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Yearly warning not to take A-level maths with less than a 7 at GCSE

463 replies

noblegiraffe · 20/08/2024 14:49

GCSE results day and therefore A-level sign-up day is coming.

So with that in mind I just thought I'd post the table of conversions from GCSE to A-level results for maths to show that there is a strong correlation. This is because A-level Maths basically starts with a quick review of grade 8/9 GCSE algebra content and then gets more difficult. Students starting with a 7 will have to work very hard to keep up, students with a 6 often flounder.

There are sixth forms and colleges that will accept students with a 6 onto A-level maths, but from many years of experience, this is not a good experience for the student. Many will drop out and switch courses early on (and therefore not appear in the results table), but some will struggle on for 2 years and then come out with a grade that really doesn't help them with university applications.

If you take A-level maths with a 6, even if you manage to complete the course (and a lot won't), about three quarters will get a D or below, with E the most common grade.

This data is from 2019 because obviously more recent data has been screwed up by covid.

If your child is keen to do maths, but gets a 6, please consider Core Maths which is designed to be taken alongside 3 A-levels and provides supportive maths content for A-level sciences and social sciences (e.g. psychology, geography).

If your child is going to do A-level maths (particularly if they are on a 7 but also 8/9), check that they have done summer bridging work so they hit the ground running in September.

Yearly warning not to take A-level maths with less than a 7 at GCSE
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Foxesandsquirrels · 29/08/2025 20:31

@Araminta1003 the postcode you live in and the school you go to are two different criteria for a contextual offer. You can have a contextual offer based on a personal situation, school wouldn't make a difference.

Bufftailed · 29/08/2025 20:12

newmum1976 · 29/08/2025 19:41

I looked into this once as my children were saying my A in gcse maths from 1992 was the same as a 7 today. Something like 9% of candidates got an A then, so it equates to a 8 or 9.

Not sure if the curriculum is objectively harder. There was a period of coursework…. The A for the decade or something before 1-9 was replaced with a 7. let them have it 🤣

Araminta1003 · 29/08/2025 19:58

“6th forms do contextualise. Tons of the selective ones prioritise FSM, looked after or previously looked after, PP kids and kids local low attaining partner schools as a 1st priority after EHCPs. Look up the admissions criteria for Harris Westminster, LAET, Brampton Manor etc etc.
And honestly, I'm not sure what to say as to your London comment. London is not the whole of the country and London has plenty of schools like the ones I've described, 2 of our local ones are like this and my daughter briefly went to one. They just had a 28% pass rate at one and 40% at the other. It's a record year for the second- they've never had higher than 35% before outsife of COVID! Both regularly have gangs outside and huge problems with county lines. Just because it's not on your doorstep, doesn't mean it doesn't exist and tbh that's not my point. The point is, no one in the school you describe would get a contextual offer based on their school, because that's not a low attaining school! It's not just about the type.”

@Foxesandsquirrels - believe what you want. Plenty of kids from the school I described most definitely get contextual offers from a variety of Russell Group unis, coupled with their postcode which happens to tick some marker. It is a well known fact locally. Just like plenty of high achieving Sixth Forms have lapped up all the top achievers leaving private schools this week.
You cannot have a situation where successive Governments underfund schools and unis and yet insist on high standards. Those institutions will tick the boxes superficially, but protect their own staff and achievements, by taking what makes their lives easier. That is just a fact of life. The politicians and press will spin whatever story that suits them.

newmum1976 · 29/08/2025 19:41

Bufftailed · 29/08/2025 19:13

I think a 90s B is equiv to a 6 and 7 - top 7 might have got an A. Based on %s getting it…I looked at the proportions a while back and total % getting B+ then and 6+ now was around the same….

I looked into this once as my children were saying my A in gcse maths from 1992 was the same as a 7 today. Something like 9% of candidates got an A then, so it equates to a 8 or 9.

