More won’t have their needs met.
More parents will complain about DC with SEN in their DC’s class.
Suspensions and permanent exclusions for DC with SEN will increase.
Demand for s19 provision will increase.
The rate of parent carer burnout will increase.
Longer term costs to the state as a whole will increase because meeting needs in the shorter term saves money longer term and it is short-sighted not to provide that support.
If you remove the right to appeal to SENDIST from some parents, then the number of JRs is likely to increase. For most, JR isn’t possible at the moment for things that can be appealed to SENDIST, but if you remove that remedy, you open the door to more JRs.
There is a difference between may have SEN and may need SEP to be made via an EHCP and an EHCP being necessary.
families who can't afford inde reports
There are charities who can help fund assessments. For those eligible for legal aid, that can fund assessment where necessary.
LAs acting unlawfully isn’t the fault of parents who enforce what their DC are legally entitled to or their children. All parents should be supported to enforce their rights rather than removing legal protections from children with SEN.
Society would be aghast at how much LAs waste on representation to defend indefensible cases they know they are going to do. Mostly against unrepresented parents.
LAs don’t actually go bankrupt. That is just the media portrayal. A section 114 notice isn’t quite the same as bankruptcy.
There hasn’t been such a huge increase in SEN in recent years as some people like to claim. For example, the latest SEN statistics from Jan 2025 show 19.5% of pupils have SEN. In 2010, so before EHCPs, it was 20.9% or 21.1% (depending on which statistics you look at - I think it is a rounding issue). In 2005 it was 18%.