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Exam data nerdery

161 replies

noblegiraffe · 27/08/2023 12:53

I'm fairly sure that there are other nerds on this site so I thought I'd post some stuff I'd collected in case anyone else is interested. Also, if you see something in the data, maybe we could chat about it.

First offering is this widget from Ofqual. You can look at the grade distribution for various subjects, or you can see how grades in one subject affects grades in another subject (the link between maths grade and computer science grade is quite pronounced, for example).

https://analytics.ofqual.gov.uk/apps/GCSE/9to1/

What I noticed is that the grade distribution for English language is weird. And there are far fewer top grades awarded than for Maths. Why? (This is with the resit data stripped out). It's the same cohort that sits both so it's not about prior attainment.

Exam data nerdery
Exam data nerdery
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Piggywaspushed · 28/08/2023 19:00

Yeah, I just saw that data about bell curves and how thry squashed top grades down more thus year. Need to look it out.

noblegiraffe · 28/08/2023 18:57

In theory only in my head this might man more very top grades in maths and perhaps a better chance of getting grade 4 because you are just taught no more than you need to know.

But the chance of getting a grade 4 or 7 is pre-set. I don't know at what point it was decided that kids were better at maths than English.

But thinking about it, kids are better at maths than English, because boys massively underperform in English so the grades should be lower.

No consolation for English departments who will be compared unfairly to maths departments if both perform perfectly in line with national expectations.

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Sweetpeasaremadeforbees · 28/08/2023 18:21

I think some of the kids in my DD's separate sciences group actually did foundation rather than the higher tier. From what some of them said to DD they thought there was a chance that they'd at least get one science even if they failed the other two whereas combined might mean they got none because the really bad ones would drag the other one down! Maybe that muddies the water science wise because obviously everyone has to do science in some form and the stats don't differentiate between who took foundation and who took higher.

Piggywaspushed · 28/08/2023 18:15

I think there must also be something in the fact hat in maths you can choose not to teach all the content, this freeing up time for reinforcement of weaker topics . In every non tiered subject you have to teach all content - there's no special extra for grades 8/9 and nothing you can't teach.

In theory only in my head this might man more very top grades in maths and perhaps a better chance of getting grade 4 because you are just taught no more than you need to know.

Conversely, I can see it might hold back some students who, because of the set they are in, perhaps, don't access content they could actually grasp.

MrsHamlet · 28/08/2023 18:10

If there were to be a foundation paper, we'd almost certainly end up back to setting - which I am not for. There's no easy solution.

BerryGoodPudding · 28/08/2023 18:06

TeenDivided · 27/08/2023 13:48

I think the links A level grades to GCSE grades should be compulsory reading for anyone trying to push their grade 4/5 kids into doing A levels.

I think it should be shown much earlier maybe year 9 when they have started their option subjects. Also the expected parental contribution for uni too with salary bands and smelling salts to revive parents after they faint Grin I think parents should be informed early on.

I had a Cambridge Assessment report from 2010, not sure if there is a more up to date one that showed the progression from GCSE to A levels grades wise. Here for any other nerds https://www.cambridgeassessment.org.uk/Images/153531-progression-from-gcse-to-as-and-a-level-2010-.pdf

@JustHereWithMyPopcorn As published above maths is a hard A level from a 7 at GCSE and you can see why. I am sure @noblegiraffe will correct me if I am wrong but DC's sat OCR maths, we were told that 50% of the higher paper determines grades 7-9 meaning you can achieve a 7 without potentially having 50% of the maths knowledge secure This then makes it harder at A level. Both of my sons had solid grade 9s and have found A level maths relatively easy because they didn't struggle in class. They also did/are doing further maths A level too.

My DC's school pick and choose their exam boards, OCR for maths and computer science, Edexcel for Statistics, Educas for English Language and AQA for everything else.

@MrsHamlet do you feel there should be a foundation paper for English Language? Mine did really well but I can imagine it is soul destroying for some children to have a paper that covers all ranges.

https://www.cambridgeassessment.org.uk/Images/153531-progression-from-gcse-to-as-and-a-level-2010-.pdf

Piggywaspushed · 28/08/2023 18:03

It's always generally been the case that more kids do better at lit than language.

NotDonna · 28/08/2023 18:01

This is fascinating! Have I understood correctly that more kids did better at Eng Lit than Eng Lang? I’m assuming kids usually take both? When I did O levels only the brightest did Literature.

I’m blown away by the fact that kids do better at Maths than at English - maths has such a reputation for being disliked.

Are the % grades for A level similar across all boards? That is, is the AQA chart posted pretty representative?

Piggywaspushed · 28/08/2023 17:57

That does seem to be what various data suggests. It conversely also pushes bottom upwards, so producing more 3s.

Sweetpeasaremadeforbees · 28/08/2023 17:55

So does that mean that every year 2.9% (roughly) of eng lan candidates get 9s and 13% of chemistry candidates get 9s and the boundaries for marks move around to enable this? So many parents on here seem to be saying that their children have been predicted a 9 in lang but only got a 5/6 but is it just that other kids around the country maybe did better than expected and pushed the predicted 9s downwards?

MrsHamlet · 28/08/2023 17:08

English Lang is completely untiered and everyone does it!

WaitingforThursday · 28/08/2023 17:04

Sweetpeasaremadeforbees · 28/08/2023 17:00

I thought I understood grade boundaries but reading some of the data I realise I don't! How can only 2.9 % of eng lan grades be 9 whereas for Chemistry, 13% are 9? Have I completely misunderstood how it works?

I wondered the same thing. I am not a teacher but I assume that it reflects the fact that usually only the strongest science students do separate sciences. The English 9 %s do look very low.