Bufftailed · 29/08/2025 19:13

whoboo · 29/08/2025 14:51

Yeah 1998. My school was shit, refused to let anyone enter for the higher tier paper 🙄

I think a 90s B is equiv to a 6 and 7 - top 7 might have got an A. Based on %s getting it…I looked at the proportions a while back and total % getting B+ then and 6+ now was around the same….

noblegiraffe · 29/08/2025 16:19

Those grade 5 candidates who went on to take A-level maths, let alone get a grade in it are not going to be usual candidates.

Most likely there was some reason that they bombed and got a grade 5 at GCSE that the college took account of, rather than the grade 5 being the genuine peak of their possible achievement at the point of sitting the exam.

OP posts:
noblegiraffe · 29/08/2025 16:17

whoboo · 29/08/2025 16:10

Why do you say a 90s B is a 7 @Pythag?

Grade inflation.

OP posts:
Foxesandsquirrels · 29/08/2025 16:11

@Pythag sorry I meant not a candidate for A level maths! She's finally qualified for an oral modifier so hopefully will get a modified paper for her retakes in maths in Nov. It just slightly changes the questions to make them easier to understand. She got a 3, very close to a 4 so hopefully it'll help. But yes, I completely understand the application to real life thing, it makes sense but there is a lot more of it on the foundation papers than the higher ones.

whoboo · 29/08/2025 16:10

Why do you say a 90s B is a 7 @Pythag?

Pythag · 29/08/2025 16:01

Foxesandsquirrels · 29/08/2025 15:53

I see ok. My DD is not a candidate for GCSE maths but she has a language processing disorder and finds the worded questions super hard. She ended up finding the higher paper much more accessible as there's a lot less of that on there. It may be that it helps some kids that the higher level A Level questions are more abstract, eg solve this problem, rather than the train gets to euston at 11:43 after leaving Milton Keynes at 9:01 how long did it take etc etc

Edited

I see. Generally maths GCSE and maths A-level examiners do their best to try and make sure that people are not excluded from maths due to their English language skills. Exams go through several rounds of review to ensure that they are clear, plain English and unambiguous.

However, both GCSE and A-level include worded questions (also called modelling questions), Edexcel A-level in particular has a lot of this). The aim of these questions is to ensure people can apply maths to real life. Some people (particularly people that have low literacy) hate them, but they are part of maths. You can get better at them via practice and learning how to turn prose into relevant equations!

Foxesandsquirrels · 29/08/2025 15:53

Pythag · 29/08/2025 15:41

Roughly 1/3 of GCSE maths is directly algebraic, and up to another quarter might be indirectly algebraic. At A-level maths basically every question in pure maths relies on algebra.

So kind of weird for there to be someone good at algebra who does poorly at GCSE. The 15 or so people who you identified from the OP’s table are more likely people who for some other reason did poorly at GCSE maths (eg difficult family situation at that time) rather than them finally getting algebra at a-level.

I see ok. My DD is not a candidate for GCSE maths but she has a language processing disorder and finds the worded questions super hard. She ended up finding the higher paper much more accessible as there's a lot less of that on there. It may be that it helps some kids that the higher level A Level questions are more abstract, eg solve this problem, rather than the train gets to euston at 11:43 after leaving Milton Keynes at 9:01 how long did it take etc etc

Pythag · 29/08/2025 15:41

Foxesandsquirrels · 29/08/2025 15:33

No no I get it completely. Why do you say that about algebra? Is there not a lot of algebra at GCSE?

Roughly 1/3 of GCSE maths is directly algebraic, and up to another quarter might be indirectly algebraic. At A-level maths basically every question in pure maths relies on algebra.

So kind of weird for there to be someone good at algebra who does poorly at GCSE. The 15 or so people who you identified from the OP’s table are more likely people who for some other reason did poorly at GCSE maths (eg difficult family situation at that time) rather than them finally getting algebra at a-level.

