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Schools facing catastrophic winter

327 replies

noblegiraffe · 31/08/2022 10:18

Schools are starting their Autumn term facing an unprecedented funding crisis. Headteachers are becoming increasingly frantic in their disbelief that the government has done fuck all about it, and appears to be planning to continue to do fuck all about it.

There are few issues contributing -

The energy crisis - school energy bills are not capped, unlike household ones. To give an idea of the scale of the issue, Ormiston Academies Trust which sponsors 43 schools will see its energy bills rise from £5.1 million to £14.3 million. Grant Shapps, transport minister, says that schools could consider switching to LED lightbulbs.

Teacher and support staff payrises - the government have recommended payrises for teachers and support staff, but crucially will not be giving schools extra money to fund them. If schools give staff the recommended pay rise, they will have to cut services to fund this (even before you consider the energy bills)

The cost of living crisis - schools are facing increased prices just as households are. Food for the canteen, stationery orders, everything is more expensive. Sam Freedman tweets "Very rough calculation is that energy bills plus teacher pay increase plus higher food costs are going to add around £5bn to school budgets nationally. Just under 10% of the total budget. And none of it was built into the funding model."

On top of that, covid still needs to be considered. Last Jan/Feb schools were in chaos due to staff absences (the government widely trumpeted their call for an army of volunteers to step in, which didn't appear). At the end of the summer term, all the education unions wrote to James Cleverly, temp Ed Sec asking for a covid plan that included increased funding to schools for supply teachers to cover staff absence. Given that we haven't actually got a functioning government at the moment, I'm pretty sure he hasn't replied. Signs are that we're facing a bad flu season too, vaccinating school staff should be a consideration. Some schools already pay for the flu jab for staff, most won't be eligible for a covid booster, no idea what the impact of that will be. Obviously there will be pressure to close windows to keep any heat in, which goes against covid guidance for ventilation.

Some academy trusts appear to have large reserves which will help them weather the storm, most very much don't. twitter.com/ajjolley/status/1564562763443277825?s=21&t=nmM2Q_vFCmo5GzILNNKhfg

School leaders are reporting that they will have to make support staff and/or teachers redundant or pause recruitment, restrict heating, cancel school trips and extra curricular activities. This will inevitably have an impact on children, and on the quality of education on offer.

I'm not sure what either Truss or Sunak have said about the crisis facing education, all I've heard is wittering about grammar schools. An intervention is needed urgently.

www.tes.com/magazine/news/general/energy-bills-cost-of-living-crisis-schools-face-catastrophic-winter

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antelopevalley · 01/09/2022 18:22

@Iamnotthe1 This government does not give a shit. But there would be a massive outcry. Our kids have suffered enough because of covid.

itsgettingweird · 01/09/2022 19:06

Schools won't close.

I think the government will bring in laws to make it illegal.

Remember covid and threatening legal action against schools closing?

They've already shown us that they are willing to use force as opposed to actually listening.

Appuskidu · 01/09/2022 19:07

itsgettingweird · 01/09/2022 19:06

Schools won't close.

I think the government will bring in laws to make it illegal.

Remember covid and threatening legal action against schools closing?

They've already shown us that they are willing to use force as opposed to actually listening.

And quality of learning/results will be poor because nobody works or learns well when they are cold/hungry…but, the government will blame the teachers.

Interested in this thread?

Then you might like threads about this subject:

noblegiraffe · 01/09/2022 19:12

The Daily Mail has noticed that on top of not having money to pay the bills, schools are running out of teachers. It's actually a pretty decent article for the Daily Mail given that they usually hate teachers.

www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11165275/Schools-face-staffing-crisis-just-days-new-term-starts-thousands-vacancies-unfilled.html

"Shocking figures released in a survey by the Association of School and College Leaders revealed the majority of schools were having to turn to supply staff or even non-specialist teachers to plug the gaps.

Concerned parents and teachers now fear the lasting impact such shortages could have on the next generation."

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wonderstuff · 01/09/2022 19:24

Good article from TDM, odd choice of pictures though!

balalake · 01/09/2022 19:28

I agree with those who say schools won't close. They will be allowed I expect to run up deficits or some other wheeze to ensure they can stay open, even if it means very large classes or being sat for half the day in an assembly hall.

Iamnotthe1 · 01/09/2022 19:33

or even non-specialist teachers to plug the gaps.

Non-specialist teachers and cover supervisors have been plugging these gaps for years and no-one cared, no matter how many times teachers pointed it out! I know students about to go into Y11 who have never had a qualified maths teacher in secondary.

itsgettingweird · 01/09/2022 19:35

And quality of learning/results will be poor because nobody works or learns

Sad but true.

Especially if Badenoch gets Ed sec as predicted as she thinks all we need is good teachers and universal class teaching.

None of this superfluous support staff or any extra peripheral activities.

They have NO idea. Angry

Appuskidu · 01/09/2022 19:42

I am very worried about her becoming Ed Sec.

