I thought the tide was turning a while back, but what has been revealed over the past couple of years is the sheer scale of the thing.
It looked a few weeks ago as if Stonewall was looking shaky, but now it’s looking more like a small tremor occurred, but everything up has moved on and it’s still largely intact.
The debate is now beginning in the UK, but it looks like some political parties are so dug in, that it’ll take a massive sea-change for them to shift. I find it interesting to see though, how hard some of these parties are now having to bend the rules and cheat to keep their preferred candidates in place, once the GC argument begins to be made. It’s still mostly women’s groups where that’s happening, but it’s a strong indicator that where transactivism has taken over, it’s not popular in the longer term. I think the harms become apparent quite quickly, which should be obvious because no male can really represent women as he doesn’t have the experience of what it feels like to actually be one.
I’ve also been interested to see stirrings in the US and that is new to me. Prior to Biden’s changes, there didn’t seem to be much pushback. Again, I suspect that the more these new laws and rules push more and more men, some of them predatory, into women’s spaces, and people begin to see the effects, they will receive more and more pushback. Those on this board are not generally keen on the US religious right, but there’s no doubt that religion has a much greater sway on politics over there. There could be some interesting clashes.
So I’m not holding my breath. I’m not completely convinced that we’ll ultimately be successful, even though I do believe we have right on our side. It used to be said that the biggest backlash will occur when the rising cohort of transitioned girls grow up and realise they’ve been sterilized, have had unnecessary surgery, their bones are crumbling, and actually, they’re not any happier (as they had been promised they would be). I hope we don’t have to wait that long.