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School refusing to give GCSE predictions

88 replies

BirthdayBadger · 11/02/2021 18:51

DS is in year 11 (in an independent school). No mocks have been done at all and the school is saying that they are not going to give us any predictions and that there's no point in even asking. We know that predictions exist because DS applied to go to a different sixth form and his school needed to supply them for the new school to consider him.

Is this normal? I feel that we actually have no idea how he is really doing. We had a very inconclusive parents evening recently where some teachers gave test results which helped a bit but not all subjects had had any recent tests, or the teachers wouldn't comment. So, we are concerned that we don't actually know how well he is doing at all.

Is this what other schools are doing? Surely it's usual to provide some kind of prediction so that a clear idea of where the pupils are at is given and steps for extra support can be given if needed?

OP posts:
Sleepthief · 11/02/2021 21:58

@HelloDulling
'We get them about 24 hrs before. And often, if there are obvious anomalies, we ask for them to be remarked, which happens so quickly the students are none the wiser when they get their marks the next day.'

OK, that's changed a bit since my day - it was always the day before, but no one was re-marking in those 24hrs (pretty incredible turnaround!) But still not really an 'embargo' as the PP was call calling it!

HercwasanEnemyofEducation · 11/02/2021 21:54

Especially with all the surprise tests this week.

Was this just your school? This isn't a national thing.

NotDonna · 11/02/2021 21:53

Same here OP. No mocks & no end of year exams. No predicted grades. I felt like you but I do understand the reasoning now and think it’s crucial for our children to ask for feedback. They need to be asking ‘how can I improve this’? And ‘what else do I need to do to get the best grade possible’? Then take heed. I don’t see what else they can do really. It’s such an unusual situation. I’m really not liking the idea of them being graded as ‘where they are now’. Especially with all the surprise tests this week. I think testing without warning is harsh at the best of times. But at the moment? Really?

HercwasanEnemyofEducation · 11/02/2021 21:52

How a student performed in a particular mock exam is not a prediction, it's a historical fact!

But the grade given from a mock only really applies to the students who sat that exam in that year. Mocks aren't always past papers either, so grade boundaries are 'invented'.

BirthdayBadger · 11/02/2021 21:50

@NoUniversity - more than that. I said to DS that I doubted that 2021 GCSEs would happen and to work on the basis that every single piece of work was a piece of GCSE coursework. Exhausting for them but possibly the only thing to go on ultimately.

Lots of mixed experiences and views on this. It's shocking that our schools are just left hanging trying to work out themselves what is the best way forward. Not fair on so many students.

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Hoppinggreen · 11/02/2021 21:47

Dd is at a Private school and we had predicted grades a couple of weeks ago, they needed them for their 6th form applications.
They are continually assessed though and we get sort of predicted grades at the end of every term, plus they had mocks in January.

NoUniversity · 11/02/2021 21:44

@converseandjeans

How on earth can the students be expected to know their areas of weakness of they are not given feedback on exams?

Well they're not going to sit the exams so not sure it would make much difference? They just need to focus on working hard consistently over the next few months.

Yes they ‘just’ have 6 months of giving 100% effort 100% of the time. 😬
idril · 11/02/2021 21:41

How a student performed in a particular mock exam is not a prediction, it's a historical fact!

Schools just need to make it very clear to students and parents that the result of one exam is not their predicted grade - it's just one part of a whole set of evidence.

idril · 11/02/2021 21:38

@converseandjeans

How on earth can the students be expected to know their areas of weakness of they are not given feedback on exams?

Well they're not going to sit the exams so not sure it would make much difference? They just need to focus on working hard consistently over the next few months.

Yes, but they need to figure out what they need to work hard on.

They may not be sitting a normal external exam but we don't know how grades are going to be assessed this year. There may be some kind of external exam or schools may be required to get their students to sit some kind of mock between now and summer so it would make sense for the student to understand which areas of the specification they need to work on most.

converseandjeans · 11/02/2021 21:31

The school bangs on and on about value added. I've never quite worked it out.

They base future target grades on SATS results. So a computer generated target grade. So if they do well in SATS the target grades are high & it's hard to add any value. I think it's probably hard for Independent Schools to add value.

iMatter · 11/02/2021 21:31

My Y11 ds (state school) had exams in September and his mocks in December. We got results for both sets of exams and a mock exam report too.