Interestingly, most of our older TAs are married to quite high-earning, traditional Tory voter husbands (this is something they often talk about in the staff room). They aren’t working as a TA because they need the money, but because they like it and have done it for years. I wonder how popular getting rid of thousands of TAs will be with those voters?!

noblegiraffe · 01/09/2022 19:44

Non-specialist teachers and cover supervisors have been plugging these gaps for years and no-one cared, no matter how many times teachers pointed it out!

Yes, I did think this. But it is good to see a popular newspaper get frothed up about it and suggesting that actually, it might not be a great thing for education.

It might also fend off some of inevitable 'if you don't like it, leave' comments that will be coming if we strike.

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itsgettingweird · 01/09/2022 19:50

Appuskidu · 01/09/2022 19:42

I am very worried about her becoming Ed Sec.

Interestingly, most of our older TAs are married to quite high-earning, traditional Tory voter husbands (this is something they often talk about in the staff room). They aren’t working as a TA because they need the money, but because they like it and have done it for years. I wonder how popular getting rid of thousands of TAs will be with those voters?!

Very true for a number of TAs in the schools I work across.

greywinds · 01/09/2022 19:57

What do we reckon the number of people with teaching degrees and some teaching experience no longer working in teaching is?

Iamnotthe1 · 01/09/2022 20:16

greywinds · 01/09/2022 19:57

What do we reckon the number of people with teaching degrees and some teaching experience no longer working in teaching is?

We can work some of it out.
Based only on new entrants in the last 5 years:
138,857 people gained QTS.
Of those, a third have left the profession: 46,286 who trained, qualified, worked in teaching and then left.

And that's only new teachers in the last 5 years. If you add all those who have left the profession after 5 years and before 2017, the number would be even more ridiculous.

TheMoth · 01/09/2022 20:38

Just wait a few years when there's a shortage of English teachers cos kids keep getting told there's no future in doing English. Our A level numbers have been dropping steadily over the last 5 or so years. So who then goes on to become tomorrow's English teachers?

noblegiraffe · 01/09/2022 20:39

Probably PE teachers. There's never any shortage of those and they have been propping up maths departments for years.

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itsgettingweird · 01/09/2022 20:39

noblegiraffe · 01/09/2022 20:39

Probably PE teachers. There's never any shortage of those and they have been propping up maths departments for years.

Every department ime.

MrsHamlet · 01/09/2022 20:39

noblegiraffe · 01/09/2022 20:39

Probably PE teachers. There's never any shortage of those and they have been propping up maths departments for years.

Please no!

TheMoth · 01/09/2022 20:41

itsgettingweird · 01/09/2022 19:35

And quality of learning/results will be poor because nobody works or learns

Sad but true.

Especially if Badenoch gets Ed sec as predicted as she thinks all we need is good teachers and universal class teaching.

None of this superfluous support staff or any extra peripheral activities.

They have NO idea. Angry

I have never taught so many kids with SEN. They survive in classes of 30, thanks to TAs but even then, it's not every lesson. What will happen to those kids,I wonder, when the TAs all go?

chatterbug22 · 01/09/2022 20:49

It’s terrifying! The government haven’t thought through the consequences of this on future generations.

FrippEnos · 01/09/2022 20:56

noblegiraffe · 01/09/2022 20:39

Probably PE teachers. There's never any shortage of those and they have been propping up maths departments for years.

And science departments.

Whyaretheynotdoinganything · 01/09/2022 21:01

If Truss hasn’t announced a cohesive and well thought out package for every part of the economy and public sector by this time next week, I WILL be taking to the streets!

Who is joining me?

Household energy bills are only part of the problem and much better protected than companies and public services. The latter will lead to economic carnage and societal breakdown. Why can’t they see that and why are they not doing anything?

I’m pinning all my hopes and our country’s future on Liz Truss.

Can’t believe I just wrote that last sentence.

itsgettingweird · 01/09/2022 21:03

Whyaretheynotdoinganything · 01/09/2022 21:01

If Truss hasn’t announced a cohesive and well thought out package for every part of the economy and public sector by this time next week, I WILL be taking to the streets!

Who is joining me?

Household energy bills are only part of the problem and much better protected than companies and public services. The latter will lead to economic carnage and societal breakdown. Why can’t they see that and why are they not doing anything?

I’m pinning all my hopes and our country’s future on Liz Truss.

Can’t believe I just wrote that last sentence.

Someone wrote on a post in the past few days that the way this government are behaving they are beginning to believe the the great reset theory.

I got what they meant.

Whyaretheynotdoinganything · 01/09/2022 21:06

In Liz we trust! And Kemi Badenoch.

God help us!

Schools facing catastrophic winter
Whyaretheynotdoinganything · 01/09/2022 21:12

I’ll be sending my kids to school in these. I am not taking up teaching as a side hustle again, while squeezing my full time job in between.

Big respect to teachers and schools, who have worked relentlessly to hold up the education these past 2.5 years while the government engaged in a big piss up and dined out on fine cheese.

Schools facing catastrophic winter
BlueRidge · 01/09/2022 21:16

@antelopevalley : "There would be an outcry as it would stop parents working."
How about the outcry coming BEFORE it gets to that - you know, now you know it's on the cards that your children will be freezing cold in school and struggling to get an meaningful work done as a result?