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News from Migration Central re migrants/asylum seekers.

44 replies

Snowwhiteandthe77dwarfs · 15/10/2026 06:55

https://www.migrationcentral.co.uk/p/home-secretarys-new-migration-advisor?utm_campaign=email-post&r=35bqty&utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email

Now it seems this government wants to open the floodgates to more migrants when they can't deal with the migrants they've already got in the UK.

And who pays for all this?

Yup, you and me !

[TITLE EDITED BY MNHQ FROM MIGRATION OBSERVATORY TO MIGRATION CENTRAL]

Home Secretary’s new migration advisor called for “safe and legal routes” for tens of thousands of Channel migrants.

Harvey Redgrave became the Home Secretary’s Senior Advisor on migration and borders earlier this week. His previous comments on settlement, citizenship, and asylum suggest a change in direction.

https://www.migrationcentral.co.uk/p/home-secretarys-new-migration-advisor?r=35bqty

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Cardhey · 20/10/2026 02:36

British values have been eroded to the point of non-existence. It’s the most unfunny and scary joke.

Notmycircusnotmyotter · 15/10/2026 22:59

We should stop asylum full stop

BIossomtoes · 15/10/2026 17:16

Snowwhiteandthe77dwarfs · 15/10/2026 17:12

Well, they started it !

🙄

Snowwhiteandthe77dwarfs · 15/10/2026 17:12

BIossomtoes · 15/10/2026 14:31

It was all that was possible. Germany was on its knees.

Well, they started it !

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EasternStandard · 15/10/2026 14:56

Kave · 15/10/2026 14:51

By the time an arrival is onshore, immediate danger in the sea has passed, so that doesn’t apply. The obligation to process does not override asylum rules. Detention & processing with no release into the community until ILR is granted is perfectly legal. Deportation if ILR is not granted, subject to a right of appeal (while still detained). If the asylum rules are applied correctly (ie if there is no advantage to illicit arrivals & less likelihood of vanishing into the community) why would anyone give smugglers tens of thousands of pounds to avoid the ‘safe routes’? The HO processing is slow & unkind. Sorting that would help. I’ve known people wait 10 years for a decision. I realise they are still processing the Boris Wave but the problems go back a lot further than that. The HO lose passports, birth certificates etc & there have been claims that some HO staff let personal bigotry affect their decisions. It does nobody any good to let it carry on as it is.

In answer to your question on why people would pay you’d have to suggest how many will be granted asylum by safe route.

Can you meet the demand? How many from say Sudan would meet their demand, or Eritrea? Multiply by the countries you’re thinking of, can you provide a safe route to everyone who wants it and meets the criteria?

If not the option is there to pay, arrive on shore and by law expect to be processed for asylum.

GeneralPeter · 15/10/2026 14:52

Kave · 15/10/2026 13:40

So, yes. If there were safe routes, they would be far easier to police & we could say ‘only these routes, other routes will not be considered’. That would limit the numbers. There would need to be provision for those fleeing persecution. Lebanon takes far more people than its size justifies, just because it is close to the places people are fleeing. When we were in the EU, the Dublin Agreement made it easier to return people from small boats. It is arguable that we have a responsibility to help those we bombed. It is difficult but arguing that people should be shot at in the Channel, which some do, is not a sensible answer.

I absolutely am not advocating shooting people in the Channel, to be clear.

But... if shooting people in the channel reduced the overall number of channel crossing deaths (because people stopped attempting it), would it be the right thing to do?

GeneralPeter · 15/10/2026 14:51

Snowwhiteandthe77dwarfs · 15/10/2026 14:26

How and when ?

According to this it wasn't a lot The United Kingdom received very little direct financial reparation from Germany after both World Wars, relying instead on shared industrial assets, clearinghouse payments, and post-war debt settlements.
World War I Reparations Treaty of Versailles (1919): Germany was assessed a total of 132 billion gold marks in reparations, with Britain entitled to a percentage.
Clearinghouse and Cash/Kind: Through the inter-allied clearinghouse system and early payments, Britain received a portion of cash distributions (such as £22 million out of £38 million paid early on), along with seized ships and colonial assets.