Foxesandsquirrels · 29/08/2025 15:36

MargaretThursday · 29/08/2025 15:34

I think it would be unusual for a school to accept someone with a five, so I'd hazard a guess that a fair number of those who are allowed, are allowed because the school knows there were circumstances that meant they got a 5, but we're capable of getting much higher.

I wonder if they are possibly candidates from a private arrangement eg online school. There's a school near us that allows them to do it with a 5 if they pass an algebra test on enrollment.

MargaretThursday · 29/08/2025 15:34

Pythag · 29/08/2025 15:30

I’m not the OP (whose views I will defer to) but you are talking about roughly 5% of fewer than 300 people, i.e 15 human beings. This is too few people for us to be able to draw statistically relevant conclusions. Remember also: the table doesn’t include those who dropped out along the way!

It is true that people who are good at algebra thrive at maths A-level, but it is very rare indeed for someone to be good at algebra and to have a 5 at GCSE maths.

I think it would be unusual for a school to accept someone with a five, so I'd hazard a guess that a fair number of those who are allowed, are allowed because the school knows there were circumstances that meant they got a 5, but we're capable of getting much higher.

Foxesandsquirrels · 29/08/2025 15:33

Pythag · 29/08/2025 15:30

I’m not the OP (whose views I will defer to) but you are talking about roughly 5% of fewer than 300 people, i.e 15 human beings. This is too few people for us to be able to draw statistically relevant conclusions. Remember also: the table doesn’t include those who dropped out along the way!

It is true that people who are good at algebra thrive at maths A-level, but it is very rare indeed for someone to be good at algebra and to have a 5 at GCSE maths.

No no I get it completely. Why do you say that about algebra? Is there not a lot of algebra at GCSE?

Pythag · 29/08/2025 15:30

Foxesandsquirrels · 29/08/2025 15:01

@noblegiraffe I was just looking at your table. It's interesting that the % getting A and A star from a grade 5 is actually quite high compared to grade 6 and 7. Do you think that's because some kids will struggle with the GCSE maths content but thrive in something like algebra which A Levels have a lot of? Or they find less subjects easier than a whole GCSE load? I'm curious. Couldn't imagine a grade 5 kid getting an A or A. I know it's a tiny % but it's quite high still.

Edited

I’m not the OP (whose views I will defer to) but you are talking about roughly 5% of fewer than 300 people, i.e 15 human beings. This is too few people for us to be able to draw statistically relevant conclusions. Remember also: the table doesn’t include those who dropped out along the way!

It is true that people who are good at algebra thrive at maths A-level, but it is very rare indeed for someone to be good at algebra and to have a 5 at GCSE maths.

Foxesandsquirrels · 29/08/2025 15:26

Araminta1003 · 29/08/2025 15:06

@Foxesandsquirrels - we do not have schools like that in London. The local school near me that people “shun” has a combined GCSE English and Maths pass rate of 68%, individually more like 77% English and 73% Maths. Every single child who ends up there from a good home then has the chance to change at Sixth Form anyway to all of the selective Sixth Forms all over London. The main issue we are now experiencing is people tutoring for GCSE because Sixth Forms are so selective. And tutoring costs a lot of money. It is the Sixth Forms that should be doing the contextualising. Far too late by university level.

6th forms do contextualise. Tons of the selective ones prioritise FSM, looked after or previously looked after, PP kids and kids local low attaining partner schools as a 1st priority after EHCPs. Look up the admissions criteria for Harris Westminster, LAET, Brampton Manor etc etc.
And honestly, I'm not sure what to say as to your London comment. London is not the whole of the country and London has plenty of schools like the ones I've described, 2 of our local ones are like this and my daughter briefly went to one. They just had a 28% pass rate at one and 40% at the other. It's a record year for the second- they've never had higher than 35% before outsife of COVID! Both regularly have gangs outside and huge problems with county lines. Just because it's not on your doorstep, doesn't mean it doesn't exist and tbh that's not my point. The point is, no one in the school you describe would get a contextual offer based on their school, because that's not a low attaining school! It's not just about the type.

