Rumpledfaceskin
There are also more cases than people realise (they’re not publicised) of female prisoners transitioning to male and then trying to abuse women
I'm really interested in this. Because as far as I was aware, there were no transmen in prison. Is that wrong?
Currently the law says if you have a GRC you automatically get transferred to the estate of your preferred sex.
If you don't have a GRC you are assessed on a case-by-case basis.
As far as know, if you are a man who has committed a crime that would put you in the highest security possible, you would stay in the male estate. Not because that is considered sensible, but because there is no such unit in the female estate. However, that doesn't stop rapists being transferred to the female prison. (Rape obviously not being considered a crime that deserves the highest security possible).
So I imagine a transman, who had a GRC, would have to follow the same rules. Get transferred to the male estate. Which would, clearly, be wrong. And instantly underlines the ludicrousness of the situation. That everyone knows you can't change sex and women are more at risk than men.
The reason why this is only affecting a few prisoners, is because, currently, only 1% of trans people have a GRC.
You have to have lived in your preferred sex for two years and have a diagnosis of gender dysphoria.
Which makes it a pretty good gatekeeping tool. Although you don't have to have any kind of body modification or be on any sort of treatment. Or dress any differently.
And if self ID goes through, the gatekeeping will be removed.
The 12,000 odd male sex offenders could, on the basis of self ID get automatic transfer to the female estate. Since they would have to prove nothing about being 'trans'.
Also the most common paraphilia amongst prison inmates is cross dressing, I should imagine they would be lining up to practice this amongst females, as it would be arousing.
I really would challenge your assertion that the people the prison authorities are most concerned with is women identifying as men.
Because there are about 12,000 male sex offenders in prison and about 120 women.