Edited

It wasn't a lot, no, but it did happen (after both wars). After WWII it was mostly a share of industrial assets, plus prisoner of war labour (up to 400,000 people for three years after the war).

Kave · 15/10/2026 14:51

EasternStandard · 15/10/2026 13:55

Ok if you limit it how will you overrule international law that says any shore arrival must be processed?

By the time an arrival is onshore, immediate danger in the sea has passed, so that doesn’t apply. The obligation to process does not override asylum rules. Detention & processing with no release into the community until ILR is granted is perfectly legal. Deportation if ILR is not granted, subject to a right of appeal (while still detained). If the asylum rules are applied correctly (ie if there is no advantage to illicit arrivals & less likelihood of vanishing into the community) why would anyone give smugglers tens of thousands of pounds to avoid the ‘safe routes’? The HO processing is slow & unkind. Sorting that would help. I’ve known people wait 10 years for a decision. I realise they are still processing the Boris Wave but the problems go back a lot further than that. The HO lose passports, birth certificates etc & there have been claims that some HO staff let personal bigotry affect their decisions. It does nobody any good to let it carry on as it is.

MrsBennetsPoorNervesAreBack · 15/10/2026 14:37

Snowwhiteandthe77dwarfs · 15/10/2026 12:49

With the best will in the world we cannot relocate all the disadvantaged people in the world here.
And why is it our problem ?
The top nationalities of people crossing the English Channel in small boats to the UK include Eritrean, Afghan, Sudanese, Iranian, and Syrian nationals. None of these cultures align with ours.
So why are those Muslim countries nearby not doing their bit doing to help out their Muslim brothers and sisters?

Edited

Many neighbouring countries—including Muslim-majority countries—already host very large refugee populations. Your suggestion that they aren’t “doing their bit” is not supported by the facts.

UNHCR's figures from last year report that 65% of the world’s refugees were hosted in countries neighbouring their country of origin.

Iran and Pakistan host the majority of Afghan refugees and asylum seekers between them.

Turkey, Lebanon and Jordan each host very large numbers of Syrian refugees and asylum seekers.

Chad and Egypt host vast numbers of Sudanese refugees and asylum seekers. Egypt also takes in quite a large number of refugees and asylum seekers from Eritrea.

It is, of course, true that the UK could not host all of the refugees and asylum seekers in the world, but nobody is expecting it to. Relative to population, we actually take far fewer than many other countries.

As for "their cultures" not aligning with ours, that's a sweeping generalisation that doesn't take individual differences into account. I mean, I'm British and I don't think your values align with mine, but I'm not arguing that you have no right to be in the country because of that.

BIossomtoes · 15/10/2026 14:31

Snowwhiteandthe77dwarfs · 15/10/2026 14:26

How and when ?

According to this it wasn't a lot The United Kingdom received very little direct financial reparation from Germany after both World Wars, relying instead on shared industrial assets, clearinghouse payments, and post-war debt settlements.
World War I Reparations Treaty of Versailles (1919): Germany was assessed a total of 132 billion gold marks in reparations, with Britain entitled to a percentage.
Clearinghouse and Cash/Kind: Through the inter-allied clearinghouse system and early payments, Britain received a portion of cash distributions (such as £22 million out of £38 million paid early on), along with seized ships and colonial assets.

Edited

It was all that was possible. Germany was on its knees.

Interestingnamesuggestion · 15/10/2026 14:30

@Snowwhiteandthe77dwarfs Most of the people being granted asylum in the UK from the countries you have mentioned would be seeking asylum because they do not align with that country's culture, e.g. they have left Islam (which is punishable by death in some places), or have offended their government by standing up for their rights in some way. So why do you think the surrounding countries would help those individuals? People seeking asylum for those reasons wouldn't be any safer there.

