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Effect of VAT on admissions - any intel?

144 replies

BarqsHasBite · 28/09/2024 18:44

We are applying for secondaries for DS, main target is an independent school but he’s also tried for a partially selective state school.

Am wondering if anyone has any intel on the effect on admissions numbers of Labour’s VAT on school fees policy?

I went to the open morning for our target school and having attended the same event last year numbers did seem down. In previous years it has been fully booked, but I’d say today the hall was 3/4 full at most. However, another nearby indy was also having an open day so that could have been a reason other than VAT.

On the state school side of the coin: my friend’s son sat the entrance exam for QE Barnet and she estimated there were 4,000 boys sitting it over two days - if so that’s up around a third on last year!

Does anyone else have any actual or anecdotal insights please?

OP posts:
twistyizzy · 01/10/2024 10:06

noblegiraffe · 01/10/2024 09:59

I think I’m right in assuming you are supportive of the addition of VAT to school fees generally.

I’m pretty non-committal tbh. If it raises money for state schools that would be nice but that appears to be up in the air so we’ll have to see. I am however pissed off at the amount of airtime it is getting and all the handwringing about private school kids compared to state school kids, including state school kids with SEN which is an absolute heartbreaking mess.

I don’t see how the government could admit that a kid with an SEN but no EHCP simply needs private education. That would be admitting that state education can be a failure for SEN children. Which it is, but they have to try to fix that not just say ‘ok it’s a disaster but if you can afford private school fees we won’t put VAT on them just for you.’

And there are kids with SEN diagnoses for whom state education is absolutely fine.

Because kids with SEN in Indy schools don't need an EHCP to access support. So many parents turn to indy due to delays and barriers of getting an EHCP to access appropriate support in state. That's not to say state schools cant/don't support SEN but there is no denying that there is an SEN crisis in state. As an example my friend teaches on state and her current primary class has 33% SEN which take up 80% of her time. This means the other 67% of non SEN kids get the remaining 20% of her time. This simply isn't acceptable for any of the kids in her class as none are getting what they need.

noblegiraffe · 01/10/2024 09:59

I think I’m right in assuming you are supportive of the addition of VAT to school fees generally.

I’m pretty non-committal tbh. If it raises money for state schools that would be nice but that appears to be up in the air so we’ll have to see. I am however pissed off at the amount of airtime it is getting and all the handwringing about private school kids compared to state school kids, including state school kids with SEN which is an absolute heartbreaking mess.

I don’t see how the government could admit that a kid with an SEN but no EHCP simply needs private education. That would be admitting that state education can be a failure for SEN children. Which it is, but they have to try to fix that not just say ‘ok it’s a disaster but if you can afford private school fees we won’t put VAT on them just for you.’

And there are kids with SEN diagnoses for whom state education is absolutely fine.

twistyizzy · 01/10/2024 09:50

puffyisgood · 01/10/2024 09:37

I wouldn't pretend to have even the tiniest % of the expertise of a Niedle or whoever on this, but common sense does indeed suggest that something like a tweak to the tax rules impacting private school [bringing them into step with, say, vocational training providers & private tutoring companies, but out of step with, say, state schools & universities] is the kind of 'political' decision that falls well within the fiscal powers of the elected government & parliament and that a court would only overturn in the kinds of exceptional circumstances which likely aren't present here.

Edited

Indy schools aren't like vocational training providers. Parents don't pay for their kids to attend ITPs. This is a tax on parents as they are the ones paying the fees. Indy schools already pay VAT on all purchases but currently can't reclaim it. They will be able to reclaim VAT if this policy passes but they also have to charge parents 20% VAT on fees.

puffyisgood · 01/10/2024 09:47

the wording of Eton's letter to parents announcing that fees will rise to a mere £63k per child per year is probably instructive here. they didn't announce the fee rise as a contingency plan which will be enacted in the unlikely event that the legal challenge will fail, but rather as something that is going to happen, which is surely will.

SheilaFentiman · 01/10/2024 09:37

I’m not a tax specialist but I don’t see how you could exempt a service from VAT by the nature of its users/customers rather than by nature of the service.

So I can see how, say, a tutoring agency delivering dyslexia support might be exempt from adding VAT. But not a provider of general education.

The only way I can see would be for a child to get a specific grant to cover the VAT (say) if their SEN were severe enough.

puffyisgood · 01/10/2024 09:37

I wouldn't pretend to have even the tiniest % of the expertise of a Niedle or whoever on this, but common sense does indeed suggest that something like a tweak to the tax rules impacting private school [bringing them into step with, say, vocational training providers & private tutoring companies, but out of step with, say, state schools & universities] is the kind of 'political' decision that falls well within the fiscal powers of the elected government & parliament and that a court would only overturn in the kinds of exceptional circumstances which likely aren't present here.

