04

@diktat it was presented as evidence to the jury. They were allowed to consider it in their decision.

which kind of makes the second trial a sham

It was considered "evidence" because it had gone through the legal process and a conviction made. So it is now considered fact; whether you agree or not. That doesn't make it a sham in the slightest, even though it is certainly a huge blow to her if innocent.

CormorantStrikesBack · 25/07/2024 06:29

Mirabai · 25/07/2024 05:54

It’s of no meaning she couldn’t have a fair trial by that point and she’s been convicted on nothing.

Anyway it looks as if Jayaram has stuffed it up with the key card switch.

What key card switch?

Golaz · 25/07/2024 08:21

Yazzi · 25/07/2024 01:03

This is exactly why the legal system uses "reasonable doubt" as the standard, because it agrees that it is better for someone guilty to go free than someone innocent to be locked up.

When you look at sexual assault cases, it causes problems in the other direction; very hard to establish guilt "beyond reasonable doubt" when it's just two people's differing recollections.

The civil standard of proof is "balance of probabilities" aka 50/50. Beyond reasonable doubt is significantly higher than this. And a jury felt like it was established. Two juries.

You can disagree with their verdict of course, but the fact remains that clearly your and my peers in society felt the evidence against her was extremely compelling.

It’s not surprising the jury came to the conclusion they did because they were presented with an entirely biased set of interpretations of the evidence from medical witnesses. The defence failed to call anyone to challenge this except a plumber. In cases involving such technical medical evidence , what is a lay jury to do? If the only experts stand up and say “this is the only way to look at the medical evidence”, and there’s no other expert to challenge that, they can only take it as fact. This was basically a trial whose outcome was decided by Dewi Evan’s in my view.

Richelieu · 25/07/2024 08:53

CormorantStrikesBack · 25/07/2024 06:29

What key card switch?

I’ve just been looking this up. As I understand it, the police mixed up the swipe-card logs by confusing exit- and entry-times to the unit. Entry was by swipe-card (to restrict access, for obvious reasons) while exit was just pushing a button to release the doors, no card needed.

The police mislabelled the two events so in the first trial, when evidence was presented in court that someone had entered, they had in reality left the ward, and vice versa. This was discovered and counsel were aware of it and had to keep reminding the jury to mentally reverse it. It ended up a total, confusing mess.

It also seems to have had a significant impact on the contention that LL was alone on the ward at various times because the error meant there were other staff there; the police were reading the logs wrongly.

MistressoftheDarkSide · 25/07/2024 09:14

This sort of evidence is absolutely crucial in my opinion, as it speaks to opportunity and whether the mechanisms of injury (which are contestable imho) could be accomplished completely unobserved especially as during some of the events there were a number of other people present both staff and parents. Not to say it elevates suspicion of them of course, it simply throws into question the likelihood of Lucy Letby being physically able to do what she was allegedly doing in the time frames given.

It's things like this that are dangerously ambiguous and invite too high a level of speculation from a jury.

It's why a number of experts question the "air via NG tube" mechanism. We have seen that induction of air has been used legitimately to clear tubes without clear caveats regarding risk. Therefore it is argued that the volume of air allegedly introduced was harmful. So you ask how much air would be harmful and the answer us "We don't know because you can't ethically inflate babies to find out". So the next question would be has it ever happened accidentally? Were lessons learned from that? How long did it take for the effects to be recognised as harmful? How harmful was it? Is there now literature in nurse training to ram it home that air getting into an NG tube is potentially harmful?

And the question of opportunity and time frame depends on accurate reporting of who was present and when, and how that is established.

lawnseed · 25/07/2024 09:55

What key card switch? Did this information emerge during the trial?

These damn doctors have a lot to answer for. They've cooked up this so called 'evidence' and presented it as fact. Doctors are not experts. Some doctors are experts, but most doctors are absolutely not. Quite a few of them aren't actually that bright if truth were told. Passing exams does not represent intelligence in its entirety. The whole thing is an absolute disaster.

lawnseed · 25/07/2024 10:00

Richelieu · 25/07/2024 08:53

I’ve just been looking this up. As I understand it, the police mixed up the swipe-card logs by confusing exit- and entry-times to the unit. Entry was by swipe-card (to restrict access, for obvious reasons) while exit was just pushing a button to release the doors, no card needed.

The police mislabelled the two events so in the first trial, when evidence was presented in court that someone had entered, they had in reality left the ward, and vice versa. This was discovered and counsel were aware of it and had to keep reminding the jury to mentally reverse it. It ended up a total, confusing mess.

It also seems to have had a significant impact on the contention that LL was alone on the ward at various times because the error meant there were other staff there; the police were reading the logs wrongly.

Yeah, plod aren't exactly known for being that bright either.

I honestly think this case is beyond the fathoming of these people - doctors, judge, jury, police and they've been after a conviction and Letby was the unfortunate one doing the most shifts on the unit by the sounds of it.

Who is leading the enquiry?

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