However, internationally the vast majority of refugees are living in countries bordering their own. It's a very small minority that travel further to countries such as the UK, and if our asylum system was working as it should then their claims would be investigated thoroughly before the decision was made to accept them or not.

Snowwhiteandthe77dwarfs · 15/10/2026 14:26

GeneralPeter · 15/10/2026 14:14

@Snowwhiteandthe77dwarfs So in a quid pro quo arrangement, we can seek reparation from Germany

This did happen, yes.

How and when ?

According to this it wasn't a lot The United Kingdom received very little direct financial reparation from Germany after both World Wars, relying instead on shared industrial assets, clearinghouse payments, and post-war debt settlements.
World War I Reparations Treaty of Versailles (1919): Germany was assessed a total of 132 billion gold marks in reparations, with Britain entitled to a percentage.
Clearinghouse and Cash/Kind: Through the inter-allied clearinghouse system and early payments, Britain received a portion of cash distributions (such as £22 million out of £38 million paid early on), along with seized ships and colonial assets.

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GeneralPeter · 15/10/2026 14:14

@Snowwhiteandthe77dwarfs So in a quid pro quo arrangement, we can seek reparation from Germany

This did happen, yes.

Snowwhiteandthe77dwarfs · 15/10/2026 14:03

Kave · 15/10/2026 13:40

So, yes. If there were safe routes, they would be far easier to police & we could say ‘only these routes, other routes will not be considered’. That would limit the numbers. There would need to be provision for those fleeing persecution. Lebanon takes far more people than its size justifies, just because it is close to the places people are fleeing. When we were in the EU, the Dublin Agreement made it easier to return people from small boats. It is arguable that we have a responsibility to help those we bombed. It is difficult but arguing that people should be shot at in the Channel, which some do, is not a sensible answer.

So, yes. If there were safe routes, they would be far easier to police & we could say ‘only these routes, other routes will not be considered’. That would limit the numbers.
Do you honestly think that it would stop people coming by other means?
Do you honestly think the People Traffickers would give up such a lucrative business plan?
There would need to be provision for those fleeing persecution.
Good idea. That would theoretically cut out all Channel Crossings, as no-one is fleeing persecution in France.

The Dublin Agreement was rubbish from our point of view because we got back far more than we deported.
While the system existed, historical data showed the UK was generally a "net recipient" of family reunion and transfer cases rather than returning high volumes of people out.

It is arguable that we have a responsibility to help those we bombed.

That's interesting.
So in a quid pro quo arrangement, we can seek reparation from Germany for destroying Coventry Cathedral, also The House of Commons Chamber: Located in the Palace of Westminster, the chamber was completely destroyed by incendiary bombs during the heavy air raid on the final night of the Blitz (May 10–11, 1941).
Guildhall (London): The historic medieval and Victorian civic centre suffered severe bomb damage and fire during the December 29, 1940 incendiary raid.
St Bride's Church & St Alban, Wood Street: Several famous Christopher Wren-designed City of London churches—including St Bride's Church and St Alban, Wood Street—were burned out or demolished by Luftwaffe bombing.
The Tower of London: Portions of the historic complex, including parts of the Old Hospital Block and the Main Guard, were hit and destroyed by high-explosive and incendiary bombs in September and December 1940

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EasternStandard · 15/10/2026 13:55

Kave · 15/10/2026 13:40

So, yes. If there were safe routes, they would be far easier to police & we could say ‘only these routes, other routes will not be considered’. That would limit the numbers. There would need to be provision for those fleeing persecution. Lebanon takes far more people than its size justifies, just because it is close to the places people are fleeing. When we were in the EU, the Dublin Agreement made it easier to return people from small boats. It is arguable that we have a responsibility to help those we bombed. It is difficult but arguing that people should be shot at in the Channel, which some do, is not a sensible answer.

Ok if you limit it how will you overrule international law that says any shore arrival must be processed?