BarqsHasBite · 01/10/2024 09:34

noblegiraffe · 01/10/2024 09:09

Not sure otherwise why you are quite seemingly so desperate to see this very limited challenge to VAT fail!

I have no idea why me presenting my opinion that it was widely expected to fail, based on what I had observed surrounding the discussion of the case, with links, is me being desperate for it to fail. I said I’m not a tax expert and I asked for links to tax experts suggesting it might win so that I could update my understanding of the case. A previous poster said they hadn’t seen much commentary - if it was an exciting case I’d have expected more interest.

If it is a ‘very limited challenge’ - do you mean that it wouldn’t actually prevent VAT being added to private school fees?

I think I’m right in assuming you are supportive of the addition of VAT to school fees generally. Nothing about the tone or content of your posts suggested that you would be sorry to see this challenge fail, or that you think SEN kids should be treated any differently for VAT purposes, but feel free to nail your cards to the mast if you’d rather.

By “limited challenge” it’s my (also pretty limited!) understanding that this case is being brought to challenge the imposition of VAT on fees for kids with SEN but who do not have an EHCP.

So assuming the challenge is successful and assuming Parliament has to reconsider it all, I’d have thought they would be considering whether they have to abandon VAT on school fees for kids with SEN, rather than abandon VAT on school fees generally.

That would of course lead to questions about who determines whether a child has SEN or not. And no doubt a slew of parents seeking a diagnosis that their child’s messy handwriting or the fact they are incapable of remembering their PE kit in fact constitutes a SEN.

So maybe the government would just have to abandon the whole thing after all!

OP posts:
noblegiraffe · 01/10/2024 09:09

Not sure otherwise why you are quite seemingly so desperate to see this very limited challenge to VAT fail!

I have no idea why me presenting my opinion that it was widely expected to fail, based on what I had observed surrounding the discussion of the case, with links, is me being desperate for it to fail. I said I’m not a tax expert and I asked for links to tax experts suggesting it might win so that I could update my understanding of the case. A previous poster said they hadn’t seen much commentary - if it was an exciting case I’d have expected more interest.

If it is a ‘very limited challenge’ - do you mean that it wouldn’t actually prevent VAT being added to private school fees?

SheilaFentiman · 01/10/2024 09:02

justasking111 · 01/10/2024 08:48

Has this been through the house of lords yet.

My understanding is that, given this was in the Labour manifesto, the Lords traditionally will not vote it down.

BarqsHasBite · 01/10/2024 08:57

noblegiraffe · 01/10/2024 08:34

There will be human rights, equality and discrimination arguments that he’s unlikely to have run into.

He says in the Twitter thread I linked to “A successful ECHR/Human Rights Act challenge can result in the court politely asking Parliament to think again (a “declaration of incompatibility”). But the law remains in force.”

Blimey @noblegiraffe anyone would think that you believe the current ECHP regime is entirely fit for purpose and that SEN kids are perfectly well catered for in the state system as things stand. 🙄 Not sure otherwise why you are quite seemingly so desperate to see this very limited challenge to VAT fail!

I’d have thought it would be in everyone’s interests for the shocking state of the EHCP and SEN provision to be subject to very public judicial scrutiny.

Neidle isn’t saying anything new here - the whole point of the claim is that the imposition of VAT on education would be unlawful, and seeking a declaration of incompatibility is the method for challenging the law here. It still doesn’t mean Neidle is in a position accurately to opine on the merits of the case, or that it is “widely expected to lose”.

It may well lose but equally it may win - people may have a view, but no-one knows.

OP posts:
twistyizzy · 01/10/2024 08:50

justasking111 · 01/10/2024 08:48

Has this been through the house of lords yet.

No, the public consultation has only just finished. Many Labour peers don't support it. However I believe that it doesn't have to go through Lords due to ammendment of tax law rather than new legislation. That's why this legal case is so important

justasking111 · 01/10/2024 08:48

Has this been through the house of lords yet.

twistyizzy · 01/10/2024 08:39

noblegiraffe · 01/10/2024 08:34

There will be human rights, equality and discrimination arguments that he’s unlikely to have run into.

He says in the Twitter thread I linked to “A successful ECHR/Human Rights Act challenge can result in the court politely asking Parliament to think again (a “declaration of incompatibility”). But the law remains in force.”

Keir is a supporter of ECHR, it won't be a great look if he goes against that. Although at this stage I don't think Labour give a crap about optics. They certainly seem to revel in being unpopular.
As much as you may want to believe this case will fail, ultimately no-one at this stage can say with any certainty either way

noblegiraffe · 01/10/2024 08:34

There will be human rights, equality and discrimination arguments that he’s unlikely to have run into.