SomersetBrie · 28/08/2023 17:02

Sweetpeasaremadeforbees · 28/08/2023 17:00

I thought I understood grade boundaries but reading some of the data I realise I don't! How can only 2.9 % of eng lan grades be 9 whereas for Chemistry, 13% are 9? Have I completely misunderstood how it works?

Is that not simply because everyone does English Lang, while Chemistry is only done by the brightest kids - most others do double award/combined science?

Sweetpeasaremadeforbees · 28/08/2023 17:00

I thought I understood grade boundaries but reading some of the data I realise I don't! How can only 2.9 % of eng lan grades be 9 whereas for Chemistry, 13% are 9? Have I completely misunderstood how it works?

noblegiraffe · 28/08/2023 16:49

The vast majority of kids sit Edexcel for maths. Historically the support was much better, everyone liked Graham Cumming who ran it (he left recently) and ResultsPlus is really good.

OP posts:
TheMoth · 28/08/2023 16:45

Dancerr · 28/08/2023 16:22

Everyone of my sons exams was AQA apart from History and Maths which is Edexcel. What's the reason for this does anyone know?

Any number of reasons.

More teachers with experience of that board.

Might seem to have better results.

Might supply better resources.

That's the board they've always used.

Course seems better.

Dancerr · 28/08/2023 16:22

Everyone of my sons exams was AQA apart from History and Maths which is Edexcel. What's the reason for this does anyone know?

Piggywaspushed · 28/08/2023 15:53

Malbecfan · 28/08/2023 11:30

We use Eduqas (not Maths but Music) because its content best suits our students. We used to be with OCR prior to GCSEs being reformed but the new stuff in their GCSE was baffling and includes things I genuinely know bugger all about (from memory, Middle Eastern music???) Ditto for AQA. Edexcel always used to be the most popular exam board but we would need to buy anthologies to study their set works and simply couldn't afford it for the 2 year-groups who would need them. Plus you only study those 12 pieces, which seems quite sad and very boring for teachers. So we went with Eduqas which has 2 set works which you can freely download the scores but everything relates to the elements of music, the most fundamental parts. It's not perfect, and this year there has been a furore about composing marking, but seems to be the best of the bunch and has rightly risen in popularity.

If you are interested, take a look at how Music has nose-dived in terms of popularity at GCSE and A level. I personally blame Gove and the bloody EBacc for this, along with the abject job that so many primary schools do. We have to deliver everything in 5 years often from a standing start, unlike private schools, or other subjects.

I use Eduqas too. It's the only board at GCSE for my subject.

Undecidedat46 · 28/08/2023 14:21

Can I ask a (what’s probably daft) question about exam boards? Someone mentioned it not being great having a single exam board but in the country that I come from, that’s what we have, but it’s run by the department of education, so there’s no private companies involved. They even critique the paper in the national press after it’s been sat 😂 Would that not be a better option? Everyone sits the same paper on the same day and there’s no potential for gaming the system if there’s any sort of perceived/real “easier” exam board? Or maybe I’m being a bit naive and missing something (apart from private companies losing out on lots of government contracts of course)

Malbecfan · 28/08/2023 11:30

We use Eduqas (not Maths but Music) because its content best suits our students. We used to be with OCR prior to GCSEs being reformed but the new stuff in their GCSE was baffling and includes things I genuinely know bugger all about (from memory, Middle Eastern music???) Ditto for AQA. Edexcel always used to be the most popular exam board but we would need to buy anthologies to study their set works and simply couldn't afford it for the 2 year-groups who would need them. Plus you only study those 12 pieces, which seems quite sad and very boring for teachers. So we went with Eduqas which has 2 set works which you can freely download the scores but everything relates to the elements of music, the most fundamental parts. It's not perfect, and this year there has been a furore about composing marking, but seems to be the best of the bunch and has rightly risen in popularity.

If you are interested, take a look at how Music has nose-dived in terms of popularity at GCSE and A level. I personally blame Gove and the bloody EBacc for this, along with the abject job that so many primary schools do. We have to deliver everything in 5 years often from a standing start, unlike private schools, or other subjects.

JaffavsCookie · 27/08/2023 21:43

Here is another great website for exam data and graphs if you are enjoying the others on this thread
https://ffteducationdatalab.org.uk/

Home - FFT Education Datalab

https://ffteducationdatalab.org.uk/

Popfan · 27/08/2023 20:34

@itsgettingweird 4s for T levels at our local college. 4s for various apprenticeships, Btech level 3, also for some entry paths into the police / fire service for example.

I've researched a lot of colleges and 4s are the magic number!

itsgettingweird · 27/08/2023 20:24

Popfan · 27/08/2023 14:50

Not sure about the comment, kids need a 5 more than a 4?? Mumsnet offspring notwithstanding, many, many students will not be doing A Levels after GCSEs and it's more a 4 needed surely? 5 GCSEs at 4-9 including maths and English is what's needed for so many post GCSE routes. Some colleges even take less as long as you have the 4 in English and maths.

Great link though @noblegiraffe . Will be perusing with great interest!

A lot of colleges are moving to T levels now for vocational courses. They ask for a 5 in English.

PatriciaHolm · 27/08/2023 19:09

Llanfairpwllgwyngyllgogerychwyrndrobwllllanty · 27/08/2023 19:01

The A levels statistics of these schools must be boosted by this.

Given how few do it it won't make much of an impact I wouldn't imagine.

Llanfairpwllgwyngyllgogerychwyrndrobwllllanty · 27/08/2023 19:01

PatriciaHolm · 27/08/2023 18:02

I'd love to know where teaches that!

Jewish secondaries will all do so - JFS, JCOSS and Yavneh in London, for example.

The A levels statistics of these schools must be boosted by this.

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