Kave · 15/10/2026 13:40

So, yes. If there were safe routes, they would be far easier to police & we could say ‘only these routes, other routes will not be considered’. That would limit the numbers. There would need to be provision for those fleeing persecution. Lebanon takes far more people than its size justifies, just because it is close to the places people are fleeing. When we were in the EU, the Dublin Agreement made it easier to return people from small boats. It is arguable that we have a responsibility to help those we bombed. It is difficult but arguing that people should be shot at in the Channel, which some do, is not a sensible answer.

Snowwhiteandthe77dwarfs · 15/10/2026 12:53

Kave · 15/10/2026 07:28

Unless you are arguing that we should not allow anyone asylum then there has to be a procedure. Otherwise, you get what we have got - small boats. The HO has long been unfit for purpose(regardless of the party in power): long delays, lost paperwork, deporting low lying fruit (the law abiding who follow all the rules), but leaving criminal gangs alone. The problem is that the recent speed & volume of migration prevent adequate vetting & discourage acculturation. ‘Safe & legal routes’ allow for vetting before entry & some introduction to expected behaviour once here. Not only things like attitudes to sex & sexuality but public behaviour expectations. It also controls the rate of migration. Why would you object to any of those things?

It's the numbers I have a problem with and the cost to UK when we are already £3 trillion in debt.

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Snowwhiteandthe77dwarfs · 15/10/2026 12:49

Kave · 15/10/2026 08:10

If people cannot stay where they are, how else do you alleviate suffering than by giving them an escape route?

With the best will in the world we cannot relocate all the disadvantaged people in the world here.
And why is it our problem ?
The top nationalities of people crossing the English Channel in small boats to the UK include Eritrean, Afghan, Sudanese, Iranian, and Syrian nationals. None of these cultures align with ours.
So why are those Muslim countries nearby not doing their bit doing to help out their Muslim brothers and sisters?

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Raiderofthelostbattenburg · 15/10/2026 12:06

Snowwhiteandthe77dwarfs · 15/10/2026 11:41

There were 41.6 million refugees as of the end of December 2025, according to the UNHCR Global Trends report and 117.8 million people worldwide forcibly displaced.
How many would you suggest we take and from what countries?

The fact that I am a random Mumsnet user, without access to the relevant evidence or statistics, means it would - in my view - be spectacularly unhelpful for me to suggest an arbitrary number plucked from the air.

I believe in pragmatic, sustainable policy making, based on facts about need and capacity, and on what is actually possible, within the U.K’s unique geographical and cultural circumstances. And I personally think more safe, legal, efficiently managed migration routes are an important part of that.

For the sake of being factual, it’s also worth noting that the UNHCR Global Trends report also tells us that 65% of refugees are hosted in countries neighboring their country of origin. So, I don’t think the headline figures are useful on their own.

As an aside, I also think we need a much more rational, much less emotionally charged tone in the way we speak about immigration. I am increasingly unconvinced threads like this help with that, so I’ll bow out now.

Snowwhiteandthe77dwarfs · 15/10/2026 11:41

Raiderofthelostbattenburg · 15/10/2026 07:40

Given most people’s main, legitimate concern is undocumented migrants, then I don’t see how this could be anything other than a good thing.

Aside from the fact that it would be completely against British values of tolerance and compassion, no longer accepting asylum seekers would make us international pariahs, and leave us isolated from our allies.

Safe, legal routes, efficiently managed is the only solution. If the Home Office actually achieve that, then fantastic.

Edited

There were 41.6 million refugees as of the end of December 2025, according to the UNHCR Global Trends report and 117.8 million people worldwide forcibly displaced.
How many would you suggest we take and from what countries?

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Snowwhiteandthe77dwarfs · 15/10/2026 11:36

On a positive note Ms Mahmood seems to have developed a backbone.

