Red has this absolutely right. This is why wider, sensible, open public debate is what is needed. This is our battle, the time to fight it is right now, with urgency.
**It's pretty much impossible for the revised GRA Miller proposed to get through the Commons without Conservatives voting for it, right?
Incorrect.
It depends on what government policy is. They could still go ahead, and use the whip. That would get rid of some opposition, though I do still think there would be some opposition.
The thing is that Labour would vote with the government on this. That means they could easily have enough votes to pass it. The SNP, Greens and LDs are all also on board.
What you have to do is convince the government that the bill would damage their vote and/or that the issue is causing more political damage to Labour.
Atm, the Conservatives are desperate to get the vote of women and young people. In order to do this, they want to look more progressive, hence the GRA at face value seems to fit.
However if they think women will turn away from Labour in any great number over the issue, they WILL drop it like a hot potato.
As much as they want to look progressive, they also need to keep their core conservative voters and they are desperate for anything which will change the huge drift in woman in all age groups bar the over 65s to Labour.
Put simply if the GRA is unpopular with enough women then its too much of a risk to go ahead and there is more benefit in not doing so from a bare numbers game.
This relies on the whole issue reaching the public accurately and people waking up to the implications about how its not about discrimination to trans people, but protecting many of them and the most vulnerable groups in society who are not loud mouthed aggressive narcs.**