He says in the Twitter thread I linked to “A successful ECHR/Human Rights Act challenge can result in the court politely asking Parliament to think again (a “declaration of incompatibility”). But the law remains in force.”

twistyizzy · 01/10/2024 08:33

noblegiraffe · 01/10/2024 08:25

Perhaps you could post links to independent-to-the-case tax experts saying it will win so that I can update my understanding?

No-one can say whether it will win or lose at present, it is a test case because , outside of Greece, no government has ever tried to tax education (Greece failed to do it fyi). The accepted principle is that it is VAT exempt. The SEN angle is key and, as I've already stated, is incredibly nuanced.

BarqsHasBite · 01/10/2024 08:30

twistyizzy · 01/10/2024 08:06

So you've 1 or 2 X comments saying the case will lose and you've interpreted that as "widely expected to lose"? As with any court case, it comes down to the nitty gritty of legal complexities. The case is being brought via SEN angle, it is complicated and nuanced.

I agree with @twistyizzy - Dan Neidle is a tax expert but I doubt he knows the first thing about SEN/education law, which is extremely niche. There will be human rights, equality and discrimination arguments that he’s unlikely to have run into.

Sinclair Law is one of the few firms with real expertise in this area

That’s not to say it’s not a challenging claim - it’s a test case so difficult for anyone accurately to predict, and it may well go to appeal however it’s decided at first instance.

You do sometimes get clients who want to bring a claim despite being told they’re highly unlikely to succeed but it’s rare. I very much doubt Sinclair Law have decided it’s completely hopeless but are bringing it anyway for the money or the publicity- it’s really not how most law firms work.

OP posts:
noblegiraffe · 01/10/2024 08:25

Perhaps you could post links to independent-to-the-case tax experts saying it will win so that I can update my understanding?

twistyizzy · 01/10/2024 08:06

noblegiraffe · 30/09/2024 22:45

I haven't seen much lately, tbf, but when court challenges first came up I saw a load of people on twitter just say 'yeah, not going to work' and then move on.

e.g. Dan Neidle the tax expert who uncovered Nadhim Zahawi's dodgy tax dealings: https://x.com/danneidle/status/1795523122923474982?s=61&t=U9XrcF693-JpMxeIueYG7g\

I'd have thought the lack of commentary was a sign of complete lack of interest in the challenge due to it being irrelevant. All the discussion I've seen expects VAT from Jan.

I could be totally wrong, I know nothing about tax law, that's just my take on it.

So you've 1 or 2 X comments saying the case will lose and you've interpreted that as "widely expected to lose"? As with any court case, it comes down to the nitty gritty of legal complexities. The case is being brought via SEN angle, it is complicated and nuanced.

twistyizzy · 01/10/2024 08:04

noblegiraffe · 30/09/2024 20:48

Widely expected to lose.

Well that's wrong for a start

GrammarTeacher · 01/10/2024 07:33

There's precedent which indicates that it will lose. Widely commented on in threads mentioned by noblegiraffe that this is an example of unscrupulous law firms getting money for an action they are well aware will fail.

noblegiraffe · 30/09/2024 22:45

NcOpen · 30/09/2024 20:54

By who? I have been following this closely and there is no commentary on this so curious where the “widely expected to lose” comes from.

Edited

I haven't seen much lately, tbf, but when court challenges first came up I saw a load of people on twitter just say 'yeah, not going to work' and then move on.

e.g. Dan Neidle the tax expert who uncovered Nadhim Zahawi's dodgy tax dealings: https://x.com/danneidle/status/1795523122923474982?s=61&t=U9XrcF693-JpMxeIueYG7g\

I'd have thought the lack of commentary was a sign of complete lack of interest in the challenge due to it being irrelevant. All the discussion I've seen expects VAT from Jan.

I could be totally wrong, I know nothing about tax law, that's just my take on it.

Effect of VAT on admissions - any intel?
SchoolyStuff · 30/09/2024 22:19

Sorry to ask a side question but does anybody know what universities think of kids who have got cut out of the system entirely and had to home school?

I mean those kids who had to come out of private schools, but couldn't get a place at a state school, and so end up home schooling?

I'd be interested to know how that affects their university application, assuming that they still get about the same grades as they would have had anyway.

justasking111 · 30/09/2024 21:53

"SinclairsLaw: Education" https://www.sinclairslaw.co.uk/services/education

These solicitors are handling the case

SinclairsLaw: Education

https://www.sinclairslaw.co.uk/services/education

NcOpen · 30/09/2024 20:54

noblegiraffe · 30/09/2024 20:48

Widely expected to lose.

By who? I have been following this closely and there is no commentary on this so curious where the “widely expected to lose” comes from.

noblegiraffe · 30/09/2024 20:48

Widely expected to lose.