"Shabana Mahmood has threatened to block Eritrean visas in a row over the east African country's migrant return rate.
The Home Secretary has said she would bring in restrictions on Asmara unless it takes back its criminals and illegal migrants, most of whom arrive on small boats.
Eritrean VIPs and diplomats have already been stripped of their fast-track visa access to the UK after the Eritrean government reneged on an agreement to take back migrants refused asylum or convicted of crimes in the UK.
Now, Ms Mahmood has gone one step further, saying she would block visas for all Eritreans if the country refused to accept the return of its nationals with no right to be in the UK.
The Home Secretary told The Telegraph: "Eritrea has had every chance to accept the return of criminals and those with no right to be in the UK. Unlike other countries, it has refused.
"My message to the Eritrean government is simple: take back your nationals or face a complete ban on your citizens entering the UK.
"I will not hesitate to impose further measures on other countries refusing to cooperate."
Sources within the Home Office said diplomats from Asmara had refused to engage constructively with Whitehall in private talks about the returns agreement.
According to official figures, just 106 failed asylum seekers from Eritrea have been deported out of 2,626 whose claims were rejected in the past four years, equivalent to fewer than four per cent.
In the year ending June 2026, 6,952 Eritrean asylum seekers arrived in the UK, the second-highest number of any nationality.
This included 5,875 by small boats, the largest of any nationality grouping.
Eritreans have an asylum approval rate of just over 83 per cent.

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Raiderofthelostbattenburg · 15/10/2026 09:31

GeneralPeter · 15/10/2026 09:24

I guess it all comes down to the system design. If we could run an ideal system like that, I’d be much more in favour. But I’m not sure we can, other than for targeted cases (eg specific wars, famines, etc). Verifying people’s identity and story is just very hard, and gets harder the more open you make the funnel.

I don’t disagree. I suppose my view, though, is that the Home Office has been very inefficiently run, for a very long time.

And I do think part of that, is that immigration has become unhelpfully and aggressively politicised. So, policy decisions have been made based on posturing, rather than on actual evidence as to what will or won’t work, within the cultural and geographical context of the U.K.

So, to my mind, the most responsible thing for any government to do at this stage is to take the heat, divisiveness and polarisation out of the debate and focus on efficiency. That way, we can at least get accurate data, then review that data and revisit the policy, based on facts.

EasternStandard · 15/10/2026 09:30

Raiderofthelostbattenburg · 15/10/2026 09:19

I think we’re in agreement - the whole aim of safe and legal routes is to provide controlled pathways, so less people come by small boat, and there are therefore less risks of death at sea.

Ok it’ll take the Australian system, I’m assuming you don’t want to withdraw from international asylum laws? Or Bardella convinces his party to take all arrivals back, if they win.

It is possible to stop on shore arrivals, with those three options pretty much. If it’s just introduction of safe routes and international law allows arrivals you’ll get both methods of entry.

GeneralPeter · 15/10/2026 09:24

Raiderofthelostbattenburg · 15/10/2026 08:52

You’re right it is hard to model - but all asylum and immigration policy is hard to model, not least because the behaviour of desperate people fleeing persecution is hard to predict.

That is why, in my opinion, efficiently managed legal routes, which enable us collect accurate data, is the most pragmatic way forward.

I guess it all comes down to the system design. If we could run an ideal system like that, I’d be much more in favour. But I’m not sure we can, other than for targeted cases (eg specific wars, famines, etc). Verifying people’s identity and story is just very hard, and gets harder the more open you make the funnel.

Raiderofthelostbattenburg · 15/10/2026 09:19

EasternStandard · 15/10/2026 09:10

You can have efficient, well managed routes where people are vetted and allowed entry, you can stop deaths at sea and allow the people to work as soon as they gain entry but if you keep entry via shore you’ll just get deaths, chaos and risk on top of the efficient routes.

Countries that have created capped, controlled routes don’t have on shore arrivals.

I think we’re in agreement - the whole aim of safe and legal routes is to provide controlled pathways, so less people come by small boat, and there are therefore less risks of death at sea.