Araminta1003 · 29/08/2025 15:08

However, unless the politicians are willing to fund summer schools and tutoring catch up during Sixth Forms for kids who got a 5 or 6 in Maths because of their circumstances, so that they can then access Maths A level and higher paid careers and STEM, none of these discussions are relevant. It is just a waste of time.

Araminta1003 · 29/08/2025 15:06

@Foxesandsquirrels - we do not have schools like that in London. The local school near me that people “shun” has a combined GCSE English and Maths pass rate of 68%, individually more like 77% English and 73% Maths. Every single child who ends up there from a good home then has the chance to change at Sixth Form anyway to all of the selective Sixth Forms all over London. The main issue we are now experiencing is people tutoring for GCSE because Sixth Forms are so selective. And tutoring costs a lot of money. It is the Sixth Forms that should be doing the contextualising. Far too late by university level.

Foxesandsquirrels · 29/08/2025 15:01

@noblegiraffe I was just looking at your table. It's interesting that the % getting A and A star from a grade 5 is actually quite high compared to grade 6 and 7. Do you think that's because some kids will struggle with the GCSE maths content but thrive in something like algebra which A Levels have a lot of? Or they find less subjects easier than a whole GCSE load? I'm curious. Couldn't imagine a grade 5 kid getting an A or A. I know it's a tiny % but it's quite high still.

Foxesandsquirrels · 29/08/2025 14:57

Pythag · 29/08/2025 14:54

Well then your result does not contradict the advice in the OP then! It is consistent with it!

Yup exactly. My DDs friend got a 7 in maths last year and has just got an E in her end of Y12 mock 😬

Pythag · 29/08/2025 14:54

whoboo · 29/08/2025 14:51

Yeah 1998. My school was shit, refused to let anyone enter for the higher tier paper 🙄

Well then your result does not contradict the advice in the OP then! It is consistent with it!

whoboo · 29/08/2025 14:51

Pythag · 29/08/2025 14:28

When did you get your B? If you got it in the 90s, for example, it is the equivalent of a grade 7 now.

Yeah 1998. My school was shit, refused to let anyone enter for the higher tier paper 🙄

Foxesandsquirrels · 29/08/2025 14:41

Araminta1003 · 29/08/2025 14:16

Unis do not have time to look at children’s personal circumstances in full. Having parents who divorce, bad health, all sorts of trauma is far more relevant than some middle class trauma of being around lower attaining children. If teaching is terrible or sporadic, of course it should be rewarded. However, there are plenty o lower attaining schools were middle class bright kids actually get celebrated and get loads of extra attention and sometimes end up doing better than in a high pressured environment where they are just another kid like that. A lot of this will boil down to the personality of the child and we cannot expect unis to be able to second guess that. So I maintain, family circumstances and level of education of parents and books at home are far more relevant to outcome than the school.

Honestly I'm not sure what your point is. I don't think you quite imagine the type of school I'm talking about when I say trauma from school. It's certainly not a school any middle class child would end up in. There's kids without a teacher for their full GCSE course, without heating, with leaky roofs, with gangs and daily violence being the norm. 20% pass rates. These are not rare. And to achieve a string of grade 9s in that setting is incredible and not on par to achieving it at a grammar.
Your school has to be very very low attaining across the board to get a contextual offer. Most contextual offers are based on personal circumstances. And it is no secret that life chances are decided in utero, however school is the number 1 thing that can go someway into levelling chances of success. Grammar school places used to be called golden tickets for a reason. There's a reason people pay thousands a year in stamp duty to move into the right catchment. If it didn't make an huge difference, people wouldn't do it.

Foxesandsquirrels · 29/08/2025 14:33

Araminta1003 · 29/08/2025 14:11

Yes, but DD knows a girl who had cancer at grammar school and did very well despite that and DS knows a child who went to a private school, whose mum died and dad committed suicide so the school they attend is only part of the picture, always.

That's what I said at the end of my last message. You can get contextual offers even from a grammar of private. School is not the whole picture.