DinkyDaisy · 11/02/2021 21:30

We were told what was put on sixth form applications. In fact, could see predicted grades on applications. Also, letters from school reminding everyone to be mindful of situation/ covid etc, despite this.

HelloDulling · 11/02/2021 21:25

Value added is about how much the child improves. So schools that are highly selective and only have very academically able kids don’t add much value, even if they all get all A*/Grade 9s (because they were already high achievers when they arrived).

A school with a more varied intake, that really improves the grades achieved by a student has more ‘value added’.

BirthdayBadger · 11/02/2021 21:22

@TwigTheWonderKid

I can't see what use "predicted grades" are at the moment as no school has a clue what criteria will be used to grade students in the summer but DS1 has just done his mocks online. He's got his results and been told what likely grades the marks relate to. He has also been consantly assessed all through Years 10 and 11 and knows what grade level he is working at.
We don't even have that here. So we are firing arrows into the dark, because we have no mocks and no formal assessments of any kind. Your son should have quite a clear idea of his progress.
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BirthdayBadger · 11/02/2021 21:20

@HercwasanEnemyofEducation

OP what do you mean by value added? It's not really a measure applied to an individual.
The school bangs on and on about value added. I've never quite worked it out. Basically if a child is working at a grade 6 in year 9 because the school is so fab then they will get a grade 7 or even a grade 8 in year 11. Private schools love it. I think it's very Hmm.
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HercwasanEnemyofEducation · 11/02/2021 21:17

Good feedback will tell you how many marks you got for each question so it doesn't take a genius to work out what grade you are working at.

Good feedback tells you exactly what you did well, and exactly how to get better. None of this requires you to be given a number of marks for a question.

Not every school sits standardised mocks, therefore it would take quite some working out to take a random exam and extrapolate a grade. It's nigh on impossible, hence the difficulties with assessing students this year.

TwigTheWonderKid · 11/02/2021 21:17

I can't see what use "predicted grades" are at the moment as no school has a clue what criteria will be used to grade students in the summer but DS1 has just done his mocks online. He's got his results and been told what likely grades the marks relate to. He has also been consantly assessed all through Years 10 and 11 and knows what grade level he is working at.

HelloDulling · 11/02/2021 21:16

[quote BirthdayBadger]@HelloDulling So an entire paper gets queried, remarked, verified and regraded in just 24 hours? If so that's impressive.[/quote]
Sometimes it’s not back until maybe the lunchtime of the results day, but at least we are able to tell the student that it’s already in hand.

W00t · 11/02/2021 21:16

You don't think exam boards genuinely re-mark do you? [hollow laugh]

In the past, yes, but now a 'review' of marks is essentially the lead marker saying "oh yes, I have confidence my markers marked correctly" Hmm

HercwasanEnemyofEducation · 11/02/2021 21:15

OP what do you mean by value added? It's not really a measure applied to an individual.

HelloDulling · 11/02/2021 21:15

[quote BirthdayBadger]@HelloDulling So an entire paper gets queried, remarked, verified and regraded in just 24 hours? If so that's impressive.[/quote]
Yes. I think it’s amazing. We have at least a couple every year.

BirthdayBadger · 11/02/2021 21:15

ATL = attitude to learning! OK I get it. I work in advertising so it means something else to me entirely. Thank you.

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idril · 11/02/2021 21:14

@HercwasanEnemyofEducation

How on earth can the students be expected to know their areas of weakness of they are not given feedback on exams? You don't need a grade for this. In fact a grade detracts from the process.

Most schools are refusing to give any sort of grade related information out. We've stopped reporting on year 11 attainment and only giving ATL. This is to stop any possible parental legal action afterwards if the gcse grades awarded are below a students mock grade.

You don't need grades but you need feedback. OP's child hasn't even done a mock exam.

Good feedback will tell you how many marks you got for each question so it doesn't take a genius to work out what grade you are working at.

W00t · 11/02/2021 21:13

How can schools demonstrate Value Added when pupils aren't being assessed in a standardised way?

My school has also just decided not to issue Y11 with updated predicted grades until we have some idea of what assessment will look like for this cohort.

BirthdayBadger · 11/02/2021 21:13

@HelloDulling So an entire paper gets queried, remarked, verified and regraded in just 24 hours? If so that's impressive.

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