There’s nothing to suggest from what he has said that he is biding his time, and everything to suggest that he is trying to keep the lid firmly closed on Schrödinger’s Cat.
Let’s face it, the only reason people are still hoping is because the other option is Boris Johnson.
Is the other option Boris Johnson?
- We have a long time until an election.
- There is no guarentee it will be Johnson he faces. Its likely but Johnson has his own internal problems and problems with the public to contend with before then.
- The world is looking very uncertain right now. Things are going to change a lot in that time. It makes sense for Starmer to hedge his bets for the time being where he can.
- Labour has an 'older man problem' not a 'women problem'. There are not a significant number of extra votes to be won from pushing too hard on women's rights at the moment. Sadly.
There is nothing from what he has said that he is biding his time. He has, however, made the point that trans rights are also not his immediate priority though by saying we need a debate. He's shoved it down the agenda list rather than allowing it to be near the top.
Personally I'll take 'keeping the lid firmly closed on Schrondinger's Cat' for the time being over a mindless TWAW for strategic reasons.
I haven't, in the last 4 years, tended to live in blind hope when it comes to politics and political promises. Indeed I've tended to firmly warn against it.
The earth is moving in terms of what is happening politically and how the culture war is developing.
I think we will see a huge clash in the US in November which may have massive ramifications world wide (especially in the context of the end of the UK's transition from the EU at the end of December) which will bring parts of the culture war to a real head.
The big issue with the culture war is how party activists are not aligned with the priorities of the wider public and this is important. Fractures only are sustainable to a point, at which they become full on confrontations.
Thats the direction of travel. Bricks being thrown.
I do think that whatever Starmer believes he is aware of the looming culture war crisis and how the current government is trying to set traps along those lines and he needs to do his best to avoid them rather than outwardly and publically endorse them. His background does serve him in this sense.
It may not work to our favour in the long term. Starmer might work against women's interests.
However I see his current position as one that means we have some breathing space and some time to organise and campaign before Labour policy is set in stone before the next election.
This isn't making the assumption that Starmer is on our side. Its making the assumption and taking positives from the fact that he's not actively trying to completely shut women down either though.
As I say: The Overton Window is shifting in the right direction.